Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)
POSITIVEFundamental
76
Precio
$28.09
Capitalización Bursátil
$14.19B
Parte 1 · Cuánto vale la empresa
Resumen
Warner Music Group signs recording artists and songwriters, then owns or controls the rights to their recordings and compositions for decades. Recorded Music, built around labels like Atlantic and Warner Records, earns royalties whenever a song streams, plays or sells. Music Publishing owns the underlying songwriting rights and collects a separate royalty whenever those songs are performed, synced into film and TV, or recorded by anyone. It is one of only three companies — alongside Universal and Sony — that control most of the world's recorded music catalog.
Cómo genera ingresos
Streaming is the dominant source of revenue: digital services pay Warner a share of subscription and advertising revenue, or a per-stream rate, based on negotiated licensing deals. Because the company owns decades of back catalog, much of this income keeps arriving with little new spending — an old hit streamed today still pays a royalty today. Music Publishing works the same way but on the composition side, collecting whenever a song is used, not just when the original recording plays.
Ingresos por segmento
Owning and licensing sound recordings from artists on Atlantic, Warner Records and other labels, monetized through streaming, downloads and physical sales.
Owning songwriting and composition rights, collecting royalties when songs are performed, synced to film and TV, or covered by other artists.
Ventaja competitiva
Patentes y licencias · EstrechaA catalog of owned master recordings and publishing rights keeps paying royalties for decades after the original spending on an artist, which a new entrant cannot buy quickly. But Warner competes against two labels of similar scale, Universal and Sony, so the advantage comes from being one of few, not from being unique.
Qué impulsa la demanda
Moderadamente cíclicoMusic streaming subscriptions are a relatively small, sticky household expense that tends to survive economic downturns better than discretionary entertainment spending, so demand is fairly resilient. Advertising-supported streaming and physical/merchandise sales are more exposed to consumer spending cycles, and a weak year for new superstar releases can also soften growth independent of the economy.
Riesgos clave
- Dependence on a few streaming platforms — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple together accounted for about 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue; a change in their pricing or royalty terms could materially reduce revenue.
- Digital piracy — The company identifies organized, industrial-scale piracy as a continuing threat that diverts listening away from paid and licensed channels.
- Retaining artists and songwriters — Future growth depends on signing and keeping successful recording artists and songwriters, and on having superstar releases in any given year — neither of which is guaranteed.
- Rates set by regulators and collecting societies — A meaningful share of revenue is subject to rates set by government bodies or local collecting societies rather than freely negotiated, which can cap profitability regardless of demand.
Concentración de clientes
Los principales clientes representan el 43% de los ingresos
A limited number of digital music services — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple among them — together accounted for approximately 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue, so a dispute with any one of them is not a minor event.
Los argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that owning a decades-deep catalog of masters and publishing rights produces royalties with almost no incremental cost, that streaming still has room to grow globally, and that being one of only three major labels gives Warner real leverage in negotiating terms with platforms.
Los argumentos en contra
Sellers fear that a handful of streaming platforms have enough bargaining power to squeeze per-stream payouts over time, that piracy and rate-regulated income cap upside, and that a run of weak new releases can hurt results in ways a deep catalog cannot fully offset.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance y Liquidez
Ingresos
$7.30B
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Beneficio Neto
$672M
Últimos 12 meses (hasta 30/6/2026)
Flujo de Caja Libre
$539M
Patrimonio Neto Total
$647M
Pasivo Total
$9.07B
Ratio de Liquidez
0.73
Cobertura de Intereses
5.52
Deuda/EBITDA
4.60
Beneficio Por Acción
Ingresos y Beneficio Neto
Flujo de Caja Libre
Desglose de Ingresos
Estado histórico
Márgenes en el tiempo
La deuda en el tiempo
Cuánto pesa la deuda
Cuadro de crecimiento
Crecimiento — Ingresos
Estimación de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$2104991.20
Precio Actual
$28.09
Margen de Seguridad
+100.0%
Rango de Valor Justo
$1368244.40 - $2841738.20
Métodos de Estimación
Métricas de Valoración
Ratio P/E
28.61
ROE
56.4%
Ratio P/B
0.00
P/FCF
0.00
Margen Bruto
45.8%
ROIC
12.6%
Radar de Rentabilidad
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
12.6%
WACC
9.6%
ROIC − WACC
+3.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Criterios de Análisis Fundamental
Superado (16)
- ROIC 12.6%
- Gross Margin 45.8%
- P/FCF 0.00
- P/B Ratio 0.00
- Operating Margin 13.7%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 67.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 8.5%
- Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
- Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 4.6%
Fallido (6)
- Price CAGR -5.46%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Earnings Surprise avg -2.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
No disponible (5)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Señales mixtas: algunas áreas requieren atención
Calidad de los Beneficios
Alta calidad: beneficios respaldados por efectivo
Dilución de Acciones
Recomprando acciones. Favorable para el accionista
Gobernanza
Equipo Directivo
| Nombre | Cargo | Edad |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Robert Kyncl | President, CEO & Director | 54 |
| Ms. Carletta Higginson | Executive VP & Chief Digital Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Armin Zerza | Executive Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Guy Moot | Co-Chair & CEO of Warner Chappell Music | 59 |
| Ms. Carianne Marshall | Co-Chair & COO of Warner Chappell Music | 47 |
| Mr. Louis Dickler | Acting CFO, Senior VP, Global Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Tom Corson | Chief Operating Officer | - |
| Mr. Leho Nigul | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Kareem Chin | Senior VP & Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Paul Martin Robinson Esq., J.D. | Executive VP & General Counsel | 67 |
Riesgo de Auditoría
4
Riesgo del Consejo
9
Riesgo de Compensación
8
Riesgo de Derechos del Accionista
10
Parte 2 · El precio y el momento de entrar
Esta parte no sirve para saber si la empresa vale: sirve para elegir cuándo comprarla, una vez que los fundamentales te han convencido. Dentro: análisis técnico, potencial, caídas históricas, exposición gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for WMG, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 5/8/2026POSITIVEWarner Music Hits All The Right Notes With Blowout Quarter, Analyst Says More Growth Ahead
Warner Music Group (WMG) shares surged following a robust Q2 performance that significantly surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both earnings and revenue. The company's strong growth in streaming services, coupled with notable margin expansion, has positioned it favorably. This blowout quarter, highlighted by positive analyst ratings including an initiation of coverage with a 'Buy' from Deutsche Bank and an 'Outperform' from Credit Suisse, suggests continued upward momentum. Investors are likely to see this as a strong indicator of WMG's operational efficiency and market resilience, potentially driving further stock appreciation.
- 4/1/2026POSITIVEWarner Music Targets Indie Boom With Revelator Buyout
Warner Music Group (WMG) has announced the acquisition of Revelator, a music technology company specializing in rights management and label services. This strategic move aims to bolster WMG's capabilities in serving independent artists and labels, enhancing its digital infrastructure for royalty distribution and metadata management. The acquisition is expected to streamline operations and unlock new revenue streams within the rapidly growing independent music sector. For investors, this acquisition signals WMG's commitment to innovation and expansion in a key growth area, potentially leading to increased market share and improved profitability.
via Markets Gazette