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Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. (ARLP)

POSITIVE
EnergyThermal CoalUnited States

Fondamental

85

Prix

$26.43

Capitalisation boursière

$3.38B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Alliance Resource Partners is a US master limited partnership that mines coal and collects royalties on minerals it owns. The 10-K describes it as the second largest coal producer in the eastern United States: at 31 December 2025 it operated seven underground mining complexes across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania and West Virginia, plus a coal-loading terminal on the Ohio River in Indiana, producing 33.2 million tons of bituminous coal in 2025 (26.1 million from the Illinois Basin, 7.1 million from Appalachia). The coal is sold mainly to domestic electric utilities and industrial users, with a smaller export book. Alongside the mines, the partnership owns roughly 70,000 net royalty acres of oil & gas mineral interests, mostly in the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins, and owns or leases the coal reserves that its own mines dig — about 73% of the coal sold by its mines in 2025 came from ground leased from its own royalty entities. Smaller side activities include the Matrix Group (industrial and mining products), Bitiki (bitcoin mining) and minority investments such as Infinitum and Gavin Generation.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Most of the money comes from selling tons of coal. In fiscal 2025 coal sales were $1,932.5 million of $2,194.8 million of total revenues, with oil & gas royalties adding $137.8 million, transportation revenues (customers reimburse freight the partnership arranges) $36.6 million and other revenues $87.8 million. Coal is sold largely under multi-year supply agreements: approximately 86.5% of 2025 coal sales were under long-term contracts with committed expirations running from 2026 to 2030, and about 84.6% of tonnage was sold under contracts longer than one year. Many of those contracts carry price-reopener or index-adjustment clauses, so a long contract fixes volume more firmly than price. Exports were roughly 8.6% of tons sold in 2025 and go mostly through brokers. The royalty side works differently and carries no operating cost: when acreage is leased, ARLP takes an upfront lease bonus and a fixed share of production or revenue, free of drilling, completion and plugging costs. Coal royalties are earned almost entirely from ARLP's own mines, so they are intercompany and disappear on consolidation.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Illinois Basin Coal Operations62.7%

The Gibson, Warrior, River View and Hamilton underground mining complexes in Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky, which produced 26.1 million tons in 2025. It sells thermal coal to domestic electric utilities and industrial users, plus some export tonnage. Outside revenues were $1,376.2 million in fiscal 2025.

Appalachia Coal Operations27.6%

The Mettiki, Tunnel Ridge and MC Mining complexes in Maryland, West Virginia, Pennsylvania and Kentucky, which produced 7.1 million tons in 2025. It sells both thermal and metallurgical coal into domestic and export markets and generated $604.7 million of outside revenues in fiscal 2025.

Oil & Gas Royalties6.4%

Mineral and royalty interests over roughly 70,000 net royalty acres in the Permian, Anadarko and Williston basins, leased out to third-party operators who drill and produce. ARLP collects lease bonuses and a share of production without bearing well costs; outside revenues were $139.6 million in fiscal 2025.

Other, Corporate and Elimination3.4%

The catch-all category: marketing and administration, the Matrix Group's industrial and mining products, the Bitiki bitcoin-mining operation, Wildcat Insurance and other minor activities, plus the elimination of intercompany coal royalties. Outside revenues were $74.4 million in fiscal 2025.

Coal Royalties0%

The coal reserves and resources owned or leased by Alliance Resource Properties and leased on to ARLP's own mines. In fiscal 2025 it billed $80.5 million, all of it intercompany, and $0 to outside customers, so the whole segment is eliminated on consolidation — its economics show up inside the two coal operations segments.

Avantage concurrentiel

Avantage de coûts · Étroit

ARLP owns much of the ground it mines — about 73% of the coal its mines sold in 2025 came from reserves leased from its own royalty entities, and at year-end it held access to roughly 586.3 million tons of reserves and 1.07 billion tons of resources. Its Illinois Basin longwall and room-and-pillar mines sit close to water: about 45.8% of 2025 volume left the mines by barge, 34.8% by rail and 19.4% by truck, and freight is a large part of the delivered cost a utility pays. Owning the reserve and sitting on the river are real, durable cost advantages against higher-cost producers. They are narrow rather than wide because the 10-K itself calls the coal market highly competitive, naming American Consolidated Natural Resources, Core Natural Resources, Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Foresight Energy and Peabody among its rivals, and because a cost edge inside a shrinking end-market protects margin without protecting volume.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Both halves of the business follow commodity cycles. The 10-K says domestic coal pricing is primarily driven by the consumption patterns of electricity-generating utilities, which depend on overall economic conditions, regulation, weather and technology, plus competition from natural gas, nuclear and renewables and the relative delivered cost of those fuels; export pricing depends on global economic conditions, weather and global supply and demand. The royalty half tracks oil and gas prices, and the partnership discloses that it holds no hedging arrangements. Two things soften the swings without removing them: roughly 86.5% of 2025 coal sales sat under long-term contracts expiring between 2026 and 2030, so volume is visible a few years out, and the royalty segments carry almost no operating cost. But price is the softer part of those contracts — reopener clauses reset it periodically — and 2025 showed the pattern, with total revenues down 10.4% to $2.19 billion mainly on lower coal pricing and transportation revenues. Beginners should treat this as a cyclical business with a contract buffer, not a defensive one.

Principaux risques

  • Distributions are not guaranteed — The first risk factor the partnership lists is that cash distributions to unitholders are not guaranteed. The general partner has discretion over the level of cash reserves, which can reduce the cash available to distribute, and cost reimbursements owed to the general partner could be substantial.
  • Dependence on a few customers — The partnership states that in 2025 it derived more than 10% of total revenues from each of Louisville Gas and Electric Company and American Electric Power Company, Inc. Losing one of them without a replacement buying equivalent tonnage on similar terms, or a cut in volumes or a change in pricing terms, could have a material adverse effect on the business, financial condition and results of operations.
  • Contracts can be renegotiated, suspended or terminated — Long-term sales contracts contain price-reopener provisions that reset the price at periodic intervals; an adjustment to a significantly lower price would hurt operating margins, and failure to agree can trigger early termination. Several contracts also let customers suspend or terminate on events beyond their control, and most require coal to fall within stated ranges for heat content, sulfur, ash and other characteristics, with penalties, rejection of shipments or termination if specifications are missed.
  • Coal and oil & gas price swings, with no hedging — Changes in coal and oil & gas prices, including from global geopolitical tensions, can hit results. The filing lists among the drivers the price and availability of alternative fuels, worldwide energy consumption, transportation capacity, competition from other suppliers, and domestic and foreign regulation and taxes; a substantial or extended decline in coal prices would cut revenues where existing supply agreements do not protect them. The partnership separately flags that its lack of hedging arrangements leaves it exposed to commodity prices.
  • Environmental rules can shrink coal demand — The partnership lists extensive environmental laws and regulations that could reduce demand for coal as a fuel source, alongside costly legislative and regulatory compliance and initiatives that could have negative impacts on the business. It also notes that changes in utilities' consumption patterns could affect its ability to sell coal and the price of its natural gas.
  • Unforeseen mining conditions — Unanticipated mine operating conditions can hit profitability. The list includes seismic activity, ground failures, rock bursts and cave-ins, employee injuries or fatalities, labour interruptions, higher reclamation costs, inability to acquire or renew mining rights and permits, and transportation cost or availability swings; the filing states that prolonged disruption at any mine would reduce revenues and profitability.
  • Permits and surety bonds — Mining requires numerous permits and approvals whose rules are complex and change over time, with regulators exercising considerable discretion over timing and scope and the public able to comment or go to court. Permits may not be issued, maintained or renewed, or may come with conditions that restrict economic mining; the partnership specifically cites EPA scrutiny of Clean Water Act Section 404 discharge permits, including a past use of the EPA's veto power.
  • Limited unitholder rights and conflicts of interest — Unitholders do not elect the general partner or vote on its officers and directors, control of the general partner can pass to a third party without their consent, and units held by anyone owning 20.0% or more of a class (other than the general partner and its affiliates) cannot be voted on any matter. The partnership agreement limits the general partner's fiduciary duties, lets it act in its sole discretion on many decisions, and the filing lists a series of conflicts of interest that may let the general partner favour its own interests.
  • Royalties depend on operators the partnership does not control — The oil & gas royalty business depends on unaffiliated operators to explore and drill, which limits ARLP's ability to control the timing and quantity of production. The partnership also flags delays in royalty payments, optional royalty payments and the suspension of the right to receive royalty payments as risks.
  • Debt and access to financing — The partnership lists indebtedness as a risk that could adversely impact it, and states that financing may not be available on favourable terms or at all. It notes that its ability to fund capital expenditures, service debt and pay distributions depends on future operating performance and on the cost of and access to financing sources, several of which are beyond its control.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 30.6% du chiffre d'affaires

Two utilities each took more than 10% of total revenues in 2025: Louisville Gas and Electric Company and American Electric Power Company, Inc. The major-customer table shows $344.9 million from one and $327.8 million from the other, $672.6 million together, or about 30.6% of the $2,194.8 million of consolidated revenues. Their coal supply agreements expire in 2030 and 2028 respectively. No other single customer reached 10%. Trade receivables from major customers were $25.3 million at 31 December 2025, down from $50.1 million a year earlier, and the partnership says its credit loss experience has historically been insignificant.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the balance sheet and the contract book give the cash distribution unusual visibility for a coal name: total and net leverage ratios were 0.66 and 0.56 times at 31 December 2025, the partnership declared a quarterly distribution of $0.60 per unit ($2.40 annualised) on 27 January 2026, and management said more than 93% of the midpoint of its 2026 sales tonnage guidance was already committed and priced. They point to the fourth quarter as evidence the cost work is landing: net income of $82.7 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $191.1 million, up 406.2% and 54.1% year on year, with production up 18.7% to 8.2 million tons and Illinois Basin Segment Adjusted EBITDA Expense per ton down 14.4% against the prior-year quarter. They also argue the royalty leg is the quiet compounder — record full-year and fourth-quarter oil & gas royalty volumes, up 7.2% and 20.2% year on year, a $10.0 million bolt-on of about 190 net royalty acres in the Midland and Delaware basins in October 2025, and a segment that earns its Adjusted EBITDA without funding a single well. Finally, they note that owning roughly 586.3 million tons of reserves and 1.07 billion tons of resources, with about 73% of 2025 mine output leased from ARLP's own royalty entities, keeps a long runway under the mines.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that the top line is going the wrong way and that the contract book only delays the arrival of lower prices. Total revenues fell 10.4% to $2.19 billion in 2025 from $2.45 billion, which the partnership attributes primarily to lower coal sales pricing and transportation revenues, and net income fell to $311.2 million from $360.9 million; management's own 2026 commentary points to lower coal sales prices per ton year on year, with cost improvement expected to offset rather than exceed that. They point to Appalachia as the visible crack: on 29 January 2026 the partnership announced it would cease longwall production at the Mettiki complex and satisfy remaining commitments largely from inventory, estimating an impairment charge of up to approximately $43.0 million in the first quarter of 2026, after a $31.1 million impairment at MC Mining in 2024. They worry about the customer book, with roughly 30.6% of 2025 revenues from two utilities whose contracts run out in 2028 and 2030, and about price-reopener clauses that let long contracts reprice downward. On the industry side they cite the risk factors the partnership itself lists: extensive environmental laws and regulations that could reduce demand for coal, changing utility consumption patterns, competition from natural gas, nuclear and renewables, and no hedging arrangements against commodity prices. Finally they note the MLP structure — unitholders do not elect the general partner, distributions are explicitly not guaranteed, the general partner sets cash reserves at its discretion, and the filing lists a long series of conflicts of interest — and that the partnership took a $28.0 million impairment loss on investments and a $4.4 million negative change in the fair value of its digital assets in 2025, from ventures outside the core mining business.

Generated on 23 août 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 23 août 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Peabody Energy CorporationBTU

Named by Alliance in its own 10-K, Peabody mines thermal coal in the Illinois Basin and the Powder River Basin and bids for the same US utility supply contracts and the same seaborne thermal export cargoes.

Foresight Energy LPNot tracked

Named by Alliance as a principal competitor, Foresight runs low-cost longwall mines in the Illinois Basin and sells high-sulfur, high-heat-content thermal coal to the same Midwest utilities and export buyers.

American Consolidated Natural Resources, Inc.Not tracked

Named by Alliance as a principal competitor, the successor to Murray Energy mines thermal coal in the Illinois Basin and Northern Appalachia and supplies the same coal-fired power plants.

Core Natural Resources, Inc.CNR

Named by Alliance as a principal competitor, the company born from the CONSOL–Arch merger sells high-calorific-value Appalachian thermal coal to domestic utilities and into the seaborne market where Alliance also ships.

Hallador Energy CompanyHNRG

Through its Sunrise Coal mines in Indiana, Hallador competes for the same Illinois Basin thermal supply contracts, and its own 10-K lists Alliance among the large producers it competes against.

Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.AMR

Named by Alliance as a principal competitor, Alpha mines Appalachian coal and competes with Alliance's Appalachian tons in the export market, particularly for high-volatile coal sold to overseas buyers.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$2.17B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$266M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$388M

Capitaux propres totaux

$1.85B

Passif total

$994M

Ratio de liquidité général

1.75

Couverture des intérêts

6.90

Dette/EBITDA

0.86

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Sous-évalué

Juste valeur

$42.83

Prix actuel

$26.43

Marge de sécurité

+38.3%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$27.84 - $57.82

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$31.17
DCF:$121.90
PE-based:$20.44
Graham Growth:$33.37
EPV:$24.32
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (8B / 1H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-5.46%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

12.70

ROE

14.8%

Ratio P/B

-

P/FCF

9.50

Marge brute

-

ROIC

9.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

9.5%

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

+1.9 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (15)

  • ROIC 9.5%
  • P/FCF 9.50
  • Operating Margin 14.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 14.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 10.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.30
  • Net Margin Trend 12.3% vs 10.3%

Échoué (4)

  • Price CAGR 1.60%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponible (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

4/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

2.30

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Cary P. MarshallSenior VP & CFO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC60
Mr. Thomas M. WynneSenior VP & COO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC68
Mr. Kirk D. TholenSenior VP of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC & President of Alliance Minerals, LLC52
Mr. Joseph W. Craft III, J.D.Chairman, President & CEO of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC74
Ms. Megan J. CordleVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC52
Mr. Mark Allen WatsonSVP of Operations & Technology and CEO of Matrix Design Group, LLC48
Mr. R. Eberley Davis J.D.Senior VP, General Counsel & Secretary of Alliance Resource Management GP, LLC67
Mr. Timothy J. WhelanSenior Vice President of Sales & Marketing - Alliance Coal, LLC62
Mr. Jesse M. ParrishSenior VP & Chief Commercial Officer of Alliance Coal39

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ARLP, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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