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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseUnited States

Fondamental

43

Prix

$613.39

Capitalisation boursière

$48.55B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Axon started as the maker of the TASER stun gun and now sells a wider ecosystem of public-safety equipment: body cameras, in-car cameras, counter-drone systems, and Evidence.com, a cloud service that stores and manages all the video and data those devices capture. Its customers are almost entirely police departments, federal agencies and other public-safety organizations rather than individual consumers, and its equipment is designed to work together as one connected system.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Hardware like TASER devices and cameras is sold or leased to agencies, while Evidence.com is billed as a multi-year cloud subscription that stores, indexes and shares the video those devices generate for use as courtroom evidence. Agencies increasingly buy hardware and software together in bundled, multi-year contracts negotiated once and renewed automatically, which locks in a recurring revenue stream that now makes up close to half of total sales and grows every year the contract stays in place.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Connected Devices56.7%

TASER devices, body and in-car cameras, drones and other hardware sold or leased to public-safety agencies.

Software and Services43.3%

Evidence.com and related cloud subscriptions that store, manage and share video and data captured by Axon's hardware.

Avantage concurrentiel

Coûts de changement · Large

Once a police department stores years of body-camera footage and case evidence in Evidence.com, moving that archive to a rival system means migrating data that may be needed as legal evidence for years, a risk most agencies will not take on lightly. Axon's dominant position in TASER devices and cameras, built over two decades of agency relationships, reinforces the same lock-in on the hardware side.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Customers are government agencies buying with taxpayer-funded budgets and multi-year procurement cycles, so demand does not track consumer spending directly, but it is still constrained by municipal and state budget conditions and can slow when local governments face fiscal pressure. Multi-year bundled contracts also smooth revenue by locking in future subscription payments regardless of near-term budget swings.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on public-sector budgets — Nearly all revenue comes from government agencies whose purchasing depends on approved budgets and grants; funding cuts or delayed appropriations can push out or shrink orders.
  • Product liability from weapons and force — TASER devices are designed to be used as a use-of-force tool, and injuries or deaths associated with their use can result in litigation and reputational damage regardless of fault.
  • Political scrutiny of policing technology — Public debate over policing practices and AI-enabled surveillance features can lead to restrictions, contract cancellations or reputational pressure that affects Axon's ability to sell or deploy new products.
  • Competition from established security vendors — Motorola Solutions and other public-safety technology vendors compete for the same agency contracts and can bundle radios, cameras and software in ways that pressure Axon's share.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that once an agency's evidence archive lives in Evidence.com, the legal and operational risk of migrating it keeps customers locked in for years, that bundling hardware and cloud software into multi-year contracts gives Axon unusually visible recurring revenue for a hardware company, and that its dominant share of the TASER and body-camera market is difficult for a new entrant to challenge.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that dependence on government budgets exposes revenue to fiscal pressure at the municipal and state level, that product-liability litigation tied to use-of-force incidents carries open-ended legal risk, and that political controversy over AI-enabled surveillance features could restrict Axon's ability to sell some of its newer, higher-margin products.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Generated on 23 août 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users

Motorola Solutions, Inc.MSI

Motorola Solutions bids against Axon for the same police-department contracts with a rival bundle of body-worn and in-car cameras (WatchGuard), digital evidence management, dispatch and records software, and drone programs.

Flock Safety (Flock Group Inc.)Not tracked

Flock Safety sells US law-enforcement agencies the same license-plate-reading cameras, real-time crime centre software (FlockOS) and response drones that Axon offers with Lightpost, Fusus and Axon Air.

Genetec Inc.Not tracked

The Canadian private company competes for the same public-safety budgets with AutoVu license-plate recognition and the Citigraf real-time crime centre platform, set against Axon Lightpost and Axon Fusus.

Digital Ally, Inc.DGLY

Digital Ally supplies body-worn and in-car video with cloud evidence management to the same US police departments and commercial fleets, and is routinely the cost-conscious alternative in bids Axon also enters.

Byrna Technologies Inc.BYRN

Byrna's pepper-projectile launchers are named in Axon's own 10-K as a less-lethal alternative to the TASER, both for police forces and for the personal-safety consumer that Axon now targets with TASER for civilians.

Wrap Technologies, Inc.WRAP

Wrap sells the BolaWrap remote restraint device to the same police agencies deciding how to spend a less-lethal budget, positioning it as the tool an officer reaches for instead of a TASER.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$3.22B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$199M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$75M

Capitaux propres totaux

$3.24B

Passif total

$3.76B

Ratio de liquidité général

2.15

Couverture des intérêts

0.21

Dette/EBITDA

86.96

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Surévalué

Juste valeur

$464.28

Prix actuel

$613.39

Marge de sécurité

-32.1%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$301.78 - $626.77

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$693.40
DCF:$56.19
PE-based:$134.81
Graham Growth:$38.91
EPV:$1.05
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (25B / 3H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-0.34%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

249.00

ROE

3.8%

Ratio P/B

13.21

P/FCF

364.49

Marge brute

59.4%

ROIC

0.3%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.3%

WACC

12.1%

ROIC − WACC

-11.8 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (11)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 38.47%
  • Gross Margin 59.4%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 32.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.33
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Échoué (14)

  • ROIC 0.3%
  • P/FCF 364.49
  • P/B Ratio 13.21
  • Operating Margin 0.7%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 5.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.3%
  • Share Dilution 5.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.2% vs 13.6%

Indisponible (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

5/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.33

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

5.1%

Émission de nouvelles actions, diluant la participation

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Patrick W. SmithFounder, CEO & Director54
Mr. Joshua M. IsnerPresident39
Ms. Brittany BagleyCOO & CFO42
Mr. Jeffrey C. KuninsChief Product Officer & CTO50
Mr. Cameron BrooksChief Revenue Officer55
Ms. Jennifer H. MakChief Accounting Officer50
Mr. Erik Taylor LapinskiSenior Director of Investor Relations-
Mr. Isaiah FieldsCorporate Secretary & Chief Legal Officer48
Ms. Abigail Stock B.A.Executive Vice President of Marketing & Communications-
Ms. Elizabeth CoughlinChief Human Officer39

Risque d'audit

10

Risque du conseil

4

Risque de rémunération

10

Risque droits des actionnaires

5

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for AXON, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/9/2026POSITIVE
    $100 Invested In Axon Enterprise 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

    An investment of $100 in Axon Enterprise Inc. five years prior to April 9, 2026, would have grown to a substantial value, indicating significant stock performance over the period. While the exact figure is not provided, the framing suggests a strong positive return, likely outperforming broader market indices. This performance underscores Axon's growth trajectory and its increasing market valuation, making it a noteworthy stock for investors focused on technology and public safety sectors.

  • 3/26/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $1000 Invested In Axon Enterprise 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    An investment of $1000 in Axon Enterprise Inc. (AXON) five years ago would have grown to approximately $7,860 today, representing a staggering 686% return. This performance significantly outpaces the broader market, highlighting the company's robust growth trajectory and strong investor returns. Axon, a leader in law enforcement technology, has consistently delivered innovation and expanded its product suite, driving substantial shareholder value. For investors, this historical performance underscores AXON's potential as a long-term growth stock.

  • 2/27/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much $100 Invested In Axon Enterprise 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

    A retrospective analysis indicates that a $100 investment in Axon Enterprise five years ago would have yielded significant capital appreciation. This hypothetical data underscores the company's robust growth and market performance within the public safety and related technology sector. Axon, renowned for its body cameras, tasers, and cloud-based software solutions, has successfully capitalized on the increasing demand for law enforcement tools, demonstrating a strong expansion trajectory. The company's ability to innovate and broaden its product and service offerings has clearly rewarded long-term investors, positioning the stock as a success story in the technology landscape.

  • 2/26/2026NEGATIVE
    Axon Stock Is On Fire, But Here's the Bad News

    Axon Enterprise Inc. is experiencing accelerated growth, a factor that might initially excite investors. However, a closer look reveals a concerning discrepancy: the company's profitability is failing to keep pace with its revenue expansion. This gap serves as a red flag for the market, as growth not accompanied by sustainable profits can erode shareholder value in the long term. Investors might interpret this news as a sign of operational inefficiencies or aggressive investments that are not yet yielding adequate returns. The challenge for Axon will be to demonstrate a clear trajectory towards improved profitability to justify its current and future valuation.

  • 2/26/2026POSITIVE
    Axon Enterprise Stuns the Market With Huge Q4 Earnings Beat

    Axon Enterprise (AXON) has delivered a stunning fourth-quarter earnings beat, providing a much-needed boost to investor confidence after a challenging start to 2026. The stock had previously plummeted 22% year-to-date and traded roughly 50% below its 52-week high, largely due to widespread fears of an "AI disruption" and a "SaaS-pocalypse" impacting software vendors. This exceptional performance suggests the company is effectively navigating industry headwinds, potentially alleviating concerns about margin compression and pricing power. The strong results could trigger a significant rebound for the stock, offering a positive signal for the broader tech sector, which has faced skepticism regarding sustainable growth in the generative AI era. Investors should closely watch market reaction to determine if this earnings beat marks a turning point for Axon.

  • 2/25/2026POSITIVE
    Why Axon Enterprise Stock Was Soaring Today

    Axon Enterprise Inc. experienced a significant surge in its stock value today after announcing fourth-quarter earnings that substantially exceeded analyst expectations. This exceptional performance underscores robust growth and effective management, reassuring investors about the company's future trajectory. The 'blow out' of estimates suggests strong demand for Axon's products and services, which include body cameras and tasers, reinforcing its leadership position in the public safety technology sector. Investors should monitor whether this momentum translates into sustained growth in upcoming quarters, but the current market reaction is a clear signal of confidence.

  • 2/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Axon (AXON) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Axon (AXON) investors are awaiting crucial details from the Q4 2025 earnings call transcript, which took place on February 24, 2026. While the specific content is not yet available, this event represents a key moment to assess the company's financial performance and future outlook. Earnings calls are fundamental for understanding growth strategies, profit margins, and management forecasts, directly influencing investment decisions. The market will closely monitor any indications regarding revenues, earnings per share, and guidance for upcoming periods, which could determine the stock's direction in the short to medium term.

via Markets Gazette