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Bayer Aktiengesellschaft (BAYRY)

NEUTRAL
HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralGermany

Fondamental

60

Prix

$49.26

Capitalisation boursière

$46.97B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Bayer runs three separate businesses under one roof: seeds and crop-protection chemicals sold to farmers, prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, and over-the-counter health products such as vitamins and pain relievers sold directly to consumers. The three have little in common operationally — different customers, regulators and sales channels — and are grouped together mainly for historical reasons, which is why Bayer has repeatedly weighed splitting them apart.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Crop Science sells seeds and chemicals to farmers and distributors on a seasonal cycle tied to planting calendars, so revenue is lumpy through the year and sensitive to weather and crop prices. Pharmaceuticals earns money when hospitals, pharmacies and health insurers buy prescription drugs, with prices and volumes shaped by each country's reimbursement system rather than by open retail pricing. Consumer Health sells packaged over-the-counter products through retailers at ordinary retail margins, the most straightforward of the three revenue streams.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Crop Science47.4%

Seeds, herbicides, fungicides and other crop-protection products sold to farmers worldwide; the largest of Bayer's three divisions.

Pharmaceuticals39.1%

Prescription drugs sold through healthcare systems, covering areas including cardiology, oncology and women's health.

Consumer Health12.7%

Over-the-counter brands such as vitamins, allergy and pain-relief products sold directly to consumers through retailers.

Avantage concurrentiel

Brevets et licences · Étroit

Patented seed traits and drugs under patent protection give temporary pricing power in Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals, but that protection expires and competitors sell generic or biosimilar equivalents once it does. Consumer Health brands carry some loyalty but compete against store brands and other established names, so none of the three divisions has a durable, wide advantage on its own.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Crop Science demand depends on farmers' planting decisions, which swing with crop prices and weather and can be genuinely cyclical in a bad year. Pharmaceuticals and Consumer Health are steadier, since people keep taking prescribed medicines and buying basic health products in most economic conditions, which offsets some of the agricultural volatility at the group level.

Principaux risques

  • Glyphosate litigation — Bayer carries billions of euros in provisions for lawsuits alleging its glyphosate-based Roundup herbicide causes cancer, and paid roughly $1.3 billion in settlements and judgments in 2025 alone; the final cost of resolving remaining and future claims is still uncertain.
  • Patent expirations — Both Crop Science and Pharmaceuticals rely on patent-protected products for their best margins, and once a patent expires generic or biosimilar competitors typically erode price and volume quickly.
  • Regulatory and reimbursement risk — Crop-protection products face ongoing regulatory review that can restrict or ban active ingredients in some markets, while pharmaceutical prices depend on reimbursement decisions by governments and insurers that can change with little notice.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the glyphosate litigation is closer to its end than its beginning after large settlements were reached, that the pharmaceutical pipeline can refill as older drugs lose patent protection, and that the sum of three global, essential businesses is worth more than the market allows while the legal overhang lasts.

Les arguments contre

Sellers worry that litigation costs and provisions could keep growing beyond what has already been set aside, that key drugs face patent cliffs without fully proven replacements, and that running three unrelated global businesses under one roof dilutes management focus compared with more focused pure-play competitors.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$45.38B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$-1.74B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$6.56B

Capitaux propres totaux

$29.58B

Passif total

$38.43B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.04

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

3.79

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$56.13

Prix actuel

$49.26

Marge de sécurité

+12.2%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$36.49 - $75.78

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$56.83
DCF:$104.53
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$6.69
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (23B / 5H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+14.80%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-5.7%

Ratio P/B

1.59

P/FCF

7.16

Marge brute

60.5%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

6.2%

ROIC − WACC

-1.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (10)

  • Gross Margin 60.5%
  • P/FCF 7.16
  • P/B Ratio 1.59
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 28.3%

Échoué (7)

  • Price CAGR -7.13%
  • ROIC 4.8%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE -6.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 1.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -7.9% vs -5.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

-

Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. William N. AndersonChairman of the Management Board & CEO59
Mr. Stefan OelrichPresident of the Pharmaceuticals Division & Member of the Board of Management57
Ms. Heike PrinzChief Talent Officer, Labor Director & Member of Management Board61
Dr. Judith HartmannCFO & Member of Management Board56
Mr. Rodrigo SantosMember of Management Board, Head of the Crop Science Division & President of Crop Science Division52
Mr. Julio TrianaMember of Management Board & President of Consumer Health Division60
Mr. Alex BuschermohleChief Information Officer, Head-Digital Transformation & IT-Crop Science Division-
Ms. Jana Marlen AckermannHead of the Investor Relations41
Mr. Bill DoderoGeneral Counsel and Senior VP of Law Patents & Compliance-
Mr. Michael PreussHead of Communications, Government Relations and Corporate Brand-

Risque d'audit

6

Risque du conseil

1

Risque de rémunération

2

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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