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Evolution Mining Limited (CAHPF)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsGoldAustralia

Fondamental

68

Prix

$15.88

Capitalisation boursière

$32.12B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Evolution Mining is an Australian miner that digs up and processes rock to extract gold, with copper as a significant byproduct at some of its mines. It operates a portfolio of underground and open-pit mines, including Cowal, Ernest Henry, Red Lake, Mungari and Northparkes, spanning Australia and Canada. It does not sell to a single end customer; it produces gold bullion and copper concentrate that are sold into global commodity markets at prevailing prices.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue is simply ounces of gold and tonnes of copper produced, multiplied by the market price on the day they are sold; Evolution has little influence over that price. Gold is the primary product across the portfolio, with copper — produced mainly at Ernest Henry and Cowal — a smaller but meaningful secondary contributor. Because mining and processing costs are largely fixed once a mine is running, profit is highly sensitive to swings in the gold and copper price.

Avantage concurrentiel

Aucun avantage identifié · Aucun

Gold and copper are undifferentiated commodities sold at a price set by global markets, not by Evolution. A mining company can have better or worse ore bodies and lower or higher costs than its peers, but it cannot charge more for its gold than anyone else does, so there is no durable competitive advantage in the way a brand or a patent provides one.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Evolution's results move with global gold and copper prices, which themselves swing with macroeconomic cycles: gold tends to rise when investors seek a safe haven during uncertainty or falling real interest rates, while copper tracks industrial and construction activity worldwide. A period of high metal prices can lift profit sharply, and a downturn in prices compresses it just as fast, independent of how well the mines themselves are run.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that record gold and copper output, combined with strong metal prices, has already delivered record profit and a higher dividend, and that a long-life, multi-mine portfolio spread across two countries reduces the risk of any single operation disappointing.

Les arguments contre

Sellers worry that today's record results depend on metal prices Evolution does not control and that could fall back, that mining carries operational risks such as lower ore grades or unexpected costs at any given site, and that a portfolio built around a handful of mines leaves less room to absorb a problem at one of them.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$5.16B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$1.35B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$1.16B

Capitaux propres totaux

$5.86B

Passif total

$1.44B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.82

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

0.46

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Surévalué

Juste valeur

$12.13

Prix actuel

$15.88

Marge de sécurité

-30.9%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$7.89 - $16.38

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$13.06
DCF:$10.27
PE-based:$8.38
Graham Growth:$32.92
EPV:$4.45
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (11B / 8H / 2S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+15.61%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

23.83

ROE

27.4%

Ratio P/B

5.67

P/FCF

27.58

Marge brute

42.6%

ROIC

25.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

25.5%

WACC

15.7%

ROIC − WACC

+9.8 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (16)

  • Price CAGR 22.14%
  • ROIC 25.5%
  • Gross Margin 42.6%
  • P/FCF 27.58
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 36.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 17.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 52% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 19.6%
  • PEG Ratio 1.10
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.79
  • Net Margin Trend 26.5% vs 21.3%

Échoué (5)

  • P/B Ratio 5.67
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.79

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Lawrence John Conway BBus, C.P.A., MAICDCEO, MD & Director-

Risque d'audit

2

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

9

Risque droits des actionnaires

7

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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