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Maplebear Inc. (CART)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalInternet RetailUnited States

Fondamental

73

Prix

$51.64

Capitalisation boursière

$11.99B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Maplebear operates Instacart, an app that lets people order groceries online from a local store and have them shopped and delivered, usually within an hour. Instacart does not own inventory or stores: it connects shoppers (independent contractors who pick and deliver orders) with retailers who list their stock, and with consumers who pay for the convenience. It also runs an advertising business that lets brands pay to appear more prominently in search results and shelves.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Transaction revenue comes from fees and commissions on each order: delivery fees, service fees and a cut of what retailers pay to be on the platform. Advertising revenue comes from brands bidding for placement in search results and featured spots, and it carries a much higher margin than moving groceries around, which is why it has become the faster-growing and more profitable half of the business.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Transaction71.6%

Delivery fees, service fees and retailer commissions charged on grocery orders placed through the app.

Advertising and other28.4%

Fees brands pay for sponsored placement and search visibility, plus enterprise platform and membership fees.

Avantage concurrentiel

Coûts de changement · Étroit

Retailers that integrate Instacart's ordering and fulfillment technology into their own e-commerce build real switching costs, since replacing that plumbing is disruptive. But consumers face almost no cost to open a rival delivery app instead, and several of Instacart's own retail partners are simultaneously testing or building their own delivery capabilities, which caps how durable the advantage is.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Grocery spending itself is largely non-discretionary, but paying a premium to have it delivered is a convenience consumers can cut back on when budgets tighten, by shopping in person or choosing pickup instead. Order frequency and basket size are therefore more sensitive to the economy than grocery demand as a whole.

Principaux risques

  • Retailer concentration — The top three retail partners generate roughly 43% of gross transaction value; the loss of one of them would be a large, immediate hit rather than a marginal one.
  • Independent-contractor shoppers — The delivery model depends on classifying shoppers as independent contractors rather than employees; a regulatory or legal change forcing reclassification would raise costs and disrupt operations.
  • Intense and shifting competition — Instacart competes against DoorDash, Uber and Amazon, and against retailers building their own delivery capabilities — some of whom are simultaneously Instacart's largest customers.
  • Pandemic-era growth may not repeat — Much of Instacart's early scale came from a surge in online grocery adoption during the pandemic; the company acknowledges that pace of growth may not be representative of a maturing market.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 43% du chiffre d'affaires

Instacart's top three retail partners, including Kroger, together account for about 43% of gross transaction value, so losing or renegotiating with even one of them would be felt across the whole business.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Instacart's advertising business, still a minority of revenue but growing faster and far more profitable than order fulfillment, can keep re-rating overall margins upward even if grocery-delivery order growth itself slows to match a maturing market.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that Instacart sits between two more powerful groups — a handful of retailers that supply nearly half its transaction volume and could build their own delivery, and gig workers whose legal status is under constant regulatory pressure — leaving less room to raise prices than the advertising growth story implies.

Données par segment de l'exercice 2025Sources: Maplebear Inc. (Instacart) — Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$3.99B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$480M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$910M

Capitaux propres totaux

$2.52B

Passif total

$974M

Ratio de liquidité général

2.28

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

0.06

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$52.89

Prix actuel

$51.64

Marge de sécurité

+2.4%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$34.38 - $71.40

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$57.56
DCF:$87.80
PE-based:$29.98
Graham Growth:$29.79
EPV:$21.29
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (24B / 14H / 1S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-18.30%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

28.14

ROE

17.8%

Ratio P/B

5.16

P/FCF

10.19

Marge brute

72.6%

ROIC

18.0%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

18.0%

WACC

8.7%

ROIC − WACC

+9.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 28.52%
  • ROIC 18.0%
  • Gross Margin 72.6%
  • P/FCF 10.19
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 14.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 16.7%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 20.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 62% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.57
  • Share Dilution -3.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Échoué (6)

  • P/B Ratio 5.16
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -16.6%
  • Net Margin Trend 12.0% vs 13.8%

Indisponible (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

6/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

2.57

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-3.4%

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Chris RogersChairman, CEO & President46
Ms. Emily MaherCFO & Treasurer-
Mr. Morgan William FongChief Legal & Global Affairs Officer and Secretary48
Mr. Mike DeeCo-founder-
Mr. Tom MaguireVP & Head of Operations-
Ms. Lisa Blackwood-KapralChief Accounting Officer & Principal Accounting Officer57
Mr. Anirban KunduChief Technology Officer-
Rebecca YoshiyamaVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Laura Rachel JonesChief Marketing Officer43
Ms. Christina HallChief People Officer-

Risque d'audit

4

Risque du conseil

7

Risque de rémunération

10

Risque droits des actionnaires

8

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CART, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/9/2026NEGATIVE
    Hedge Fund Incline Global Sold Its Entire Stake in Instacart Parent Maplebear Worth $15.5 Million. Is the Stock a Buy or Sell?

    Hedge fund Incline Global has divested its entire stake in Maplebear Inc., the parent company of Instacart, valued at approximately $15.5 million. This significant sell-off by a major investor raises concerns about the fund's outlook on the company's future performance and growth prospects. Maplebear Inc. operates a platform connecting consumers with personal shoppers for on-demand grocery delivery. The decision by Incline Global to exit its position could signal a lack of confidence, potentially impacting investor sentiment and the stock's valuation.

  • 3/7/2026POSITIVE
    Goodnow Investment Group Boosts Stake in Instacart as Brands Compete for Digital Shelf Space

    Goodnow Investment Group has significantly increased its stake in Instacart, the prominent online grocery marketplace. This move signals strong conviction from a key investor, likely driven by the growing competition among consumer brands for prime digital shelf space within grocery applications. This competition directly fuels Instacart's advertising revenue, a critical component for its long-term profitability. Investors will be closely monitoring how effectively Instacart can leverage this advertising demand to enhance its financial performance and market position.

via Markets Gazette