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Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTGHF)

POSITIVE
IndustrialsFarm & Heavy Construction MachineryGermany

Fondamental

70

Prix

$46.99

Capitalisation boursière

$35.08B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Daimler Truck builds and sells heavy trucks and buses under brands including Freightliner, Western Star and Mercedes-Benz. Spun off from Mercedes-Benz Group in 2021, it makes money selling the vehicles themselves and, through a captive finance arm, financing and leasing them to the fleets and operators that buy them. North America and Europe are its two largest markets.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue is booked when a truck or bus is delivered to a dealer or fleet customer, so it tracks the industry-wide replacement cycle for commercial vehicles rather than steady consumption. A smaller, steadier stream comes from financial services — loans and leases on the vehicles Daimler Truck itself sold — and from parts and service, which holds up better than new-vehicle sales when the market slows.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Mercedes-Benz Trucks39.9%

Heavy trucks sold mainly in Europe and Latin America under the Mercedes-Benz brand.

Trucks North America38.5%

Freightliner and Western Star trucks sold in the United States, Canada and Mexico — historically the group's largest and most cyclical market.

Daimler Buses12.1%

City, intercity and coach buses sold under the Mercedes-Benz and Setra brands, mostly in Europe and Latin America.

Trucks Asia9.7%

Trucks sold under the Fuso and BharatBenz brands across Japan, India and other Asian markets.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Truck orders follow freight volumes and haulage rates: when shippers have more goods to move and can charge more for it, fleets buy new trucks; when freight demand slumps, as it did through 2025, orders can fall for several quarters even after the freight market itself starts to recover, because fleets first work through excess capacity.

Principaux risques

  • Prolonged freight-market downturn — The company reported that the 2025 freight recession lasted longer than it had anticipated, with North American heavy-duty unit sales down sharply year over year, showing how quickly a soft freight market can cut into truck demand.
  • US tariff exposure — Daimler Truck recorded roughly €250 million of tariff-related costs in 2025, concentrated in North America, which by the company's own account cut its return on sales by more than a full percentage point.
  • Regional concentration and market cyclicality — North America and Europe together account for the large majority of unit sales, so a downturn in either region — as seen with the 6% decline in the European heavy-duty market in 2025 — has an outsized effect on group results.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Daimler Truck's roughly 40% share of the North American Class 8 market gives it pricing power once the freight cycle turns, and that its size lets it absorb a tough year like 2025 while smaller rivals struggle more.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that the freight recession has already lasted longer than management expected, that US tariffs keep eating into North American margins, and that a business this dependent on two cyclical regions offers little shelter when both slow down at once.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$44.47B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$2.55B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$5.42B

Capitaux propres totaux

$22.57B

Passif total

$29.14B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.70

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

7.76

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$49.87

Prix actuel

$46.99

Marge de sécurité

+5.8%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$32.41 - $67.32

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$50.81
DCF:$148.13
PE-based:$15.36
Graham Growth:$23.61
EPV:$28.22
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (16B / 5H / 2S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+118.11%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

13.84

ROE

5.0%

Ratio P/B

1.57

P/FCF

6.47

Marge brute

17.9%

ROIC

4.8%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.8%

WACC

5.0%

ROIC − WACC

-0.2 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (13)

  • Price CAGR 7.68%
  • P/FCF 6.47
  • P/B Ratio 1.57
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 11.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93

Échoué (7)

  • ROIC 4.8%
  • Gross Margin 17.9%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 4.8%
  • Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 5.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.93

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Ms. Karin RadstromPresident, CEO & Member of the Board of Management46
Ms. Eva SchererCFO, Finance & Controlling and Member of the Management Board42
Mr. Jurgen HartwigHuman Resource Officer, Labor Director & Member of the Board of Management58
Mr. John O'LearyMember of the Board of Management65
Dr. Andreas GorbachMember of the Board of Management50
Mr. Achim PuchertMember of the Board of Management46
Mr. Raghavendra VaidyaChief Information Officer-
Mr. Marcus PoppeHead of Investor Relations-
Dr. Florian HoferChief Legal & Compliance Officer-
Mr. Thomas HovermannHead of Corporate Communications-

Risque d'audit

5

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

3

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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