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Evolution AB (publ) (EVGGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalGamblingSweden

Fondamental

58

Prix

$839.00

Capitalisation boursière

$155.01B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Evolution supplies live-dealer casino games and computer-generated (RNG) casino games to online gambling operators around the world, rather than running its own casino or taking bets from consumers directly. It builds and staffs television-style studios where real dealers run roulette, blackjack and game-show-style formats streamed live to players on partner websites, and separately develops slot-style games generated entirely by software. Its customers are the licensed gambling operators who put Evolution's games on their own platforms.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Evolution is paid a share of the betting revenue its games generate for the gambling operators that license them — a business-to-business model with no direct consumer transactions or marketing spend of its own. Most of that revenue still comes from live-dealer games, the format the company pioneered and where its studio scale is hardest to replicate; a smaller and growing share comes from RNG games following recent studio acquisitions. Full-year 2025 group revenue was essentially flat at €2.07 billion.

Avantage concurrentiel

Économies d'échelle · Étroit

Running live-dealer studios profitably requires enough volume across many tables and languages to spread fixed costs like staffing, real estate and broadcast technology — a scale advantage the largest live-casino supplier holds over smaller rivals. It is not unassailable: RNG games face lower barriers to entry, and gambling operators can and do work with more than one games supplier at once.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Demand follows overall online gambling activity, which grows steadily with internet penetration and the legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets, but is less tied to the broader economic cycle than most consumer sectors since gambling spending persists in downturns. Regulatory swings in individual countries — new taxes, advertising limits or market restrictions — can move revenue faster than the economic cycle does.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Evolution's live-dealer studio scale and first-mover advantage are difficult for smaller suppliers to replicate, that legalization of regulated online gambling in new markets extends its growth runway, and that a business-to-business licensing model without direct consumer acquisition costs supports high margins.

Les arguments contre

Sellers worry that 2025's roughly flat revenue points to a maturing core live-casino market in its largest regions, that regulatory tightening in individual European markets can remove revenue with little warning, and that RNG games face lower barriers to entry than the live-dealer format that built the company's lead.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$2.00B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$997M

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$915M

Capitaux propres totaux

$4.09B

Passif total

$90M

Ratio de liquidité général

2.04

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

0.07

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$791.37

Prix actuel

$839.00

Marge de sécurité

-6.0%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$514.39 - $1068.35

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$735.17
DCF:$378.85
PE-based:$639.34
Graham Growth:$3026.51
EPV:$61.98
Consensus des analystes:Conserver (5B / 8H / 12S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-1.86%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

155.41

ROE

26.7%

Ratio P/B

37.90

P/FCF

169.34

Marge brute

100.0%

ROIC

22.3%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.3%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (12)

  • Price CAGR 30.74%
  • ROIC 22.3%
  • Gross Margin 100.0%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 58.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 25.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.4%
  • PEG Ratio 0.44
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23

Échoué (9)

  • P/FCF 169.34
  • P/B Ratio 37.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 20% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.4%
  • Net Margin Trend 51.4% vs 60.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.23

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Jens von BahrCo-Founder, Chairman & President54
Mr. Martin CarlesundGroup Chief Executive Officer55
Mr. Fredrik ÖsterbergCo-Founder & Director55
Mr. Joakim AnderssonChief Financial Officer51
Amy RichesHead of Marketing-
Ms. Louise Wivén-NilssonChief Human Resources Officer53
Mr. Todd HaushalterChief Product Officer & Games Operations47

Risque d'audit

8

Risque du conseil

3

Risque de rémunération

6

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for EVGGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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