Retour au classement

Ferrovial SE (FER)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionNetherlands

Fondamental

53

Prix

$63.02

Capitalisation boursière

$45.29B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Ferrovial builds and operates large transport infrastructure: toll highways, airports and construction projects for governments and public agencies. It designs and constructs roads, rail and airport facilities under contract, and separately holds long-term concessions — decades-long rights, granted by governments, to operate a specific highway or airport and collect tolls or fees from it. The concessions, not the construction work, are what the company is ultimately built around.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Construction revenue is booked as work is completed on fixed-price or cost-plus contracts, mostly for public clients, and depends on winning and executing a limited number of large projects. Highway revenue comes from tolls paid by drivers, often linked to inflation or traffic volume under the concession terms, and flows to Ferrovial mainly as dividends from the project companies it partly owns. Airport revenue would work the same way once assets like New Terminal One at JFK become operational; today that project is still under construction and not yet generating toll-like income.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Construction80.2%

Building roads, rail and other infrastructure for public and private clients under fixed-price or cost-plus contracts, mostly in North America, Poland and Spain.

Highways14.6%

Toll roads held under long-term concessions, led by North American managed lanes and Canada's 407 ETR, which paid large dividends in 2025.

Energy3.5%

A smaller and more recent line of energy infrastructure projects, still modest relative to construction and highways.

Avantage concurrentiel

Brevets et licences · Large

Each highway or airport concession is a government-granted, decades-long exclusive right to operate a specific piece of infrastructure — there is no realistic way for a competitor to build a parallel toll road next to an existing one. That legal exclusivity, not brand or technology, is the source of the advantage, and it applies only to the concessions Ferrovial already holds, not to the construction business, which is competitively bid project by project.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Highway toll revenue is fairly steady, tied to driving habits and inflation-linked tariff formulas rather than to the broader economic cycle. Construction revenue is choppier: it depends on how many large public infrastructure contracts are being awarded at a given time and on Ferrovial winning a share of them, which can swing year to year even when the economy is stable.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on a small number of large projects — A large share of revenue and profit comes from a limited number of major construction contracts and concessions, so losing a bid, a cost overrun, or a delay on any one of them has an outsized effect on results.
  • Government contracting and regulatory risk — Concessions operate under agreements with governments that can change tariff rules, delay approvals, or in some cases move to buy back or renegotiate the concession, all of which are outside the company's control.
  • New Terminal One execution risk — The New Terminal One at JFK Airport is a large, complex project still under construction and systems integration, with completion phases pushed to later dates; delays or cost increases weigh on the airports business before it starts generating revenue.
  • Geopolitical and macroeconomic exposure — The company points to geopolitical conflicts, inflation, interest-rate volatility and foreign-exchange swings as factors that can affect project costs, financing and the value of assets held in different currencies.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that the highway concessions behave like inflation-linked annuities with no realistic competition, that the construction order book at a record €17.4 billion gives years of visible work, and that New Terminal One will eventually add a third durable, concession-like income stream once it opens.

Les arguments contre

Sellers worry that construction remains a low-margin, project-dependent business exposed to cost overruns and government-client relationships, that concession value depends on regulatory goodwill that can turn adversarial, and that New Terminal One's repeated delays show how much execution risk sits between today's spending and tomorrow's cash flow.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$9.92B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$612M

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$890M

Capitaux propres totaux

$6.68B

Passif total

$10.66B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.20

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

6.88

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Surévalué

Juste valeur

$47.59

Prix actuel

$63.02

Marge de sécurité

-32.4%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$30.93 - $64.25

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$77.52
DCF:$22.74
PE-based:$55.36
Graham Growth:$15.79
EPV:$10.88
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (16B / 9H / 2S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+5.26%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

73.87

ROE

11.6%

Ratio P/B

8.01

P/FCF

50.91

Marge brute

69.3%

ROIC

4.7%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.7%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

-3.3 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (11)

  • Price CAGR 13.41%
  • Gross Margin 69.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • ROE 10.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 440.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.80

Échoué (9)

  • ROIC 4.7%
  • P/FCF 50.91
  • P/B Ratio 8.01
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 35.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

2.80

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Rafael del Pino y Calvo-SoteloPresident & Executive Chairman67
Mr. Ignacio Madridejos FernandezCEO & Executive Director59
Mr. Ernesto Lopez MozoChief Financial Officer61
Angel Luis SanchezMajor Projects & Operations Director-
Mr. Ignacio del PinoChief Investment Officer-
Mr. Dimitris BountolosChief Information & Innovation Officer-
Silvia RuizInvestor Relations Director-
Ms. Geerte HesenGeneral Counsel, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Secretary-
Ms. Patricia LeivaDirector of Communication & Corporate Social Responsibility-
Mr. Carlos Cerezo ParedesChief Human Resources Officer50

Risque d'audit

1

Risque du conseil

5

Risque de rémunération

1

Risque droits des actionnaires

3

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for FER, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for FER.