Ferrovial SE (FER)
NEUTRALFondamental
53
Prix
$63.02
Capitalisation boursière
$45.29B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Ferrovial builds and operates large transport infrastructure: toll highways, airports and construction projects for governments and public agencies. It designs and constructs roads, rail and airport facilities under contract, and separately holds long-term concessions — decades-long rights, granted by governments, to operate a specific highway or airport and collect tolls or fees from it. The concessions, not the construction work, are what the company is ultimately built around.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Construction revenue is booked as work is completed on fixed-price or cost-plus contracts, mostly for public clients, and depends on winning and executing a limited number of large projects. Highway revenue comes from tolls paid by drivers, often linked to inflation or traffic volume under the concession terms, and flows to Ferrovial mainly as dividends from the project companies it partly owns. Airport revenue would work the same way once assets like New Terminal One at JFK become operational; today that project is still under construction and not yet generating toll-like income.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Building roads, rail and other infrastructure for public and private clients under fixed-price or cost-plus contracts, mostly in North America, Poland and Spain.
Toll roads held under long-term concessions, led by North American managed lanes and Canada's 407 ETR, which paid large dividends in 2025.
A smaller and more recent line of energy infrastructure projects, still modest relative to construction and highways.
Avantage concurrentiel
Brevets et licences · LargeEach highway or airport concession is a government-granted, decades-long exclusive right to operate a specific piece of infrastructure — there is no realistic way for a competitor to build a parallel toll road next to an existing one. That legal exclusivity, not brand or technology, is the source of the advantage, and it applies only to the concessions Ferrovial already holds, not to the construction business, which is competitively bid project by project.
Ce qui stimule la demande
Modérément cycliqueHighway toll revenue is fairly steady, tied to driving habits and inflation-linked tariff formulas rather than to the broader economic cycle. Construction revenue is choppier: it depends on how many large public infrastructure contracts are being awarded at a given time and on Ferrovial winning a share of them, which can swing year to year even when the economy is stable.
Principaux risques
- Dependence on a small number of large projects — A large share of revenue and profit comes from a limited number of major construction contracts and concessions, so losing a bid, a cost overrun, or a delay on any one of them has an outsized effect on results.
- Government contracting and regulatory risk — Concessions operate under agreements with governments that can change tariff rules, delay approvals, or in some cases move to buy back or renegotiate the concession, all of which are outside the company's control.
- New Terminal One execution risk — The New Terminal One at JFK Airport is a large, complex project still under construction and systems integration, with completion phases pushed to later dates; delays or cost increases weigh on the airports business before it starts generating revenue.
- Geopolitical and macroeconomic exposure — The company points to geopolitical conflicts, inflation, interest-rate volatility and foreign-exchange swings as factors that can affect project costs, financing and the value of assets held in different currencies.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that the highway concessions behave like inflation-linked annuities with no realistic competition, that the construction order book at a record €17.4 billion gives years of visible work, and that New Terminal One will eventually add a third durable, concession-like income stream once it opens.
Les arguments contre
Sellers worry that construction remains a low-margin, project-dependent business exposed to cost overruns and government-client relationships, that concession value depends on regulatory goodwill that can turn adversarial, and that New Terminal One's repeated delays show how much execution risk sits between today's spending and tomorrow's cash flow.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$9.92B
12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action
Résultat net
$612M
12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action
Flux de trésorerie libre
$890M
Capitaux propres totaux
$6.68B
Passif total
$10.66B
Ratio de liquidité général
1.20
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
6.88
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$47.59
Prix actuel
$63.02
Marge de sécurité
-32.4%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$30.93 - $64.25
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
73.87
ROE
11.6%
Ratio P/B
8.01
P/FCF
50.91
Marge brute
69.3%
ROIC
4.7%
Radar de rentabilité
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.7%
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
-3.3 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (11)
- Price CAGR 13.41%
- Gross Margin 69.3%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 10.0%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- ROE 10.4%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 8.1%
- Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 440.9%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.80
Échoué (9)
- ROIC 4.7%
- P/FCF 50.91
- P/B Ratio 8.01
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 35.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponible (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Score F de Piotroski
Préoccupations financières sérieuses
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Rafael del Pino y Calvo-Sotelo | President & Executive Chairman | 67 |
| Mr. Ignacio Madridejos Fernandez | CEO & Executive Director | 59 |
| Mr. Ernesto Lopez Mozo | Chief Financial Officer | 61 |
| Angel Luis Sanchez | Major Projects & Operations Director | - |
| Mr. Ignacio del Pino | Chief Investment Officer | - |
| Mr. Dimitris Bountolos | Chief Information & Innovation Officer | - |
| Silvia Ruiz | Investor Relations Director | - |
| Ms. Geerte Hesen | General Counsel, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer and Secretary | - |
| Ms. Patricia Leiva | Director of Communication & Corporate Social Responsibility | - |
| Mr. Carlos Cerezo Paredes | Chief Human Resources Officer | 50 |
Risque d'audit
1
Risque du conseil
5
Risque de rémunération
1
Risque droits des actionnaires
3
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for FER, sourced from Markets Gazette.