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Hensoldt AG (HNSDF)

NEUTRAL
IndustrialsAerospace & DefenseGermany

Fondamental

54

Prix

$86.90

Capitalisation boursière

$10.22B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

HENSOLDT is a German defense electronics maker: it builds the radars, sensors, cameras and targeting optics that let military platforms see, track and aim, rather than making the aircraft, ships or vehicles themselves. Its equipment goes onto programs like the Eurofighter jet, the P-8 Poseidon patrol aircraft, and Leopard 2 tanks, sold mainly to European and NATO armed forces.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes from long-cycle defense contracts: governments order equipment years in advance, HENSOLDT books the order as backlog and recognizes revenue as it develops, produces and delivers the systems, followed by years of maintenance and upgrade work on equipment already in the field. Growth therefore shows up first as order intake, which converts into revenue only gradually as programs move from contract to delivery.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Sensors83.1%

Radars, air-defence and reconnaissance sensors used on aircraft, ships and ground-based systems, the core of the business.

Optronics16.9%

Electro-optical sighting, targeting and vision systems mounted on land vehicles such as the Leopard 2 and Puma platforms.

Avantage concurrentiel

Coûts de changement · Étroit

Once HENSOLDT's radar or optronics are integrated into a platform like the Eurofighter or Leopard 2, replacing them mid-program means requalifying a new supplier through years of defense procurement and security clearance processes, which governments rarely choose to do. The trade-off is that this advantage is tied to a small number of large programs, so losing or not winning the next generation of one of them matters a great deal.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Orders follow government defense budgets and multi-year procurement decisions rather than the broader economy, and the company itself credits Germany's elevated defense spending as the main driver of its record 2025 order intake. That makes demand more a function of political and budgetary decisions — which can also reverse or delay — than of a classic economic cycle.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on German defense spending — The company attributes its record 2025 order intake mainly to elevated German federal procurement, so a change in Germany's defense budget priorities would directly affect future orders.
  • Concentration in a few large programs — Order intake growth is driven by specific platforms such as the Eurofighter, Leopard 2 and P-8 Poseidon; a shift in any partner nation's procurement plans away from these platforms would reduce expected orders.
  • Export licensing dependency — International sales require export licenses from German and European authorities, whose approval decisions can delay or block contracts that are otherwise ready to proceed.

Concentration des clients

HENSOLDT does not disclose an exact percentage, but its own 2025 results credit Germany as the key driver of order intake momentum, indicating heavy reliance on a single national defense customer.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that a record order backlog built on elevated German and European defense spending gives HENSOLDT years of visible future revenue, and that its equipment being designed into flagship platforms like the Eurofighter and Leopard 2 makes it difficult for those programs to switch suppliers.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that growth leans heavily on the German government's current appetite for defense spending, which is a political decision that can change, that revenue is concentrated in a handful of flagship programs, and that export contracts remain subject to licensing decisions HENSOLDT does not control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$2.68B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$120M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$304M

Capitaux propres totaux

$889M

Passif total

$1.69B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.10

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

4.88

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Surévalué

Juste valeur

$47.60

Prix actuel

$86.90

Marge de sécurité

-82.6%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$30.94 - $64.26

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$92.63
DCF:$24.07
PE-based:$33.55
Graham Growth:$16.93
EPV:$10.90
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (12B / 7H / 1S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+246.53%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

85.08

ROE

12.9%

Ratio P/B

11.49

P/FCF

33.62

Marge brute

21.0%

ROIC

4.3%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.3%

WACC

14.7%

ROIC − WACC

-10.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (10)

  • Price CAGR 35.77%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 11.9%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 15.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 60% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 35.3%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.37

Échoué (8)

  • ROIC 4.3%
  • Gross Margin 21.0%
  • P/FCF 33.62
  • P/B Ratio 11.49
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Net Margin Trend 3.6% vs 4.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

6.37

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Oliver DorreCEO & Chairman of Management Board-
Mr. Christian LadurnerCFO & Member of Management Board48
Dr. Lars ImmischExecutive Officer58
Nicolas DeboveChief Operating Officer-
Ms. Inka TewsChief Human Resources Officer, Labour Director & Member of Management Board54
Ms. Veronika EndresHead of Group Reporting & Investor Relations-
Dr. Katja StadelmannGeneral Counsel-
Ms. Simona PatapMarketing Manager-
Mr. Stefan HessHead of Group Sales & Account Management57
Mr. Temur KarbassiounHead of Customer Service-

Risque d'audit

5

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

6

Risque droits des actionnaires

9

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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