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NCAB GROUP AB (NCABF)

NEUTRAL
TechnologyElectronic ComponentsSweden

Fondamental

58

Prix

$74.90

Capitalisation boursière

$13.42B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

NCAB Group does not manufacture anything itself. It designs the specification, sources printed circuit boards (PCBs) from a network of partner factories mainly in China and other parts of Asia, and sells them to industrial customers worldwide, offering local design support, quality control and logistics on top of the board itself. It operates through local sales companies in 19 countries grouped into four regions: Nordics, Europe, North America and East (China and Malaysia).

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue is booked when a customer's ordered PCBs are delivered, priced to cover the factory cost plus NCAB's margin for sourcing, design support and quality assurance. Because NCAB owns no factories, its cost base moves with what partner manufacturers charge and with tariffs on goods made in China, which it has partly offset by shifting some production to Taiwan, South Korea, the U.S. and Southeast Asia.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Europe48.1%

Sales offices across Austria, Belgium, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, Switzerland and the U.K.

Nordics23.3%

NCAB's home region and largest single market by history, spanning Sweden and neighboring Nordic countries.

North America22.7%

U.S. offices serving defense, medtech, power and industrial customers, with a growing focus on regional and ITAR-approved supply.

East5.9%

Sales offices in China and Malaysia, serving both local and global customers close to the main manufacturing base.

Principaux risques

  • Concentration of factories in China — The company states it faces geopolitical risk because a large share of the factories it sources from are located in China, and that tariffs and trade barriers are a potential risk it has only partly offset by shifting some sourcing to other countries.
  • Dependence on partner manufacturers — Because NCAB owns no factories, the company states it is exposed to the production capacity, capacity constraints and order books of the manufacturers it sources from, as well as raw material availability and prices.
  • Currency exposure — The company states it is exposed to currency risk, mainly between the USD, EUR and SEK, through translation of sales and purchases and of reported assets, liabilities and investments.
  • Demand and customer relationship risk — The company cites commercial risk arising from changes in economic activity, demand and customer preferences, and from the state of its relationships with customers.
  • Dependence on skilled staff — The company states it depends on the continued trust of its employees and on its ability to recruit skilled staff, since its role is largely one of technical sourcing and design support rather than owning production assets.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that an asset-light sourcing model lets NCAB grow without the capital intensity of owning factories, that its design-support and quality-control services create switching costs beyond just finding a cheaper board supplier, and that diversifying manufacturing beyond China reduces tariff exposure over time.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that without owned factories NCAB has limited control over its cost base and delivery reliability, that heavy reliance on Chinese manufacturing capacity leaves it exposed to tariffs and trade policy shifts it cannot control, and that the business is ultimately a distributor with thinner structural protection than a manufacturer.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$4.08B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$272M

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$290M

Capitaux propres totaux

$1.58B

Passif total

$1.31B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.60

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

2.74

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Surévalué

Juste valeur

$54.20

Prix actuel

$74.90

Marge de sécurité

-38.2%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$35.23 - $73.17

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$90.67
DCF:$21.25
PE-based:$58.61
Graham Growth:$35.02
EPV:$13.11
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (7B / 3H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+5.04%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

49.61

ROE

18.9%

Ratio P/B

9.03

P/FCF

46.21

Marge brute

35.1%

ROIC

11.8%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

11.8%

WACC

12.0%

ROIC − WACC

-0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (13)

  • Price CAGR 30.15%
  • ROIC 11.8%
  • Gross Margin 35.1%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.0%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 18.3%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.56

Échoué (8)

  • P/FCF 46.21
  • P/B Ratio 9.03
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -3.2%
  • PEG Ratio 5.59
  • Net Margin Trend 5.5% vs 7.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.56

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Peter KrukPresident & CEO57
Mr. Timothy Benjamin Jr.Chief Financial Officer43
Mr. Chris NuttallChief Operating Officer52
Mr. Bo AnderssonTechnical Manager-
Ms. Ann JuvikenChief Digital & Information Officer55
Ms. Gunilla Öhman WikmanIR Manager66
Ms. Sanna MagnussonGroup Marketing Director46
Claire-Lise SarninVice President of People & Culture45
Mr. Andy LiuMD of China Sales & VP of Asia45
Mr. Jack KeiManaging Director of China-

Risque d'audit

4

Risque du conseil

6

Risque de rémunération

4

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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