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Nel ASA (NLLSF)

NEGATIVE
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryNorway

Fondamental

29

Prix

$2.13

Capitalisation boursière

$3.82B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Nel ASA makes the equipment that splits water into hydrogen and oxygen using electricity, a process called electrolysis, for customers who want to produce hydrogen as an industrial input or fuel without burning fossil fuels. It sells two competing technologies — alkaline electrolysers, built at its Herøya plant in Norway, and proton-exchange-membrane (PEM) electrolysers, built in Connecticut — to industrial gas companies, energy firms and other buyers pursuing hydrogen projects. Nel spun off its hydrogen refueling-station business as a separate listed company, Cavendish Hydrogen, in mid-2024.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes from selling electrolyser equipment on a project-by-project basis, so results depend heavily on how many customers reach a final investment decision and place an order in a given period, not on repeat, predictable purchases. Full-year 2025 revenue fell 31% to NOK 963 million from NOK 1,390 million, driven by a sharp drop in alkaline-electrolyser sales that a smaller gain in PEM sales only partly offset — a sign of how lumpy and order-dependent revenue still is in an industry where large hydrogen projects are still early and often delayed.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Orders depend on customers committing capital to large, multi-year hydrogen production projects, decisions that are highly sensitive to government subsidies, the price of competing fossil-fuel-based hydrogen, and the cost of the renewable electricity the process consumes. When any of these turns unfavorable, customers can and do delay final investment decisions, leaving Nel's order book thin for extended periods.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that offering both alkaline and PEM technology lets Nel serve whichever projects favor either approach, that spinning off the refueling business focuses the company on its larger electrolyser opportunity, and that a rebound in PEM orders points to renewed customer interest once project financing conditions improve.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that a 31% revenue decline in a single year shows how few large hydrogen projects are actually reaching a final investment decision, that project-based orders make revenue inherently unpredictable from one year to the next, and that Nel remains unprofitable while it waits for the hydrogen market to scale.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$935M

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$-1.65B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$-598M

Capitaux propres totaux

$3.60B

Passif total

$218M

Ratio de liquidité général

4.00

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

-

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$2.08

Prix actuel

$2.13

Marge de sécurité

-2.2%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$1.98 - $2.19

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$2.08
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
Consensus des analystes:Vendre (1B / 9H / 11S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-34.95%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-30.3%

Ratio P/B

1.05

P/FCF

-

Marge brute

57.9%

ROIC

-25.9%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-25.9%

WACC

7.6%

ROIC − WACC

-33.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (5)

  • Gross Margin 57.9%
  • P/B Ratio 1.05
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.1%

Échoué (10)

  • Price CAGR 0.67%
  • ROIC -25.9%
  • Operating Margin -147.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -32.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 5% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -170.1%
  • Net Margin Trend -115.0% vs -16.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Indisponible (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

1/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

-

Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Kjell Christian BjornsenChief Financial Officer49
Mr. Marius LøkenChief Technical Officer48
Mr. Stein Ove Erdal J.D.Chief Legal Officer46
Ms. Anne LibergChief People & Culture Officer (CHRO)-
Mr. Todd CartwrightChief Commercial Officer59
Mr. Tushar GhuwalewalaSenior VP of PEM Operations-
Ms. Birgitte NordvikChief Project Officer-
Mr. Mats BohmanVice President of Alkaline Operations-
Mr. Wilhelm FlinderHead of IR, Communications & Marketing-
Tomas TronstadManaging Director of Hyon-

Risque d'audit

1

Risque du conseil

1

Risque de rémunération

6

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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