PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)
NEUTRALFondamental
60
Prix
$129.26
Capitalisation boursière
$68.97B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
PACCAR designs and manufactures heavy- and medium-duty trucks under the Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF brand names, sold through a network of independent dealers across North America, Europe and other markets. Beyond building trucks, it also sells replacement parts to keep existing fleets running and lends money to dealers and truck buyers through its own finance arm, so a customer can buy a truck, service it and finance it all through PACCAR.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Most revenue comes from selling new trucks outright to fleets and owner-operators, a business with thin margins that swings with how many trucks the industry orders each year. Parts sales are steadier and more profitable, since a truck already on the road needs maintenance regardless of the economic cycle, and the financial services arm earns interest income on loans and leases, adding a third, more stable stream on top of manufacturing.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Manufacture and sale of Kenworth, Peterbilt and DAF heavy- and medium-duty trucks, the core and most cyclical part of the business.
Replacement parts sold to keep the large existing fleet of PACCAR trucks running, a steadier and higher-margin business than new truck sales.
Loans and leases provided to dealers and truck buyers across North America, Europe, Australia and South America to finance PACCAR vehicles.
Avantage concurrentiel
Économies d'échelle · ÉtroitBuilding heavy trucks at scale requires an established dealer network, decades of engineering and emissions-compliance investment, and manufacturing capacity that a new entrant cannot assemble quickly, keeping the field limited to a handful of global players. That barrier protects PACCAR's position but does not remove genuine competition: Daimler Truck, Traton's Volvo and Scania brands, and Navistar all fight for the same fleet customers.
Ce qui stimule la demande
CycliqueTruck orders follow the freight cycle closely: when shipping volumes and freight rates are strong, fleets replace and expand their trucks, and when freight demand softens, orders can fall sharply within a year, as PACCAR's own truck segment revenue decline in 2025 showed. Parts and financial services smooth this out somewhat, but the core manufacturing business remains genuinely cyclical.
Principaux risques
- Truck order cyclicality — Truck segment revenue fell 14% year over year in the fourth quarter of 2025 as freight market conditions weakened, illustrating how quickly the core business can contract in a downturn.
- Competition from other global truck makers — Daimler Truck, Traton's Volvo, Scania and Navistar brands compete directly for the same fleet and owner-operator customers across PACCAR's core markets.
- Emissions and regulatory compliance costs — Tightening emissions standards in North America and Europe require continual investment in new engine and powertrain technology, adding cost and execution risk to every truck generation.
- Tariffs and global supply chain exposure — PACCAR sources components and sells trucks across multiple countries, so changes in tariffs or trade policy can raise costs or disrupt production and sales in a given region.
- Credit risk in the finance arm — PACCAR Financial Services holds a large portfolio of loans and leases to truck buyers; a downturn that hurts trucking businesses broadly would also raise defaults on that portfolio.
Les arguments en faveur
Buyers argue that PACCAR Parts keeps delivering record, high-margin revenue that cushions the cyclical truck business, that decades of engineering and dealer relationships make the company one of only a handful of credible global heavy-truck makers, and that Financial Services adds a steady profit stream through the cycle.
Les arguments contre
Sellers worry that the core truck business is genuinely cyclical and already showing a double-digit revenue decline as freight markets soften, that emissions regulation keeps forcing costly technology investment, and that competition from Daimler Truck and Traton's brands limits pricing power in a downturn.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
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Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$27.82B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Résultat net
$2.50B
12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)
Flux de trésorerie libre
$3.67B
Capitaux propres totaux
$19.26B
Passif total
$25.07B
Ratio de liquidité général
0.71
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
4.53
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$131.22
Prix actuel
$129.26
Marge de sécurité
+1.5%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$95.71 - $166.74
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
27.30
ROE
12.3%
Ratio P/B
3.37
P/FCF
18.50
Marge brute
20.0%
ROIC
-
Radar de rentabilité
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
8.2%
ROIC − WACC
-
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (14)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 11.89%
- P/FCF 18.50
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 12.7%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 8.7%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.73
- Share Dilution -0.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Échoué (9)
- EPS CAGR 1.77%
- Gross Margin 20.0%
- P/B Ratio 3.37
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 42% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg -1.5%
- PEG Ratio 2.17
- Net Margin Trend 9.0% vs 9.9%
Indisponible (5)
- ROIC NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
Score F de Piotroski
Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. R. Preston Feight | CEO & Director | 57 |
| Mr. Kevin D. Baney | President | 54 |
| Mr. Brice J. Poplawski | Senior VP & CFO | 60 |
| Mr. Mark C. Pigott | Executive Chairman | 71 |
| Mr. John N. Rich | Executive VP & CTO | 55 |
| Ms. A. Lily Ley | VP & Chief Information Officer | 59 |
| Mr. Ken Hastings | Senior Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Michael K. Walton | VP & General Counsel | 59 |
| Paulo Henrique Bolgar | VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 56 |
| Laura J. Bloch | Senior Vice President | 47 |
Risque d'audit
2
Risque du conseil
9
Risque de rémunération
4
Risque droits des actionnaires
5
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for PCAR, sourced from Markets Gazette.