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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsPaper & Paper ProductsUnited States

Fondamental

58

Prix

$36.72

Capitalisation boursière

$1.48B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Sylvamo, spun off from International Paper in 2021, manufactures uncoated freesheet paper — the kind used for copiers, printers and offset printing — plus market pulp, at seven mills in Brazil, France, Sweden and the U.S. It also manages roughly 250,000 acres of eucalyptus plantations in Brazil that feed its own mills. The products are largely commodities sold on price rather than brand.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Revenue comes from selling tons of paper and pulp at prices set by global supply and demand, not by the company. Because the product is largely a commodity, profitability depends on running mills close to full capacity and controlling input costs — wood fiber, chemicals, energy and transport — rather than on pricing power. Demand for the category has been shrinking for years as digital alternatives replace printed paper.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

North America52.3%

Imaging, commercial printing and converting papers from mills in South Carolina and New York, plus offtake volumes purchased from a former International Paper mill.

Latin America25.6%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from three integrated mills in Brazil, sold regionally and exported worldwide under brands including Chamex.

Europe22.1%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from integrated mills in France and Sweden.

Avantage concurrentiel

Aucun avantage identifié · Aucun

The company itself states that most of its products are commodities available from other producers, with competition based mainly on price rather than brand distinction. Brand recognition and service levels play a role, but do not amount to a durable pricing advantage over rival paper makers.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

The company states that paper and pulp supply and demand are cyclical, tracking macroeconomic conditions and industry capacity, on top of a separate secular decline: global demand for uncoated freesheet paper fell at a 2.1% compound annual rate from 2019 to 2025 as digital communication and e-commerce replace print.

Principaux risques

  • Secular decline in paper demand — The company states that global demand for its core uncoated freesheet paper has been shrinking for years as email, e-billing and e-commerce replace print, and expects the decline to continue.
  • Commodity pricing and industry cyclicality — Prices for paper and pulp are set by global supply and demand rather than by the company, and industry overcapacity can prolong periods of weak pricing when competitors keep unprofitable mills running rather than close them.
  • Customer concentration — The top ten customers account for about 41% of net sales, with one customer alone at about 15%; losing a major customer or seeing distributor consolidation could hurt sales materially.
  • Raw material, energy and weather exposure — The business depends on a steady supply of wood fiber and energy; the company cites drought in Brazil that has already reduced timber yields and raised fiber costs, with further weather disruption a risk.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company states that tariffs imposed on imported goods have introduced additional competing products in some markets, pressured pricing, raised input costs and constrained its ability to import and sell certain products in the U.S.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 15% du chiffre d'affaires

The company states its top ten customers represent about 41% of net sales, including one single customer at about 15%. Losing that customer or a wave of consolidation among distributors could materially affect sales.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Sylvamo's low-cost, forest-integrated Brazilian mills give it a cost advantage in a shrinking industry, that industry-wide capacity closures should eventually balance supply and demand, and that the stock's cash generation supports a meaningful dividend even as volumes decline.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that a structurally shrinking, commodity product with no pricing power is a poor long-term business regardless of cost position, that customer concentration and tariff exposure add near-term volatility, and that Brazilian drought and currency swings make earnings hard to predict.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$3.30B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$76M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$44M

Capitaux propres totaux

$966M

Passif total

$1.80B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.47

Couverture des intérêts

3.38

Dette/EBITDA

2.21

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Sous-évalué

Juste valeur

$58.37

Prix actuel

$36.72

Marge de sécurité

+37.1%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$37.94 - $78.80

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$51.25
DCF:$187.88
PE-based:$17.91
Graham Growth:$13.99
EPV:$44.62
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (6B / 3H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-89.21%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

19.84

ROE

13.7%

Ratio P/B

1.54

P/FCF

33.58

Marge brute

-

ROIC

6.6%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.6%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (17)

  • Price CAGR 5.70%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.75
  • Share Dilution -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Échoué (7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -14.93%
  • P/FCF 33.58
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise avg -45.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.3% vs 6.1%

Indisponible (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

5/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

2.75

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-3.1%

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. John Van SimsCEO, President & Director62
Mr. Donald Paul DevlinSenior VP & CFO60
Mr. Matthew L. BarronSenior VP, Chief Administrative & Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary52
Mr. Rodrigo DavoliSenior VP & GM of North America45
Ms. Tatiana KalmanSenior VP & GM of Latin America47
Kevin W. FergusonVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Hans BjorkmanVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Marcie VargasSenior VP & Chief People Officer61
Mr. Patrick WilczynskiSenior Vice President of Operational Excellence55
Ms. Shawn LawsonSenior VP & GM of Europe48

Risque d'audit

4

Risque du conseil

1

Risque de rémunération

4

Risque droits des actionnaires

4

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SLVM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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