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Shui On Land Limited (SOLLF)

NEUTRAL
Real EstateReal Estate - DevelopmentChina

Fondamental

48

Prix

$0.41

Capitalisation boursière

$3.24B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Shui On Land develops and manages large-scale urban regeneration projects in mainland China, anchored by its Xintiandi and Lakeville brands in central Shanghai. The company builds residential, office and retail properties on redeveloped land, then either sells the residential units or keeps the commercial space to lease and manage long term. As of the end of 2025 its investment property portfolio was valued at RMB57.6 billion, spanning about 1,258,000 square metres of gross floor area.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Shui On Land earns money two ways: selling newly built apartments and offices under presale contracts, with revenue recognized when units are delivered to buyers, and collecting rent from tenants of the retail and office space it keeps and operates itself, mainly under the Xintiandi brand. In 2025 it recorded RMB7,916 million in contracted property sales — bookings for future delivery — and RMB3,625 million in rental and related income, up 2% from the prior year.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Property development in China has been cyclical and, more recently, in a prolonged downturn: nationwide sales volume and value fell 8.7% and 12.6% year-on-year during the period covered by Shui On Land's 2025 results, and the company describes industry-wide liquidity as likely to remain tight. Its rental income from completed, leased commercial space is comparatively steadier, growing even as development sales softened.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Shui On Land's shift toward rental income and asset-light partnerships is cushioning it against the broader Chinese property downturn, that its Xintiandi commercial portfolio in central Shanghai commands premium rents, and that a RMB57.6 billion investment-property base provides a tangible asset backing for the shares.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that the company still depends on selling new residential units in a Chinese property market where nationwide volumes and prices keep falling, that it reported a net loss for 2025 driven by non-cash fair-value adjustments and impairments, and that tight sector-wide liquidity could pressure its ability to fund new projects.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$4.09B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Résultat net

$-1.78B

12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action

Flux de trésorerie libre

$7.52B

Capitaux propres totaux

$42.45B

Passif total

$33.56B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.10

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

26.68

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Sous-évalué

Juste valeur

$11.28

Prix actuel

$0.41

Marge de sécurité

+96.4%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$7.33 - $15.22

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:-
DCF:$22.07
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$0.48
Consensus des analystes:Vendre (0B / 3H / 4S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-26.98%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-4.3%

Ratio P/B

0.09

P/FCF

0.43

Marge brute

51.7%

ROIC

0.5%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

0.5%

WACC

0.8%

ROIC − WACC

-0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (9)

  • Gross Margin 51.7%
  • P/FCF 0.43
  • P/B Ratio 0.09
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 35.5%

Échoué (9)

  • Price CAGR -12.53%
  • ROIC 0.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -4.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -2.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 0% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.47
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

Indisponible (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Score F de Piotroski

1/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

0.47

Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Dr. Hong Sui Lo GBS, J.P.Executive Chairman77
Ms. Jessica Ying WangCEO & Executive Director51
Ms. B. Y. LoExecutive Vice Chairman43
Mr. He Hau SungCFO, Chief Investment Officer & Executive Director58
Mr. Kim Lun Uy LL.B, P.C. L.LDirector of Legal Affairs & Company Secretary62
Mr. K. M. LeeDirector of Human Resources68
Mr. Pit Kwong WongChief Economist & Director of Development Research69
Mr. Kain Bon ChanChief Sustainability Officer and Director of Planning & Development.51
Mr. Allan B. ZhangChief Executive Officer of Shui On Xintiandi Limited46

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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