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Symbotic Inc. (SYM)

NEGATIVE
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryUnited States

Fondamental

35

Prix

$40.77

Capitalisation boursière

$24.23B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Symbotic builds robotic systems that automate warehouses: AI-guided robots that receive, store and retrieve pallets and cases inside a customer's distribution centre, replacing manual forklift and picking work. It designs the robots and software, then installs and commissions a customised system inside each customer's building — a large upfront engineering and construction project, followed by an ongoing relationship servicing and upgrading that installation for years. Walmart is by far its largest customer and the company's founding partner.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Most revenue comes from selling and installing a complete automated warehouse system: a large, project-based sale recognized as the robots and infrastructure are built and deployed at a customer's site, which makes revenue lumpy and tied to how many new sites are under construction in a given period. A smaller but growing share comes from software maintenance and operations services billed after a system goes live, which increases as more of Symbotic's installed base moves from construction into daily operation.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Systems94%

The upfront sale and installation of a complete automated warehouse system at a customer's site.

Operations services4%

Ongoing services that help a customer run an already-installed system's daily warehouse operations after it goes live.

Software maintenance and support1%

Recurring fees for maintaining and supporting the software of installed systems, still small but growing with the installed base.

Avantage concurrentiel

Coûts de changement · Étroit

Once Symbotic's robots and software are built into a warehouse's physical layout, replacing the system means ripping out custom infrastructure and rebuilding around a competitor's design — an expensive, disruptive step most customers would avoid once a site is running. That lock-in mainly protects revenue at sites already built, though: it does not stop a customer from choosing a rival automation provider for its next new warehouse.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Cyclique

Revenue depends on the pace at which a small number of very large retail and logistics customers commit capital to build new automated warehouses, decisions made in multi-year capital budgets that can be accelerated, paused or cancelled. Because Symbotic's near-term revenue tracks a handful of these large capital commitments rather than broad-based demand, results can swing sharply based on the timing of just one or two customer decisions.

Principaux risques

  • Extreme customer concentration on Walmart — More than 84% of revenue came from a single customer, Walmart, in fiscal 2025; any change in the pace, scope or terms of Walmart's rollout plan would have an outsized effect on results.
  • Complex, large-scale project execution risk — Each installation is a custom engineering and construction project; delays, cost overruns or technical problems in deploying a system can push out when revenue is recognized and increase the cost of delivering it.
  • Reliance on the GreenBox joint venture structure — A meaningful part of Symbotic's growth plan runs through GreenBox, a joint venture that depends on its own separate financing and customer relationships, adding a layer of complexity and risk outside Symbotic's direct control.
  • Backlog conversion risk — A large share of Symbotic's reported backlog is not expected to convert into revenue for years; if a customer delays, renegotiates or cancels a project, backlog figures overstate the revenue that will actually materialize.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 84% du chiffre d'affaires

More than 84% of fiscal 2025 revenue came from Walmart, Symbotic's founding customer and largest shareholder-linked partner; the pace and scale of Walmart's own warehouse rollout plans therefore dominate Symbotic's near-term results.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that Symbotic's backlog of tens of billions of dollars gives it years of revenue visibility most companies its size do not have, that its deep partnership with Walmart could expand into other large retailers, and that automating warehouses is still in its early stages across the wider logistics industry.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that a business generating more than 84% of revenue from one customer has essentially no room for that relationship to sour, that converting a large backlog into actual revenue depends on execution across many complex, custom installations, and that the GreenBox joint venture adds a layer of financing and operational risk outside Symbotic's direct control.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$2.65B

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Résultat net

$8M

12 derniers mois (au 27/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

-

Capitaux propres totaux

$220M

Passif total

$1.92B

Ratio de liquidité général

1.33

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

-

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Justement valorisé

Juste valeur

$41.34

Prix actuel

$40.77

Marge de sécurité

+1.4%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$26.87 - $55.81

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$64.32
DCF:$3.70
PE-based:$1.76
Graham Growth:$0.65
EPV:$0.92
Consensus des analystes:Acheter (13B / 7H / 3S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:-128.95%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

800.60

ROE

-7.7%

Ratio P/B

34.11

P/FCF

-

Marge brute

21.3%

ROIC

-0.0%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-0.0%

WACC

15.4%

ROIC − WACC

-15.4 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (7)

  • Price CAGR 33.14%
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 89.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 108.96
  • Net Margin Trend 0.3% vs -0.3%

Échoué (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • ROIC -0.0%
  • Gross Margin 21.3%
  • P/B Ratio 34.11
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin -0.0%
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 2.2%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -81.2%
  • Share Dilution 9.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponible (7)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Score F de Piotroski

4/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

108.96

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

9.9%

Émission de nouvelles actions, diluant la participation

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Richard B. CohenChairman of the Board, President & CEO72
Ms. Izilda P. MartinsCFO & Treasurer54
Dr. James KuffnerChief Technology Officer54
Mr. Michael DunnChief Customer officer51
Mr. Walter OdishoChief Manufacturing & Supply Chain Officer61
Ms. Maria G. FreveVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer51
Mr. Charles Lowell AndersonVice President of Investor Relations & Corporate Development-
Mr. Corey C. DuFresneChief Legal Officer & Secretary53
Ms. Miriam OrtChief Human Resources Officer43
Mr. William Boyd IIIChief Strategy Officer58

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

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