Universal Music Group N.V. (UMGNF)
NEUTRALFondamental
55
Prix
$14.88
Capitalisation boursière
$26.94B
Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise
Vue d'ensemble
Universal Music Group signs recording artists and songwriters, funds and markets their music, and owns the resulting recordings and song rights, collecting money whenever that music is streamed, broadcast, licensed for film and advertising, or sold as a physical record. It is the largest of the three major music companies (alongside Sony Music and Warner Music), with a roster of labels spanning pop, hip-hop, country and classical, and it also runs a publishing arm that owns rights to the songs themselves, separate from the recordings.
Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent
Most revenue now comes from digital streaming subscriptions and ad-supported platforms, which pay UMG a share of subscriber fees or advertising revenue based on how often its music is played, plus fixed licensing payments negotiated directly with a handful of large platforms. A smaller share still comes from physical album sales, and Music Publishing earns separately whenever a song UMG controls the rights to is performed, synced to video or covered by another artist, regardless of who recorded it.
Chiffre d'affaires par segment
Revenue from streaming, physical sales and licensing of the recordings UMG owns or distributes for its signed artists.
Royalties earned whenever a song UMG controls the rights to is performed, streamed, synced to video or covered by another artist.
Artist merchandise and other smaller revenue lines not broken out separately.
Ce qui stimule la demande
DéfensifMusic listening is a habitual, low-cost activity that holds up well across the economic cycle, and most revenue now comes from recurring subscriptions rather than discretionary purchases. Growth instead depends on how fast streaming subscriptions and pricing keep expanding worldwide, and on the terms UMG can negotiate with a small number of dominant streaming platforms it depends on for distribution.
Principaux risques
- Streaming growth may slow — The company names the failure of streaming and subscription adoption or revenue to grow, or to grow as rapidly as anticipated, as a key risk to its results.
- Dependence on a few digital platforms — UMG relies on a small number of large digital service providers for distribution; changes those platforms make to subscription pricing, royalty structures or recommendation algorithms can directly affect UMG's revenue growth.
- Generative AI and copyright uncertainty — The company faces uncertainty from evolving copyright, data privacy and artificial intelligence regulation in the US and Europe, as generative AI raises new questions about how music rights are used and compensated.
- Competition to sign and retain artists — The company names its ability to compete successfully to identify, attract, sign and retain successful recording artists and songwriters as a material risk, since the roster of talent is the source of everything else it sells.
Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Bilan & Liquidités
Chiffre d'affaires
$18.78B
12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action
Résultat net
$322M
12 derniers mois jusqu'au dernier trimestre publié — estimation à partir de ratios par action
Flux de trésorerie libre
$1.79B
Capitaux propres totaux
$4.55B
Passif total
$5.56B
Ratio de liquidité général
0.61
Couverture des intérêts
-
Dette/EBITDA
2.52
Bénéfice par action
Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net
Flux de trésorerie libre
Décomposition du résultat
État historique
Marges dans le temps
La dette dans le temps
Le poids de la dette
Grille de la croissance
Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires
Estimation de la juste valeur
Juste valeur
$11.27
Prix actuel
$14.88
Marge de sécurité
-32.0%
Fourchette de juste valeur
$7.33 - $15.22
Méthodes d'estimation
Indicateurs de valorisation
Ratio P/E
84.24
ROE
7.7%
Ratio P/B
7.37
P/FCF
15.04
Marge brute
28.6%
ROIC
14.9%
Radar de rentabilité
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
14.9%
WACC
9.1%
ROIC − WACC
+5.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Critères d'analyse fondamentale
Réussi (12)
- ROIC 14.9%
- P/FCF 15.04
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 22.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 7.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 11.0%
- Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.08
Échoué (9)
- Price CAGR -7.56%
- Gross Margin 28.6%
- P/B Ratio 7.37
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- PEG Ratio 4.33
- Net Margin Trend 12.3% vs 17.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponible (6)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Score F de Piotroski
Préoccupations financières sérieuses
Qualité des bénéfices
Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie
Dilution du capital
Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires
Gouvernance
Équipe dirigeante
| Nom | Titre | Âge |
|---|---|---|
| Sir Lucian Grainge CBE | Chairman & CEO | 65 |
| Mr. Vincent Vallejo | Deputy CEO of Corporate & Executive Director | 64 |
| Mr. Matthew D. Ellis | Chief Financial Officer | 54 |
| Mr. Boyd Muir | Executive VP & COO | 65 |
| Mr. Will Tanous | Executive VP & Chief Administrative Officer | 56 |
| Mr. Jeffrey Harleston J.D. | General Counsel and Executive VP of Business & Legal Affairs | 63 |
| Mr. Eric Hutcherson | Executive VP and Chief People & Inclusion Officer | 55 |
| Mr. Michael Nash | Executive VP & Chief Digital Officer | 68 |
| Ms. Tseyin Foo | President of Global Supply Chain | - |
| Mr. Philippe Flageul | Executive VP & Controller | 60 |
Risque d'audit
4
Risque du conseil
1
Risque de rémunération
10
Risque droits des actionnaires
4
Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer
Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.
Latest News
Recent headlines for UMGNF, sourced from Markets Gazette.