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VNV Global AB (publ) (VSTKF)

NEGATIVE
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementSweden

Fondamental

25

Prix

$17.70

Capitalisation boursière

$2.27B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

VNV Global does not run an operating business of its own. It is a Swedish investment company that buys minority stakes — mostly single-digit to mid-teens percentages — in privately held, fast-growing internet companies with network effects, such as the ride-sharing marketplace BlaBlaCar and the e-scooter operator Voi, and sells them later, typically to a strategic buyer or through a public listing. Its own reported result is the change in the estimated fair value of those stakes, not the sales of the companies it invests in.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

VNV does not earn revenue in the conventional sense: it holds equity stakes recorded at estimated fair value, and its profit or loss each period is simply the change in that valuation, driven by portfolio companies' own funding rounds, market comparables and eventual sale prices. About 97% of the investment portfolio consists of such equity stakes rather than interest-bearing assets, so results can swing sharply with venture-capital sentiment even before any company is sold.

Principaux risques

  • Execution risk inside portfolio companies — The company states that all portfolio companies carry the risk of losses from deficient procedures, failure to improve products, failure to renew licensing agreements or failure to stay competitive.
  • Valuation of unlisted holdings — The company states that a 10% decrease in the price of its non-quoted shares would have affected post-tax profit and equity by about USD 63 million at the end of 2024, illustrating how sensitive results are to estimated fair value.
  • Exposure to early-stage companies — The company states that most of its portfolio consists of startups and other early-stage companies that typically generate negative cash flow and may need additional capital to keep operating.
  • Disposal risk — VNV states it has an explicit exit strategy of selling holdings to strategic investors or through the market, and that there is a risk it will not succeed in selling at the price recorded on its balance sheet.
  • Dependence on key individuals — The company states it is dependent on its senior executives, naming its Managing Director as of particular significance, and that it could be seriously affected if a senior executive left.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that VNV's network and experience let it back internet companies with strong network effects before they are widely recognized, that several holdings such as BlaBlaCar and Voi have reached positive EBITDA, and that the stock has historically traded at a discount to its own reported net asset value.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that most of the portfolio is unlisted and internally valued, making reported results hard to verify, that early-stage companies can need repeated capital injections that dilute value, and that a discount to net asset value can persist for years without closing.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

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Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

0

Exercice clos le 31/12/2025

Résultat net

$-259M

Exercice clos le 31/12/2025

Flux de trésorerie libre

$-84M

Capitaux propres totaux

$461M

Passif total

$27M

Ratio de liquidité général

8.28

Couverture des intérêts

-

Dette/EBITDA

-

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Sous-évalué

Juste valeur

$23.63

Prix actuel

$17.70

Marge de sécurité

+25.1%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$22.45 - $24.81

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$23.63
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (5B / 1H / 0S)

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

-

ROE

-24.8%

Ratio P/B

5.23

P/FCF

-

Marge brute

0.0%

ROIC

-2.1%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-2.1%

WACC

10.0%

ROIC − WACC

-12.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (4)

  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 10.8%
  • Current Ratio
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy

Échoué (9)

  • Price CAGR -26.04%
  • ROIC -2.1%
  • Gross Margin 0.0%
  • P/B Ratio 5.23
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -25.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -69.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponible (14)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Score F de Piotroski

2/9

Préoccupations financières sérieuses

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

-

Qualité faible : examiner la comptabilité

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Per BriliothCEO, MD & Board Member56
Mr. Bjorn Von SiversChief Financial Officer37
Ms. Elise KlackenbergGeneral Counsel32
Mr. Dennis MohammadInvestment Manager-

Risque d'audit

5

Risque du conseil

5

Risque de rémunération

10

Risque droits des actionnaires

1

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

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