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Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG)

POSITIVE
Communication ServicesEntertainmentUnited States

Fondamental

76

Prix

$27.97

Capitalisation boursière

$14.19B

Partie 1 · Ce que vaut l'entreprise

Vue d'ensemble

Warner Music Group signs recording artists and songwriters, then owns or controls the rights to their recordings and compositions for decades. Recorded Music, built around labels like Atlantic and Warner Records, earns royalties whenever a song streams, plays or sells. Music Publishing owns the underlying songwriting rights and collects a separate royalty whenever those songs are performed, synced into film and TV, or recorded by anyone. It is one of only three companies — alongside Universal and Sony — that control most of the world's recorded music catalog.

Comment l'entreprise gagne de l'argent

Streaming is the dominant source of revenue: digital services pay Warner a share of subscription and advertising revenue, or a per-stream rate, based on negotiated licensing deals. Because the company owns decades of back catalog, much of this income keeps arriving with little new spending — an old hit streamed today still pays a royalty today. Music Publishing works the same way but on the composition side, collecting whenever a song is used, not just when the original recording plays.

Chiffre d'affaires par segment

Recorded Music81%

Owning and licensing sound recordings from artists on Atlantic, Warner Records and other labels, monetized through streaming, downloads and physical sales.

Music Publishing19%

Owning songwriting and composition rights, collecting royalties when songs are performed, synced to film and TV, or covered by other artists.

Avantage concurrentiel

Brevets et licences · Étroit

A catalog of owned master recordings and publishing rights keeps paying royalties for decades after the original spending on an artist, which a new entrant cannot buy quickly. But Warner competes against two labels of similar scale, Universal and Sony, so the advantage comes from being one of few, not from being unique.

Ce qui stimule la demande

Modérément cyclique

Music streaming subscriptions are a relatively small, sticky household expense that tends to survive economic downturns better than discretionary entertainment spending, so demand is fairly resilient. Advertising-supported streaming and physical/merchandise sales are more exposed to consumer spending cycles, and a weak year for new superstar releases can also soften growth independent of the economy.

Principaux risques

  • Dependence on a few streaming platforms — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple together accounted for about 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue; a change in their pricing or royalty terms could materially reduce revenue.
  • Digital piracy — The company identifies organized, industrial-scale piracy as a continuing threat that diverts listening away from paid and licensed channels.
  • Retaining artists and songwriters — Future growth depends on signing and keeping successful recording artists and songwriters, and on having superstar releases in any given year — neither of which is guaranteed.
  • Rates set by regulators and collecting societies — A meaningful share of revenue is subject to rates set by government bodies or local collecting societies rather than freely negotiated, which can cap profitability regardless of demand.

Concentration des clients

Les principaux clients représentent 43% du chiffre d'affaires

A limited number of digital music services — Spotify, Google/YouTube and Apple among them — together accounted for approximately 43% of fiscal 2025 revenue, so a dispute with any one of them is not a minor event.

Les arguments en faveur

Buyers argue that owning a decades-deep catalog of masters and publishing rights produces royalties with almost no incremental cost, that streaming still has room to grow globally, and that being one of only three major labels gives Warner real leverage in negotiating terms with platforms.

Les arguments contre

Sellers fear that a handful of streaming platforms have enough bargaining power to squeeze per-stream payouts over time, that piracy and rate-regulated income cap upside, and that a run of weak new releases can hurt results in ways a deep catalog cannot fully offset.

Written by the editors, published on 18 août 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Bilan & Liquidités

Chiffre d'affaires

$7.30B

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Résultat net

$672M

12 derniers mois (au 30/06/2026)

Flux de trésorerie libre

$539M

Capitaux propres totaux

$647M

Passif total

$9.07B

Ratio de liquidité général

0.73

Couverture des intérêts

5.52

Dette/EBITDA

4.60

Bénéfice par action

Chiffre d'affaires & Résultat net

Flux de trésorerie libre

Décomposition du résultat

État historique

Marges dans le temps

La dette dans le temps

Le poids de la dette

Grille de la croissance

Croissance — Chiffre d'affaires

Estimation de la juste valeur

Sous-évalué

Juste valeur

$2104991.20

Prix actuel

$27.97

Marge de sécurité

+100.0%

Fourchette de juste valeur

$1368244.40 - $2841738.20

Méthodes d'estimation

Analyst Target:$36.88
DCF:$8419885.42
PE-based:$20.43
Graham Growth:$20.35
EPV:$10.59
Consensus des analystes:Achat fort (18B / 5H / 0S)
Dernière surprise sur les résultats:+13.04%

Indicateurs de valorisation

Ratio P/E

28.61

ROE

56.4%

Ratio P/B

0.00

P/FCF

0.00

Marge brute

45.8%

ROIC

12.6%

Radar de rentabilité

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

12.6%

WACC

9.6%

ROIC − WACC

+3.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critères d'analyse fondamentale

Réussi (16)

  • ROIC 12.6%
  • Gross Margin 45.8%
  • P/FCF 0.00
  • P/B Ratio 0.00
  • Operating Margin 13.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 67.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 78% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.40
  • Net Margin Trend 9.2% vs 4.6%

Échoué (6)

  • Price CAGR -5.46%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Earnings Surprise avg -2.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponible (5)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Score F de Piotroski

4/9

Signaux mixtes : certains domaines nécessitent attention

score
criteria

Qualité des bénéfices

1.40

Qualité élevée : bénéfices soutenus par la trésorerie

Dilution du capital

-

Rachat d'actions. Favorable aux actionnaires

Gouvernance

Équipe dirigeante

NomTitreÂge
Mr. Robert KynclPresident, CEO & Director54
Ms. Carletta HigginsonExecutive VP & Chief Digital Officer47
Mr. Armin ZerzaExecutive Officer55
Mr. Guy MootCo-Chair & CEO of Warner Chappell Music59
Ms. Carianne MarshallCo-Chair & COO of Warner Chappell Music47
Mr. Louis DicklerActing CFO, Senior VP, Global Controller & Chief Accounting Officer47
Mr. Tom CorsonChief Operating Officer-
Mr. Leho NigulChief Technology Officer-
Mr. Kareem ChinSenior VP & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Paul Martin Robinson Esq., J.D.Executive VP & General Counsel67

Risque d'audit

4

Risque du conseil

9

Risque de rémunération

8

Risque droits des actionnaires

10

Partie 2 · Le prix et le moment d'entrer

Cette partie ne dit pas si l'entreprise vaut la peine : elle aide à choisir quand l'acheter, une fois que les fondamentaux vous ont convaincu. À l'intérieur : analyse technique, potentiel, baisses historiques, exposition gamma.

Latest News

Recent headlines for WMG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/8/2026POSITIVE
    Warner Music Hits All The Right Notes With Blowout Quarter, Analyst Says More Growth Ahead

    Warner Music Group (WMG) shares surged following a robust Q2 performance that significantly surpassed Wall Street's expectations for both earnings and revenue. The company's strong growth in streaming services, coupled with notable margin expansion, has positioned it favorably. This blowout quarter, highlighted by positive analyst ratings including an initiation of coverage with a 'Buy' from Deutsche Bank and an 'Outperform' from Credit Suisse, suggests continued upward momentum. Investors are likely to see this as a strong indicator of WMG's operational efficiency and market resilience, potentially driving further stock appreciation.

  • 4/1/2026POSITIVE
    Warner Music Targets Indie Boom With Revelator Buyout

    Warner Music Group (WMG) has announced the acquisition of Revelator, a music technology company specializing in rights management and label services. This strategic move aims to bolster WMG's capabilities in serving independent artists and labels, enhancing its digital infrastructure for royalty distribution and metadata management. The acquisition is expected to streamline operations and unlock new revenue streams within the rapidly growing independent music sector. For investors, this acquisition signals WMG's commitment to innovation and expansion in a key growth area, potentially leading to increased market share and improved profitability.

via Markets Gazette