ADMA Biologics Inc (ADMA)
NEUTRALFundamental
71
मूल्य
$9.59
मार्केट कैप
$2.17B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
ADMA Biologics is a U.S. maker of specialty biologics derived from human blood plasma. It sells three FDA-approved products: ASCENIV, an intravenous immune globulin (IVIG) made from plasma with a standardized high titer of antibodies against respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and approved to treat primary humoral immunodeficiency; BIVIGAM, a standard IVIG for the same indication; and Nabi-HB, a hepatitis B immune globulin. Patients with primary immunodeficiency lack a working antibody defence and typically depend on monthly, lifelong infusions. ADMA is vertically integrated: its ADMA BioCenters subsidiary ran ten FDA-licensed plasma collection centers through 31 December 2025 (eight as of the filing date, and seven expected after a divestiture of three centers completes), and its Boca Raton, Florida plant fractionates plasma into finished vials, a cycle the company says takes 7 to 12 months per batch. It had 647 employees at year-end 2025. The filing notes only four producers of plasma-derived products in the U.S.: CSL Behring, Grifols, Takeda and ADMA.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Almost all revenue comes from selling vials of finished immune globulin. ASCENIV, BIVIGAM and Nabi-HB are sold mainly through independent distributors and drug wholesalers acting as sales agents, plus specialty pharmacies serving hospitals, ambulatory and home infusion sites; ADMA's own specialty sales force and medical science liaisons promote the products to prescribers, while third-party payers and Medicaid rebates determine the net price actually collected. A small second stream comes from plasma itself: liters collected at ADMA BioCenters that are not needed to make ADMA's own products are sold to third-party customers under supply agreements or on the open spot market. There is no royalty, licensing or subscription component of any size; revenue tracks vials shipped, and every vial is constrained by a 7-to-12-month collection-to-release manufacturing cycle.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
The company's high-titer anti-RSV immune globulin for primary humoral immunodeficiency, targeted at complex and comorbid patients and infused at hospitals, clinics and home infusion sites. Revenue was $362.5 million in FY2025, up from $239.6 million in FY2024.
A standard intravenous immune globulin for primary humoral immunodeficiency, sold through the same distributor and specialty-pharmacy network. Revenue was $122.0 million in FY2025, down from $142.4 million in FY2024 as the mix shifted toward ASCENIV.
The ADMA BioCenters network, a separate reportable segment, sells to third-party fractionators in the U.S. and abroad the source plasma it collects but does not need for ADMA's own products. Revenue was $17.0 million in FY2025; plasma transferred internally moves at cost with no mark-up and therefore generates no reported revenue.
By-products and intermediate fractions of the manufacturing process sold to other fractionators, together with Nabi-HB, the hepatitis B immune globulin, which the company groups here because it has historically been under 10% of the segment. Revenue was $8.6 million in FY2025, down from $34.0 million in FY2024.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्णASCENIV, which is now about seven-tenths of revenue, rests on a patented composition: U.S. Patent No. 9,107,906 covers pooled plasma with a standardized, elevated titer of RSV-neutralizing antibodies and the immunoglobulin made from it, and further patents cover related compositions and methods. Around the patents sit trade secrets the company describes as proprietary donor selection criteria, formulation methodologies, reagents and the anti-RSV microneutralization assay used to identify high-titer donors. Layered on top is the regulatory barrier common to plasma: collection centers and each finished product need separate FDA licences, and the 10-K states there are only four producers of plasma-derived products in the U.S. The advantage is real but bounded — the patents expire, competitors CSL Behring, Grifols and Takeda are far larger with lower cost structures, and new anti-FcRn drugs may displace part of general IVIG use.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवDemand comes from patients whose immune system cannot make working antibodies. The filing describes primary immunodeficiency as a group of hereditary disorders whose patients typically receive monthly outpatient IVIG infusions and, in marked antibody deficiency, are generally dependent on that therapy for survival. That makes volumes largely independent of the economic cycle: a recession does not stop a monthly infusion. What actually moves ADMA's revenue is supply and adoption rather than the cycle — how much source and high-titer RSV plasma it can collect or buy, how much finished product its plant can release on a 7-to-12-month cycle, how many prescribers and payers adopt ASCENIV, and how reimbursement policy evolves. The company cites a 2024 industry report putting U.S. sales of immune and hyperimmune globulins at roughly $13 billion in 2024, expected to exceed $30 billion by 2033. The identifiable structural threat is substitution, not recession: the filing points to anti-FcRn drugs already approved in myasthenia gravis and in development for CIDP, ITP and pemphigus vulgaris, which may displace a subset of general IVIG use.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- A handful of customers carries most of the revenue — The company discloses that two customers, BioCare and CuraScript, together accounted for roughly 73% of consolidated revenues in FY2025 (72% in FY2024 and in FY2023), and that two customers represented about 87% of accounts receivable at 31 December 2025. It states that losing any of these customers, or a material change in the revenue they generate, could have a material adverse effect on the business.
- Supply of source and high-titer plasma can become the binding constraint — Among its principal risk factors the company lists becoming supply-constrained if it cannot obtain adequate quantities of FDA-approved source and high-titer plasma with the right specifications, or other necessary raw materials; it also flags that there can be no assurance it will succeed in collecting and procuring an adequate supply of high-titer anti-RSV plasma, the input ASCENIV depends on.
- Dependence on third parties for filling, testing and part of the plasma — The company contracts third parties for filling, packaging, testing and labeling of the drug substance it manufactures and obtains source plasma from certain third parties. It warns that these services and raw materials may not arrive on time, in sufficient quantity or to specification, which could delay availability of finished product and hurt commercialization and revenue. It adds that third-party researchers, developers and vendors perform pre- and post-approval services partly outside its control.
- FDA inspections and post-approval restrictions on both segments — Both business segments, the facilities, suppliers and contractors are subject to periodic FDA and other regulatory inspections that can end in observations, notices, citations, warning letters or other enforcement action. Approved products could also face post-marketing restrictions or withdrawal from the market, and the company could incur substantial penalties for non-compliance or unanticipated problems after approval. Quality and compliance problems are listed separately as capable of causing a loss of customer confidence.
- Manufacturing scale-up may not keep pace with demand — The company warns it may be unable to expand its manufacturing processes to fulfil demand for its products, or to increase production capability by adding new equipment, including if it does not obtain the required FDA approvals for that equipment or those processes.
- Medicaid rebate accruals are estimates that can move results — Accruals for U.S. Medicaid rebates and other liabilities tied to immunoglobulin sales are estimates based on historical experience and assumptions. The company states these estimates are subject to change with actual results and other factors, and that any such change could materially affect its business, financial position and operating results.
- Profitability is recent and may not last; debt can be accelerated — The company notes that although it earned net income of $197.7 million in 2024 and $146.9 million in 2025, it lost $28.2 million in 2023 and has an accumulated deficit of $161.7 million since inception in 2004; it may not maintain profitability or positive cash flow. Separately, its senior secured credit facility with JPMorgan can be accelerated in specified circumstances, which may let the lender take possession of and dispose of the collateral.
- Market-size forecasts and label expansion may not deliver — The company cautions that estimates of market opportunity and forecasts of market and revenue growth in its filings may prove inaccurate, and that even if those markets grow as forecast its own business may not grow at similar rates. It also states that its ability to market or seek approval of ASCENIV for indications beyond primary immunodeficiency is limited unless additional clinical trials succeed and the FDA approves the required submission.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 73% हिस्सा है
For FY2025 two customers, BioCare and CuraScript (Priority Healthcare Distribution), together represented approximately 73% of consolidated revenues, against 72% in each of FY2024 and FY2023 — so the concentration is structural, not a one-year accident. Both are attributable to the ADMA BioManufacturing segment; no customer of the Plasma Collection Centers segment exceeded 10% of consolidated revenue. The exposure is even sharper on the balance sheet: two customers accounted for about 87% of consolidated accounts receivable at 31 December 2025 (three customers, about 91%, a year earlier). These are distributors rather than end payers, so the underlying demand is spread across many infusion sites and insurers, but the cash still passes through very few hands. The company says it plans to diversify its distribution and customer network in 2026.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that the mix shift toward ASCENIV is doing the heavy lifting: ASCENIV grew from $239.6 million in 2024 to $362.5 million in 2025 while BIVIGAM shrank, and ASCENIV is the higher-value, patent-protected product, so the same plant produces a richer revenue mix. They point to the yield-enhancement process commercialised in 2025, which the company says lifts production yields by roughly 20% from the same starting plasma volume, with 2026 the first full year of yield-enhanced output — more sellable vials from plasma already paid for. They note the shift to buying RSV plasma from third parties rather than collecting it all in-house, alongside the sale of three collection centers and long-term supply agreements giving access to some 280+ centers, which the company frames as freeing capital while securing supply into the late 2030s. They add that the business has turned profitable, with net income of $197.7 million in 2024 and $146.9 million in 2025, that a pediatric label expansion for ASCENIV was filed in June 2025 with possible FDA approval in the first half of 2026, and that the SG-001 pneumococcal hyperimmune program is a further option the company estimates at $300-500 million of peak annual revenue if approved.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that a company this concentrated has little margin for error. Roughly 73% of revenue passes through two distributors and about 87% of receivables sat with two customers at year-end 2025; ASCENIV alone is around seven-tenths of revenue, so one product, one plant in Boca Raton and two customers carry almost the whole business. They stress the physical constraints ADMA itself discloses: a 7-to-12-month cycle from collection to release means demand cannot be met quickly, and the company warns it could become supply-constrained if adequate FDA-approved source and high-titer plasma is unavailable — the very input now increasingly bought from third parties rather than collected in-house. They point to the regulatory single point of failure, since both segments and their suppliers face periodic FDA inspection that can end in warning letters or enforcement, and approved products can face post-marketing restrictions or withdrawal. They note the declining lines beside the growing one: BIVIGAM fell from $142.4 million to $122.0 million and intermediates and other from $34.0 million to $8.6 million in 2025. They also cite competition from CSL Behring, Grifols and Takeda, which the filing describes as having lower cost structures and greater resources, and the anti-FcRn class the company itself flags as capable of displacing a subset of IVIG use — while ASCENIV's patent protection, the core of the story, is finite.
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Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 23 अगस्त 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Grifols is one of only four fractionators making plasma-derived immune globulin for the U.S. market, selling IVIG brands such as Gamunex-C alongside the HyperHEP B hepatitis B hyperimmune that competes head-on with ADMA's Nabi-HB.
Takeda's immunoglobulin franchise — Gammagard Liquid, Cuvitru and Hyqvia — targets the same primary immunodeficiency patients and the same U.S. specialty-pharmacy and hospital channels as BIVIGAM and ASCENIV.
Through CSL Behring, CSL is the largest plasma collector and sells competing IVIG and subcutaneous immune globulin products (Privigen, Hizentra) to the same U.S. immunodeficiency prescribers ADMA sells to.
Octapharma is a privately held fractionator whose Octagam and Panzyga immune globulins compete directly with BIVIGAM for standard IVIG volume and pricing in the United States.
Kamada markets HepaGam B, the hepatitis B immune globulin that competes with ADMA's Nabi-HB for U.S. post-exposure prophylaxis and liver-transplant use, and sells a comparable portfolio of specialty hyperimmunes.
Kedrion is a privately held Italian fractionator that supplies immune globulin and hyperimmune plasma products to the same U.S. hospital and specialty-distribution customers ADMA serves.
बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$512M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$169M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$28M
कुल इक्विटी
$477M
कुल देनदारियाँ
$147M
Current Ratio
6.97
Interest Coverage
25.44
Debt/EBITDA
1.02
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$12.95
वर्तमान मूल्य
$9.59
Margin of Safety
+25.9%
Fair Value सीमा
$9.12 - $16.78
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
13.64
ROE
30.8%
P/B Ratio
5.24
P/FCF
18.37
Gross Margin
64.7%
ROIC
29.1%
लाभप्रदता Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
29.1%
WACC
8.0%
ROIC − WACC
+21.1 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (20)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 6.75%
- ROIC 29.1%
- Gross Margin 64.7%
- P/FCF 18.37
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 43.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 39.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 64.6%
- Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 0.81
- Share Dilution 0.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
फेल (5)
- P/B Ratio 5.24
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -3.0%
- Net Margin Trend 33.0% vs 44.1%
अनुपलब्ध (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
मध्यम: मुनाफे और नकदी के बीच कुछ अंतर
शेयर Dilution
शेयर संख्या स्थिर है
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Adam S. Grossman | Co-Founder, President, CEO & Director | 48 |
| Dr. Jerrold B. Grossman D.P.S., Ph.D. | Co-Founder & Vice Chairman of the Board | 77 |
| Mr. P. Terence Kohler | CFO & Treasurer | - |
| Ms. Kaitlin M. Kestenberg | COO & Senior VP of Compliance | 38 |
| Mr. Michael Goldstein | General Counsel | - |
| Mr. John Hafl | Executive Director of Sales | - |
| Mr. Skyler Bloom | Senior Director of Business Development & Corporate Strategy | - |
Audit जोखिम
9
बोर्ड जोखिम
5
मुआवजा जोखिम
6
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
8
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for ADMA, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 2/28/2026NEUTRALADMA Biologics (ADMA) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
ADMA Biologics has announced the availability of its Q4 2025 earnings transcript. However, the detailed content of this transcript has not yet been made public. This means that, currently, investors cannot access key financial data such as revenues, profit margins, or the company's future guidance. The absence of concrete information prevents an in-depth analysis of ADMA Biologics' performance and financial health. The market remains on hold for these crucial details, which will be essential for evaluating the stock's trajectory and growth prospects. Until the full publication, uncertainty will prevail regarding the stock's direction.
via Markets Gazette