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Cathay Pacific Airways Limited (CPCAY)

POSITIVE
IndustrialsAirlinesHong Kong

Fundamental

82

मूल्य

$14.60

मार्केट कैप

$88.60B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Cathay Pacific is Hong Kong's home airline, flying passengers and freight between Hong Kong and destinations across Asia, North America, Europe and Australia, using the city's international airport as its hub. The group also owns the low-cost carrier HK Express and a large cargo operation that flies dedicated freighter aircraft. Its business depends on Hong Kong remaining an attractive stopover point for travellers and shippers moving between Asia and the rest of the world.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

The airline sells seats and cargo space on scheduled flights; revenue is booked when a passenger flies or a shipment moves, and results move with two separate drivers — how full the planes are (load factor) and how much each seat or kilogram of cargo fetches (yield). Fuel is the single largest cost, so profitability is squeezed whenever oil prices rise faster than fares and freight rates can be adjusted.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Passenger and Other79.2%

Passenger flights on Cathay Pacific and HK Express, plus catering, engineering and other airline-related services; not broken out separately in reported results.

Cargo20.8%

Dedicated freighter and belly-hold cargo capacity, which carried 1.67 million tonnes in 2025 for HK$24.3 billion in revenue.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

स्केल · संकीर्ण

Cathay's position as the dominant carrier at Hong Kong International Airport, with decades of accumulated route rights, slots and a large widebody fleet, gives it a real hub advantage that a new entrant could not quickly replicate. The advantage is narrow: airlines compete hard on price for the same passengers, and Cathay's own results show yields falling under regional competition even as the hub advantage holds.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

चक्रीय

Air travel and air freight demand rise and fall with global trade and travel activity, and fares fall quickly whenever regional airlines add capacity, as happened across Asia in 2025 as carriers restored seats after the pandemic. Jet fuel, priced off volatile crude oil, is a further swing factor the airline can only partly hedge.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Geopolitical route disruption — A volatile geopolitical environment can force sudden route cancellations and reroutings, as happened when the group cancelled all flights to Dubai and Riyadh in response to Middle East tensions, cutting capacity with little notice.
  • Fuel price volatility — Jet fuel is one of the largest items on the airline's cost base; management has hedged only around 30% of anticipated 2026 fuel needs at roughly $70 a barrel for Brent crude, leaving most of the exposure unhedged.
  • Regional competition on fares — Asian airlines restoring post-pandemic capacity pushed fares down across the region in 2025, cutting Cathay Pacific's full-service yield by 12% and low-cost subsidiary HK Express's yield by 23% year on year.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that Cathay's Hong Kong hub advantage remains intact, that group profit rose to HK$10.8 billion in 2025 on record passenger volumes, and that continued long-haul network expansion to North America and Europe positions the airline to keep capturing recovering travel demand.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers worry that regional overcapacity is already pushing fares and yields down, that geopolitical shocks can force route cancellations with almost no warning, and that with most of its fuel exposure unhedged a sustained rise in oil prices would hit margins hard just as competitive pressure caps how much fares can rise.

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$105.52B

अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित

शुद्ध आय

$9.79B

अंतिम प्रकाशित तिमाही तक के पिछले 12 महीने — प्रति शेयर मेट्रिक्स से अनुमानित

Free Cash Flow

$15.46B

कुल इक्विटी

$58.02B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$63.49B

Current Ratio

0.44

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

2.79

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

कम मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$28.51

वर्तमान मूल्य

$14.60

Margin of Safety

+48.8%

Fair Value सीमा

$18.53 - $38.49

अनुमान विधियाँ

Analyst Target:$15.88
DCF:$65.11
PE-based:$18.26
Graham Growth:$33.54
EPV:$21.21
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (11B / 3H / 1S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:-22.94%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

9.05

ROE

24.5%

P/B Ratio

1.63

P/FCF

5.73

Gross Margin

64.0%

ROIC

8.2%

लाभप्रदता Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.2%

WACC

4.7%

ROIC − WACC

+3.5 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (16)

  • ROIC 8.2%
  • Gross Margin 64.0%
  • P/FCF 5.73
  • P/B Ratio 1.63
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 19.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 20.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 50.5%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.58
  • Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 9.2%

फेल (4)

  • Price CAGR 4.73%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

अनुपलब्ध (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

2.58

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Guy Martin Coutts Bradley J.P.Executive Chairman of the Board59
Mr. Siu Por LamCEO & Executive Director52
Ms. Rebecca Jane SharpeCFO & Executive Director54
Mr. James John McGowanChief Operations & Service Delivery Officer and Executive Director52
Ms. Hoi Zee LauChief Customer & Commercial Officer and Executive Director54
Mr. Keith FungGeneral Manager of Corporate Finance-
Ms. Joanna LaiGroup General Counsel & Company Secretary40
Ms. Patricia HwangDirector of People-
Christopher J. BuckleyHead of Financial Service-
Mr. Jonathan NgRegional Head of Customer Travel & Lifestyle - Southeast Asia-

Audit जोखिम

3

बोर्ड जोखिम

4

मुआवजा जोखिम

6

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

8

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for CPCAY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for CPCAY.
Disclaimer

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