CSX Corporation (CSX)
NEUTRALFundamental
58
मूल्य
$51.57
मार्केट कैप
$95.29B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
CSX operates a Class I freight railroad spanning roughly 20,000 route miles across 26 eastern U.S. states and two Canadian provinces, moving industrial goods, consumer merchandise, agricultural products, coal and shipping containers. It also owns a smaller trucking subsidiary. Unlike a retailer that sells to end consumers, CSX is a middleman: it hauls freight other companies already own, over track it built and maintains itself, connecting factories, ports and warehouses to the rest of the rail and highway network.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
CSX earns revenue by the carload: shippers pay a negotiated rate per shipment, priced by distance, weight and commodity type, not by subscription or one-off retail sale. Rail's economics reward volume — the track and locomotives are already paid for, so an incremental carload costs little beyond fuel and crew, which is why operating margin above 30% is normal. Rates are negotiated directly with large shippers and are partly capped by federal regulation on routes where CSX is the only practical rail option.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Chemicals, metals, automotive parts, agricultural and construction materials moved in individual boxcars and tank cars — CSX's largest, steadiest line of business.
Shipping containers moved on flatcars between ports, distribution centers and rail terminals, competing directly with long-haul trucking on price and speed.
Thermal and export coal hauled from mines to power plants and ports, a business that has been shrinking for years as utilities burn less coal.
Quality Carriers, CSX's own trucking subsidiary, hauls bulk chemicals by road — a small, separate business alongside the railroad.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
स्केल · संकीर्णBuilding a second rail network alongside CSX's would cost more than any competitor is willing to spend, so shippers along its routes have few practical alternatives. But the moat is narrower than it looks: Norfolk Southern covers much of the same territory, trucking competes on shorter hauls, and the Surface Transportation Board caps rates where CSX is the only rail option.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
चक्रीयRail volumes track the health of heavy industry — steel, chemicals, autos, construction — so shipments rise and fall with factory output and housing starts. Coal, historically CSX's second-biggest earner, has been in structural decline for over a decade as power plants switch to gas and renewables, adding a one-way headwind on top of the ordinary economic cycle.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Regulatory rate caps — The Surface Transportation Board can cap the rates CSX charges on routes where it is a shipper's only practical rail option, limiting pricing power exactly where CSX would otherwise have the most leverage.
- Structural decline in coal — Utilities are retiring coal-fired power plants for gas and renewables, and CSX says lower coal-fired generation will keep pressuring its coal franchise regardless of the broader economic cycle.
- Rail and highway competition — Norfolk Southern operates an overlapping eastern network, and trucking competes for shorter hauls; looser size and weight limits on trucks could shift more freight off rail and onto highways.
- Weather and network disruption — CSX expects hurricanes, flooding and other severe weather affecting its network to grow more frequent and severe, and any line closure or washout directly halts the freight that depends on it.
- Unionized workforce and strike risk — Most of CSX's employees are covered by collective bargaining agreements under the Railway Labor Act; a failed negotiation or work stoppage would shut down train operations across the network.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that CSX's rail network is nearly impossible to replicate, that intermodal volume is growing as shippers shift freight off crowded highways, and that pricing discipline can keep margins wide even as coal continues to shrink.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers worry that coal's decline has further to run, that a Union Pacific–Norfolk Southern merger could reshape competitive dynamics against CSX, and that a slowdown in industrial freight would expose a cost base built for higher volumes.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$14.51B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$3.22B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$1.71B
कुल इक्विटी
$13.16B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$30.52B
Current Ratio
0.82
Interest Coverage
5.85
Debt/EBITDA
3.12
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$39.01
वर्तमान मूल्य
$51.57
Margin of Safety
-32.2%
Fair Value सीमा
$27.47 - $50.55
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
29.73
ROE
22.0%
P/B Ratio
6.76
P/FCF
34.08
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
9.7%
लाभप्रदता Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
9.7%
WACC
9.8%
ROIC − WACC
-0.1 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (17)
- Price CAGR 15.73%
- ROIC 9.7%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 34.2%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 24.1%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.9%
- Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.65
- Share Dilution -3.2%
- Net Margin Trend 22.2% vs 21.9%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
फेल (9)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -3.62%
- P/FCF 34.08
- P/B Ratio 6.76
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.2%
- PEG Ratio 5.64
अनुपलब्ध (2)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Stephen F. Angel | CEO, President & Director | 70 |
| Mr. Kevin S. Boone | Executive VP & CFO | 48 |
| Mr. Michael A. Cory | Executive VP & COO | 63 |
| Ms. Angela C. Williams | VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Matthew James Korn C.F.A. | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Michael S. Burns | Senior VP, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary | 49 |
| Mr. M. Rizwan Chand | Chief Human Resources Officer | 61 |
| Ms. Maryclare T. Kenney | Senior VP & Chief Commercial Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Arthur L. Adams Jr. | Senior Vice President of Sales & Marketing | - |
| Mr. Casey Albright | Senior Vice President of Network Operations & Service Design | - |
Audit जोखिम
9
बोर्ड जोखिम
3
मुआवजा जोखिम
6
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
2
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for CSX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 4/23/2026NEGATIVEThis CSX Analyst Turns Bearish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Thursday
CSX Corporation has been downgraded by Wall Street analysts, signaling a shift to a bearish outlook. While the article does not provide specific details on the reasons for the downgrade or the new price targets, the change in analyst sentiment suggests potential headwinds for the company. Investors should monitor future reports for specific performance metrics and management commentary that may explain this change in analyst perception.
- 4/22/2026POSITIVECSX says more businesses are shipping via rail to avoid surging fuel costs
CSX Corporation's shares experienced a post-market surge following an upward revision of its annual sales outlook. The railroad company is benefiting from a strategic shift by businesses favoring rail transport over other methods to mitigate escalating fuel expenses, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions. This trend indicates a growing demand for rail services, suggesting a positive operational and financial trajectory for CSX. Investors may see this as a sign of sustained revenue growth and improved market positioning.
- 4/22/2026NEUTRALCSX Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript
CSX Corporation has released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, operational updates, and forward-looking statements, it does not contain specific financial figures or forward guidance that would allow for a definitive assessment of its immediate market impact. Investors should review the full transcript for a comprehensive understanding of management's commentary on market conditions, strategic initiatives, and financial outlook.
via Markets Gazette