Dropbox, Inc. (DBX)
NEUTRALFundamental
67
मूल्य
$34.66
मार्केट कैप
$7.54B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Dropbox sells cloud storage and file-sharing subscriptions: customers pay a monthly or annual fee to keep files synced across devices and shared with others, rather than buying storage as a one-off purchase. Around the core storage product it has added e-signature (Dropbox Sign), document tracking (DocSend), form creation (FormSwift) and an AI-powered search tool (Dash), aiming to keep individuals, freelancers and small businesses inside one subscription instead of losing them to separate point solutions.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue comes almost entirely from subscriptions billed to individuals, freelancers and small business teams rather than from large enterprise contracts, and the company reports it as a single business rather than in separate segments. Because storage itself has become a commodity that Microsoft and Google give away bundled into Office 365 and Google Workspace, Dropbox's ability to keep or raise prices depends on customers valuing its added tools enough to pay for a stand-alone product.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
कोई पहचानी गई बढ़त नहीं · कोई नहींDropbox itself states that competitors with greater name recognition and larger user bases can bundle a broader range of products and undercut it on price, and that less expensive, bundled alternatives have already hurt its user growth. Files stored in Dropbox create some switching friction, but not enough to stop paying users from plateauing as Microsoft and Google give storage away for free inside suites customers already buy.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
मध्यम रूप से चक्रीयDemand for Dropbox's core service is fairly steady — files and documents need to be stored and shared regardless of the economic cycle — but paying users have plateaued at around 18 million as free, bundled alternatives from Microsoft and Google absorb new demand. Growth now depends more on convincing existing customers to add tools like e-signature or AI search than on winning new storage customers, and small-business customers can also cut software spending in a downturn.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Competition from larger, bundled providers — The company states that competitors such as Microsoft, Google and Amazon have greater name recognition, larger user bases and the ability to bundle storage with broader product suites, and that less expensive, bundled offerings have already hurt user growth.
- Paying user growth has stalled — Paying users have plateaued at around 18 million, and fiscal 2025 revenue actually declined slightly year over year, reflecting weaker performance in Teams and reduced investment in FormSwift.
- Currency exposure — About half of revenue is generated outside the United States and 27% of sales are denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, so a stronger dollar reduces reported revenue relative to costs.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 1% हिस्सा है
No single customer accounted for more than 1% of revenue in 2025, 2024 or 2023: revenue is spread across millions of individual and small-business subscribers rather than concentrated in a few large accounts.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that Dropbox's high operating margins and cash generation let it return capital to shareholders even with flat revenue, that expanding beyond storage into e-signature, document tracking and AI search gives it more to sell to an existing base with almost no customer concentration, and that a stabilized paying-user count of 18 million provides a steady subscription foundation.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers worry that free, bundled storage inside Microsoft 365 and Google Workspace has commoditized Dropbox's core product and capped paying-user growth for years, that revenue actually declined slightly in 2025, and that newer tools like Dash AI have yet to prove they can offset churn in the core storage business.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$2.53B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$443M
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$931M
कुल इक्विटी
$-1.80B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$4.64B
Current Ratio
1.07
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.85
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$39.88
वर्तमान मूल्य
$34.66
Margin of Safety
+13.1%
Fair Value सीमा
$25.92 - $53.84
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
19.38
ROE
-28.3%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
10.67
Gross Margin
79.7%
ROIC
32.3%
लाभप्रदता Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
32.3%
WACC
7.3%
ROIC − WACC
+25.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 6.76%
- ROIC 32.3%
- Gross Margin 79.7%
- P/FCF 10.67
- Operating Margin 26.6%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Revenue Growth 5Y 5.7%
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.1%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.21
- Share Dilution -15.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
फेल (5)
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- ROE -36.8%
- Analyst Consensus 6% Buy
- Net Margin Trend 17.5% vs 19.2%
अनुपलब्ध (6)
- P/B Ratio NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Interest Coverage
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Andrew W. Houston | Co-Founder, Co-CEO & Chairman | 42 |
| Mr. Ashraf Alkarmi | Co-CEO & Director | 46 |
| Mr. Ross Tennenbaum | Chief Financial Officer | 47 |
| Mr. Ali Dasdan | Chief Technology Officer | 55 |
| Mr. William Yoon | Chief Legal Officer | 46 |
| Ms. Sarah Elizabeth Schubach | Chief Accounting Officer | - |
| Ms. Saman Asheer | Chief Communications Officer | - |
Audit जोखिम
4
बोर्ड जोखिम
8
मुआवजा जोखिम
8
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
10
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for DBX, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 3/9/2026NEGATIVEIs Dropbox Stock a Buy or Sell After the CEO Sold Shares Worth $4.2 Million?
Dropbox CEO Drew Houston offloaded 150,000 shares of the cloud storage company's stock for approximately $4.2 million. This significant insider selling, disclosed in a recent SEC filing, raises concerns among investors about the executive's confidence in the company's near-term prospects. While the sale represents a small fraction of Houston's total holdings, such large transactions can sometimes signal a lack of positive catalysts or potential headwinds ahead. Investors often interpret insider selling as a bearish signal, prompting a re-evaluation of their positions.
via Markets Gazette