रैंकिंग पर वापस जाएं

Dollar Tree, Inc. (DLTR)

POSITIVE
Consumer DefensiveDiscount StoresUnited States

Fundamental

66

मूल्य

$133.82

मार्केट कैप

$26.28B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Dollar Tree runs roughly 9,000 discount variety stores in the United States and Canada where most items are sold at a fixed low price point, offering a mix of household goods, food, seasonal items and party supplies aimed at value-conscious, budget-focused shoppers looking for everyday essentials at the lowest possible price. In 2025 the company sold its separate Family Dollar chain, leaving standalone Dollar Tree stores as its entire operating business going forward.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Revenue is simple retail: stores sell merchandise bought in bulk from suppliers, marked up to the store's price points, with growth coming from opening new stores, selling more per existing store and, in recent years, from adding price points above the original one-dollar level. Roughly 40% of what it sells is imported, with China as the largest single source, so the cost side depends heavily on global shipping and tariff conditions.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

लागत लाभ · संकीर्ण

Buying in bulk across roughly 9,000 stores lets Dollar Tree negotiate lower per-unit costs from suppliers than a small independent retailer could, and its distribution network is built to keep costs low enough to sustain fixed, deeply discounted price points. That advantage is narrow because Walmart, other dollar-store chains and online marketplaces compete on price in the same low-cost segment.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

डिफेंसिव

Dollar Tree sells low-priced everyday and household items that shoppers keep buying even when budgets tighten, and value-seeking behaviour in a downturn can bring in shoppers trading down from pricier retailers. Demand is not fully immune to the economy, since discretionary categories like seasonal and party goods can soften, but the core business holds up better than most discretionary retail.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Tariffs on imported merchandise — About 40% of goods sold are imported, mostly from China, and new or higher tariffs directly raise the cost of merchandise on fixed or narrow price points that are hard to raise quickly.
  • Intense price competition — Walmart, other discount and dollar-store chains, and online marketplaces all compete directly on low prices, limiting how much Dollar Tree can raise prices to offset rising costs.
  • Standalone execution after the Family Dollar sale — Having divested Family Dollar in 2025, the company now depends entirely on the Dollar Tree banner's performance, removing the diversification a second chain previously provided.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that value-seeking shoppers keep returning to fixed low price points regardless of the economic cycle, that bulk purchasing scale across thousands of stores keeps costs down relative to smaller competitors, and that shedding Family Dollar lets management focus fully on the more productive Dollar Tree banner.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that tariffs on the roughly 40% of merchandise sourced abroad squeeze margins the company cannot easily pass on to price-sensitive shoppers, that competition from Walmart and other discounters caps pricing power, and that the business now depends entirely on a single banner with no other chain to offset a weak stretch.

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

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Who this company fights with for the same customers

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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$19.73B

पिछले 12 महीने (2/5/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$1.29B

पिछले 12 महीने (2/5/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$1.06B

कुल इक्विटी

$3.75B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$9.71B

Current Ratio

1.16

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.30

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

उचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$122.99

वर्तमान मूल्य

$133.82

Margin of Safety

-8.8%

Fair Value सीमा

$95.20 - $150.77

अनुमान विधियाँ

Analyst Target:$130.04
DCF:$158.81
PE-based:$109.57
Graham Growth:$67.54
EPV:$82.96
विश्लेषक सहमति:रोकें (15B / 15H / 5S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+10.63%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

21.47

ROE

34.2%

P/B Ratio

7.49

P/FCF

19.93

Gross Margin

36.6%

ROIC

12.9%

लाभप्रदता Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

12.9%

WACC

6.5%

ROIC − WACC

+6.5 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.97%
  • Price CAGR 5.47%
  • ROIC 12.9%
  • Gross Margin 36.6%
  • P/FCF 19.93
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 35.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 13.9%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.91
  • Share Dilution -4.5%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.5% vs -16.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

फेल (7)

  • P/B Ratio 7.49
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -5.3%
  • Analyst Consensus 43% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 10.13

अनुपलब्ध (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

9/9

मजबूत वित्तीय स्वास्थ्य

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

1.91

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

-4.5%

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Michael C. Creedon Jr.CEO & Director49
Mr. Stewart F. Glendinning J.D.Chief Financial Officer60
Mr. Robert AflatooniChief Information Officer54
Mr. Steve SchumacherChief People Officer53
Mr. H. Ray ComptonCo-Founder82
Mr. Aditya MaheshwariSenior VP & Chief Accounting Officer50
Mr. Daniel DelrosarioSenior VP of Investor Relations & Treasurer-
Mr. John S. Mitchell Jr., J.D.Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary55
Mr. Thoufiq Kutty J.D.SVP and Chief Ethics & Compliance Officer-
Mr. Pedro VoyerChief Development Officer-

Audit जोखिम

5

बोर्ड जोखिम

3

मुआवजा जोखिम

7

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

2

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for DLTR, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/28/2026POSITIVE
    Dollar Tree’s sales top forecasts as fewer people are shopping — but they’re spending more

    Dollar Tree Inc. reported strong first-quarter results, with sales exceeding analyst expectations. Despite a decrease in customer traffic, the average spending per shopper increased, leading to a 4.9% rise in total revenue to $7.07 billion, surpassing the $6.99 billion consensus. The company also raised its full-year profit outlook, projecting earnings per share between $7.75 and $8.00, up from the previous $7.65 to $7.95 range. This performance indicates effective pricing strategies and operational efficiency, potentially signaling a positive trend for the discount retail sector.

  • 4/7/2026NEGATIVE
    Why Are Dollar Tree Shares Trading Down On Tuesday?

    Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) shares experienced a decline on Tuesday, influenced by a broader market downturn. This sell-off was primarily attributed to a significant drop in durable goods orders, signaling potential weakness in manufacturing and consumer spending. Furthermore, escalating geopolitical tensions, marked by strikes on Iran and a subsequent rise in oil prices, added to market uncertainty and investor caution. The combination of economic headwinds and rising commodity costs creates a challenging environment for retail companies like Dollar Tree, impacting consumer discretionary spending.

  • 3/17/2026POSITIVE
    Dollar Tree Q4 Beats Expectations, Analysts Split On Stock Outlook

    Dollar Tree Inc. announced its fourth-quarter financial results, surpassing analyst expectations with improved gross margins and earnings per share. The company's performance indicates a strong operational quarter, potentially driven by effective cost management and increased consumer demand for its value-oriented offerings. Despite the positive financial outcome, analyst sentiment remains divided, with varying ratings suggesting uncertainty about the stock's future trajectory. Investors will closely monitor management's guidance for the upcoming fiscal year to gauge sustained growth potential.

  • 3/16/2026NEUTRAL
    Dollar Tree Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    Dollar Tree released its fourth-quarter 2025 earnings call transcript on March 16, 2026. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance and outlook, the news itself is informational. Investors will need to analyze the transcript for specific financial figures, management commentary on sales trends, cost management, and future guidance to determine any potential impact on the stock. Without specific figures or forward-looking statements highlighted in the summary, the direct market impact remains neutral.

  • 3/16/2026POSITIVE
    Higher prices help Dollar Tree grow sales faster than its top rival

    Dollar Tree Inc. reported strong sales growth, outpacing its main competitor due to favorable pricing strategies. This performance comes despite a recent three-day losing streak for the stock, which saw an 8% decline. The company's ability to leverage higher prices to boost sales volume suggests resilience and effective inventory management. For investors, this indicates potential for a rebound and sustained market share gains, especially if broader economic conditions remain challenging for consumers.

  • 2/27/2026NEUTRAL
    Dollar Tree opens stores in surprising locations

    Dollar Tree Inc. is undergoing a significant transformation, moving away from its long-standing $1 price point per item. This strategic shift, coupled with the opening of stores in unexpected locations, indicates an adaptation to evolving market dynamics and inflationary pressures. For investors, this transition represents an effort to improve margins and brand relevance, but also raises questions about consumer value perception and the impact on customer loyalty, which was strongly tied to the unique price point. Success will hinge on the execution of this new strategy and the ability to maintain brand appeal.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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