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Joint Stock Company Kaspi.kz - American Depository Shares (KSPI)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureKazakhstan

Fundamental

52

मूल्य

$108.04

मार्केट कैप

$20.06B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Kaspi.kz runs Kazakhstan's leading consumer super-app, used by most of the country's adults to pay merchants, shop online and manage money in a single application. It grew from an online payments service into three connected businesses — payments, an e-commerce marketplace, and consumer lending and deposits — all sharing the same customer base and technology. In 2025 the company began exporting that model abroad, buying Turkish online marketplace Hepsiburada and a Turkish banking license to replicate its Kazakhstan playbook in a much larger market.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Kaspi earns a small fee or spread on each transaction across its three platforms: a merchant fee on payments, a commission and advertising revenue on marketplace sales, and interest income on consumer loans plus fees on deposits. Because all three run on the same app and customer base, acquiring a user once lets Kaspi sell them several products at low incremental cost. Growth now depends on how much Kazakh consumers borrow and spend, and on whether the Hepsiburada and Turkish banking deals reproduce that same economics abroad.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Fintech36.6%

Consumer loans, buy-now-pay-later, instalment credit and savings deposits offered directly to users through the Kaspi super-app.

Türkiye (Hepsiburada)25.4%

Newly acquired Turkish e-commerce marketplace and banking operations, the first large-scale test of the Kaspi model outside Kazakhstan.

Marketplace22%

E-commerce platform connecting merchants and consumers, plus delivery, advertising and classifieds services built around it.

Payments16.1%

The original business: processing payments between consumers and merchants, including the newer Kaspi Alaqan pay-by-palm service.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

नेटवर्क इफेक्ट्स · व्यापक

Nearly every adult in Kazakhstan already uses Kaspi to pay, shop or borrow, and merchants join the marketplace because that is where the customers already are. Each side of the network reinforces the other, and a rival would need to build both a critical mass of shoppers and of merchants at the same time to compete, which is far harder than matching any single feature.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

मध्यम रूप से चक्रीय

Payments and marketplace usage track everyday household spending, which holds up reasonably well through the cycle, but the fintech arm lends money and its results move with Kazakh interest rates, wages and how comfortable people feel taking on debt. A slowdown in the domestic economy would show up first in loan demand and credit losses rather than in payment volumes.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Concentration in Kazakhstan — Until the Türkiye expansion, essentially all revenue came from one country, so Kazakh regulation, taxation and macroeconomic conditions move the entire business at once.
  • Bank taxes and rate environment — The company has flagged higher Kazakh bank taxes, increased reserve requirements and a high interest-rate environment as headwinds that compress profitability in its lending business.
  • Türkiye integration risk — The Hepsiburada acquisition and roughly $300 million planned investment in a Turkish banking unit are a large, unproven bet on repeating the Kazakh model in a bigger, more competitive market.
  • Regulatory and political risk — As a systemically important payments and banking group, Kaspi is exposed to sudden regulatory changes and to the broader political and macroeconomic uncertainty of operating across Kazakhstan and Türkiye.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that a super-app already used by nearly all Kazakh adults has pricing power and cross-selling potential few payment or lending companies can match, and that Hepsiburada gives Kaspi a credible second growth engine in a market many times the size of Kazakhstan.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers worry that growth is running out of room in a small home market already saturated by Kaspi itself, that the Fintech segment's loan book is more exposed to a Kazakh downturn than the story of a payments app suggests, and that the Türkiye expansion could prove an expensive distraction rather than a repeatable playbook.

वित्त वर्ष 2025 के सेगमेंट आंकड़ेस्रोत: Kaspi.kz — 4Q & FY 2025 Financial Results (Form 6-K summary)Kaspi.kz Investor Relations — Financial Information

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$4.29T

पिछले 12 महीने (31/3/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$1.07T

पिछले 12 महीने (31/3/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$-612.42B

कुल इक्विटी

$2.26T

कुल देनदारियाँ

-

Current Ratio

6.51

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

कम मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$257.50

वर्तमान मूल्य

$108.04

Margin of Safety

+58.0%

Fair Value सीमा

$167.37 - $347.62

अनुमान विधियाँ

Analyst Target:$103.36
DCF:$410.82
PE-based:$79.19
Graham Growth:$602.83
EPV:-
विश्लेषक सहमति:दृढ़ खरीदें (8B / 3H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:-15.52%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

9.01

ROE

44.8%

P/B Ratio

0.01

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

69.4%

ROIC

-

लाभप्रदता Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

10.0%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (7)

  • Price CAGR 5.57%
  • Gross Margin 69.4%
  • P/B Ratio 0.01
  • Current Ratio
  • ROE 42.5%
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.25

फेल (5)

  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -9.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 26.4% vs 41.7%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

अनुपलब्ध (15)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

गंभीर वित्तीय चिंताएं

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

-

निम्न गुणवत्ता: accounting की जांच करें

शेयर Dilution

-

शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Mikheil N. LomtadzeCo-Founder, Executive Director, Chairman of the Management Board & CEO50
Mr. Tengiz MosidzeDeputy Chairman of the Management Board & CFO51
Mr. Yuri DidenkoDeputy Chairman of the Management Board & Capital Markets51
Mr. Pavel MironovCOO & Deputy Chairman of the Management Board46
Ms. Nailya A. UalibekovaChief Accountant-
Mr. David FergusonHead of Investor Relations46
Mr. Sabyrzhan BerkinbaevHead of Local Legal44
Mr. Arseniy KochetkovHead of Kaspi Marketing Services-
Mr. Oleg BakhmutovHead of People43
Mr. Kanat AitenovHead of Network40

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for KSPI, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/2/2026NEUTRAL
    Kaspi.kz (KSPI) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

    The market is keenly awaiting a detailed analysis of the Kaspi.kz (KSPI) Q4 2025 earnings call transcript. While the document is now available, specific details regarding the company's financial performance, future outlook, and any strategic announcements have not yet been processed for in-depth analysis. Investors will closely monitor key data points such as revenue, profits, and guidance for the upcoming fiscal year to assess the trajectory of the Kazakh fintech giant. Currently, in the absence of concrete information on the content, market reaction remains pending, suggesting a neutral stance until clearer details emerge.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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