Mondelez International, Inc. (MDLZ)
NEUTRALFundamental
57
मूल्य
$63.22
मार्केट कैप
$82.58B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Mondelez makes and sells packaged snacks worldwide — biscuits and cookies (Oreo, Ritz, belVita), chocolate (Cadbury, Milka, Toblerone) and gum and candy (Trident, Halls) — through grocery stores, convenience stores and other retail channels in nearly every country. Rather than organizing around these product lines, the company reports its results by geography, reflecting how differently it has to go to market, price its products and source ingredients in each region of the world.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue comes from selling finished snacks to retailers, who resell to consumers; Mondelez earns a margin on each unit shipped rather than any recurring or subscription fee. Its main cost is the raw ingredients that go into the products, above all cocoa, whose price swings can move profitability faster than the company can pass costs through to shelf prices. Retail customer consolidation adds further pressure on the pricing side.
सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व
Mondelez's single largest region, spanning chocolate-heavy markets where brands like Cadbury and Milka are category leaders.
The most mature market, centred on biscuits like Oreo and Ritz, with the slowest growth of the four regions in 2025.
A broad emerging-markets region where population growth and rising incomes support faster volume growth than in developed markets.
The smallest region, exposed to currency volatility and inflation that can distort reported growth from one year to the next.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
ब्रांड · संकीर्णOreo, Cadbury and Milka are genuinely global, century-old brands with real shelf presence and consumer loyalty that a new entrant could not buy quickly. But brand strength has not been enough to protect margins from raw-material inflation: operating income fell 44% in 2025 as cocoa costs rose faster than the company could raise prices, and large retailers keep gaining leverage to push back on those price increases.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
डिफेंसिवSnacking and chocolate are low-ticket, habitual purchases that consumers tend to keep buying even when budgets tighten, which makes volumes relatively stable across the economic cycle. What moves results instead is commodity cost inflation, particularly cocoa, and currency swings in the many emerging markets where Mondelez operates — neither of which is tied to the business cycle in a predictable way.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Volatile commodity costs — Cocoa and other raw material costs rose sharply enough in 2025 to cut operating income by 44%, and the company cannot always pass these increases through to retail prices fast enough to protect margins.
- Consolidation of retail customers — As grocery and discount retailers merge and form buying alliances, they gain the leverage to demand lower prices, delist products, or develop their own competing private-label brands.
- Emerging-market and geopolitical exposure — A large share of revenue comes from emerging markets exposed to currency depreciation, inflation, and disruptions such as the war in Ukraine, all of which can distort reported results independent of underlying demand.
- Regulation of food and packaging — Health-focused regulation, nutrition labelling rules and packaging restrictions vary by country and can force reformulation or repackaging costs across a very large product portfolio.
ग्राहक Concentration
The company states that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of net revenues in 2025. The real risk is structural: large retail customers are consolidating and gaining scale to negotiate lower prices and longer payment terms.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers point to Oreo, Cadbury and Milka as genuinely global, century-old brands with real shelf power, to Europe and emerging markets still offering volume growth that a maturing North America does not, and to the expectation that today's elevated cocoa costs will eventually normalize.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers note that operating income already fell sharply in 2025 as cocoa costs outran pricing, that large retailers keep consolidating and pushing back on price increases, and that unfavourable volume and mix shows consumers trading down when prices rise too far.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$39.30B
पिछले 12 महीने (31/3/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$2.61B
पिछले 12 महीने (31/3/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$3.23B
कुल इक्विटी
$25.84B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$45.60B
Current Ratio
0.54
Interest Coverage
6.03
Debt/EBITDA
4.41
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$57.83
वर्तमान मूल्य
$63.22
Margin of Safety
-9.3%
Fair Value सीमा
$42.53 - $73.13
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
32.03
ROE
9.5%
P/B Ratio
3.23
P/FCF
32.25
Gross Margin
28.8%
ROIC
6.1%
लाभप्रदता Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
6.1%
WACC
6.8%
ROIC − WACC
-0.7 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- ROIC 6.1%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 9.4%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- ROE 13.5%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 7.7%
- Analyst Consensus 64% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 3.7%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.49
- Share Dilution -3.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
फेल (11)
- EPS CAGR 0.59%
- Price CAGR 3.81%
- Gross Margin 28.8%
- P/FCF 32.25
- P/B Ratio 3.23
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Net Margin Trend 6.6% vs 9.9%
अनुपलब्ध (2)
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Dirk Van de Put | Chairman & CEO | 65 |
| Mr. Luca Zaramella | Executive VP & COO | 56 |
| Mr. Martin Renaud | Executive VP and Chief Marketing & Sales Officer | 57 |
| Mr. Gustavo Carlos Valle | Executive VP & President of North America | 61 |
| Mr. Volker Kuhn | Executive VP & President of Europe | 57 |
| Mr. Amit Banati | Executive VP & CFO | 56 |
| Mr. Brian C. Stevens | Senior VP, Corporate Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Filippo Catalano | Chief Information & Digital Officer | 52 |
| Mr. Shep Dunlap | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Laura Stein J.D. | Executive VP of Corporate & Legal Affairs, General Counsel & Company Secretary | 64 |
Audit जोखिम
3
बोर्ड जोखिम
7
मुआवजा जोखिम
4
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
4
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for MDLZ, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 3/25/2026NEGATIVEThis Mondelez Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Wednesday
Mondelez International (MDLZ) has seen its analyst outlook shift to bearish, marking a significant downgrade for the consumer staples giant. While the article does not specify the reasons for the downgrade, such a move typically indicates concerns about future earnings, market share, or competitive pressures. Investors should note that this change in sentiment from Wall Street analysts could precede a period of underperformance for the stock, potentially impacting its valuation and investor confidence.
- 3/25/2026NEUTRALOreo-Maker Mondelez Joins Rush to Tap Swiss Franc Bond Market
Mondelez International, Inc. is entering the Swiss franc bond market for the first time. This move aligns with a broader trend of international companies seeking debt financing in Swiss francs, attracted by the currency's stability and potentially favorable borrowing costs. While the issuance itself is a financing activity, it doesn't inherently signal a change in the company's operational performance or future prospects. Investors will monitor the terms of the bond and how this diversifies Mondelez's funding sources.
- 3/7/2026POSITIVE1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 10% to Buy and Hold Forever
Mondelez International, Inc. is presented as a potentially attractive investment for income and value investors, especially as other prominent consumer staples stocks appear overvalued. The company's stock has experienced a 10% decline, presenting a potential buying opportunity for those seeking long-term holdings. This dip, coupled with its position in the consumer staples sector, suggests resilience and potential for steady returns, making it a candidate for a buy-and-hold strategy.
via Markets Gazette