Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL)
POSITIVEFundamental
70
मूल्य
$198.50
मार्केट कैप
$41.90B
भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है
अवलोकन
Old Dominion Freight Line moves freight that is too small to fill a full truck — a few pallets or boxes rather than an entire trailer — picking up shipments from many customers, sorting them at regional service centers, and combining them onto trucks headed the same direction. It operates this less-than-truckload, or LTL, network itself across the United States with its own drivers, terminals and trucks rather than through franchisees or outside carriers, and adds services like expedited and guaranteed delivery.
यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है
Revenue is charged per shipment, based mainly on weight and distance, so it rises and falls with how much freight moves through the economy rather than with any subscription or long-term contract base. Because the network's fixed costs — terminals, trucks and staff — barely change with volume, profitability depends heavily on keeping trucks and terminals full: a small change in shipment density can swing operating margins by a large amount in either direction.
प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)
लागत लाभ · संकीर्णDecades of investment in a dense, non-union terminal network let Old Dominion run at some of the lowest costs and highest on-time delivery rates in the LTL industry, a combination that is hard for a new or smaller carrier to match quickly. That efficiency shows up in an industry-leading operating ratio, but the LTL market remains competitive on price, so the edge is durable rather than unassailable.
मांग को क्या चलाता है
चक्रीयLTL shipment volumes track industrial production, retail restocking and manufacturing activity closely, so freight demand slows sharply when the broader economy weakens — 2025 revenue fell as shipment volumes declined during a soft freight market. Pricing tends to be more resilient than volume, since carriers are reluctant to cut rates even when demand softens.
प्रमुख जोखिम
- Freight cycle and industrial activity — Shipment volumes fall when industrial production, retail restocking and manufacturing activity slow, as happened in 2025; revenue and profitability move directly with the broader freight cycle.
- Fixed cost operating leverage — Terminals, trucks and drivers are largely fixed costs regardless of volume, so a drop in shipments cannot easily be matched by cost cuts, and operating margins compress quickly in a downturn.
- Driver and labor availability — The business depends on recruiting and retaining enough qualified drivers and dock workers; a shortage or higher wage costs would raise expenses or limit how much freight the network can move.
- Fuel price volatility — Diesel is a major operating cost; while fuel surcharges pass much of the cost through to customers, sharp price swings can still create timing mismatches that pressure margins.
ग्राहक Concentration
शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 16% हिस्सा है
The customer base is highly diversified: the single largest customer represented about 4% of 2025 revenue, and the top 10 customers combined represented about 16%.
खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क
Buyers argue that Old Dominion's dense, non-union network gives it a durable cost and service advantage over LTL rivals, reflected in an industry-leading operating ratio, and that a highly diversified customer base with no meaningful concentration limits the damage any single account can do.
बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क
Sellers fear that the business is fundamentally tied to the industrial and freight cycle, that 2025's volume decline shows how quickly a soft economy erodes results, and that heavy fixed costs in terminals and trucks turn even a modest downturn in shipments into a larger hit to margins.
Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026
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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता
राजस्व
$5.60B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
शुद्ध आय
$1.09B
पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)
Free Cash Flow
$955M
कुल इक्विटी
$4.31B
कुल देनदारियाँ
$1.16B
Current Ratio
1.89
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
0.01
Earnings Per Share
राजस्व और शुद्ध आय
Free Cash Flow
आय विवरण
ऐतिहासिक विवरण
समय के साथ मार्जिन
समय के साथ ऋण
ऋण कितना भारी है
वृद्धि तालिका
वृद्धि — राजस्व
Fair Value अनुमान
Fair Value
$160.21
वर्तमान मूल्य
$198.50
Margin of Safety
-23.9%
Fair Value सीमा
$104.13 - $216.28
अनुमान विधियाँ
मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स
P/E Ratio
38.75
ROE
23.7%
P/B Ratio
9.19
P/FCF
37.48
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
22.0%
लाभप्रदता Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
22.0%
WACC
11.1%
ROIC − WACC
+10.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड
पास (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 8.39%
- Price CAGR 21.86%
- ROIC 22.0%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 25.8%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 24.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.5%
- Earnings Surprise avg 4.9%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.28
- Share Dilution -2.3%
- Net Margin Trend 19.4% vs 19.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
फेल (7)
- P/FCF 37.48
- P/B Ratio 9.19
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Analyst Consensus 45% Buy
- PEG Ratio 3.67
अनुपलब्ध (3)
- Gross Margin NaN%
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
Piotroski F-Score
मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक
Earnings गुणवत्ता
उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित
शेयर Dilution
शेयर वापस खरीद रही है। शेयरधारक अनुकूल
प्रशासन
कार्यकारी टीम
| नाम | पद | आयु |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. David S. Congdon | Executive Chairman of the Board | 68 |
| Mr. Kevin M. Freeman | President, CEO & Director | 66 |
| Mr. Adam N. Satterfield CPA | Executive VP, Assistant Secretary & CFO | 50 |
| Mr. Gregory B. Plemmons | Executive VP & COO | 59 |
| Mr. Ross H. Parr | Senior VP of Legal Affairs, General Counsel & Secretary | 53 |
| Mr. Cecil E. Overbey Jr. | Senior Vice President of Strategic Development | 63 |
| Mr. Earl E. Congdon | Chairman Emeritus & Senior Advisor | 94 |
| Mr. Clayton G. Brinker | VP of Accounting & Finance and Principal Accounting Officer | 39 |
| Mr. Jack Lawrence Atkins | Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Sam Faucette | Vice President of Safety & Compliance | - |
Audit जोखिम
5
बोर्ड जोखिम
9
मुआवजा जोखिम
2
शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम
9
भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय
यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।
Latest News
Recent headlines for ODFL, sourced from Markets Gazette.
- 6/20/2026NEGATIVEHere's Why Old Dominion Freight Line Stock Slumped This Week
Old Dominion Freight Line (ODFL) stock experienced a significant downturn this week, despite a general recovery observed in the broader freight market. The market's anticipation of this recovery appears to have already been factored into sector stock valuations, leaving little room for further upside. Investors are likely reassessing the stock's premium in light of this 'priced-in' recovery, leading to the price slump. This suggests that while the industry fundamentals are improving, ODFL may have been overvalued based on future expectations.
via Markets Gazette