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Rivian Automotive, Inc. (RIVN)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto ManufacturersUnited States

Fundamental

39

मूल्य

$16.80

मार्केट कैप

$24.03B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Rivian designs and builds electric trucks and SUVs, selling the R1T pickup and R1S SUV directly to consumers without dealers, and electric delivery vans built for Amazon under a dedicated commercial program. Unlike most legacy automakers, it develops its own vehicle software and electrical architecture in-house rather than buying it from suppliers, and now sells that software and engineering expertise to other automakers, most notably through a joint venture with Volkswagen.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Automotive revenue comes from selling vehicles at delivery, plus sales of regulatory credits that other automakers buy to comply with emissions rules — a source that has been shrinking as those credit programs are cut back. Software and Services revenue is newer and comes largely from the Volkswagen joint venture paying Rivian for its electrical architecture and software platform, alongside smaller fees for financing, insurance and connectivity services attached to Rivian-owned vehicles. Rivian is still unprofitable and spends heavily on manufacturing capacity ahead of higher-volume models.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Automotive71.1%

Sales of R1 consumer trucks and SUVs and commercial electric delivery vans, plus regulatory credits sold to other automakers.

Software and Services28.9%

Vehicle software, electrical architecture and engineering services sold to other automakers — chiefly the Volkswagen joint venture — plus financing and connectivity fees.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

पेटेंट और लाइसेंस · संकीर्ण

Rivian's in-house vehicle software and electrical architecture is valuable enough that Volkswagen pays to license it, a rare case of a young automaker selling engineering to an established one. That is a real technical edge, but it has not yet translated into vehicle-level profitability or the manufacturing scale that protects incumbents, and Tesla and Chinese EV makers have their own comparable in-house software.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

चक्रीय

Vehicle demand is discretionary and sensitive to interest rates, since most buyers finance a purchase, and to government incentives: automotive revenue already fell in 2025 partly because a federal EV tax credit expired. Commercial van orders depend on a single large customer's own delivery-network investment plans, adding another layer of demand risk outside Rivian's control.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Heavy revenue concentration in Amazon — Roughly half of automotive revenue depends on one customer's delivery-van order; a change in Amazon's fleet electrification pace or pricing terms would have an outsized effect on results.
  • Continued losses and capital intensity — Rivian still loses money on every vehicle it builds and requires large ongoing capital spending on factories and tooling ahead of higher-volume, lower-cost models like the R2.
  • Dependence on the Volkswagen joint venture — Rivian shares equal board control of the joint venture with Volkswagen and cannot make unilateral decisions about it, and the venture's savings and software revenue are not guaranteed.
  • Exposure to shifting government EV policy — Automotive revenue already fell after a federal tax credit for electric vehicles expired in September 2025, and Rivian's regulatory-credit sales depend on emissions rules that can change.

ग्राहक Concentration

शीर्ष ग्राहकों का राजस्व में 52% हिस्सा है

Amazon has accounted for roughly half of Rivian's automotive revenue through its electric delivery van order, and remains a major shareholder; a slowdown in Amazon's expansion plans would hit Rivian's results directly.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that Volkswagen's willingness to pay for Rivian's software and electrical architecture validates a real technical edge over legacy automakers, that Software and Services revenue tripling shows a second, higher-margin business emerging, and that the upcoming lower-cost R2 could finally bring volume and manufacturing efficiency.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers fear that roughly half of automotive revenue rests on one customer's fleet decisions, that Rivian remains deeply unprofitable and capital-hungry years after its IPO, and that the expiration of EV tax credits and continued price competition from established automakers make the path to volume profitability longer than the R2 timeline assumes.

वित्त वर्ष 2025 के सेगमेंट आंकड़ेस्रोत: Rivian Automotive, Inc. — Form 10-K, Fiscal Year 2025Rivian — Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$5.88B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

शुद्ध आय

$-3.23B

पिछले 12 महीने (30/6/2026 तक)

Free Cash Flow

$-2.49B

कुल इक्विटी

$4.59B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$10.27B

Current Ratio

2.10

Interest Coverage

13.28

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

उचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$19.23

वर्तमान मूल्य

$16.80

Margin of Safety

+12.6%

Fair Value सीमा

$18.27 - $20.19

अनुमान विधियाँ

Analyst Target:$19.23
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:-
विश्लेषक सहमति:खरीदें (20B / 9H / 5S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+28.46%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

-

ROE

-79.4%

P/B Ratio

4.41

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

7.5%

ROIC

-24.2%

लाभप्रदता Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-24.2%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

-35.9 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (8)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 17.8%
  • Net Margin Trend -55.0% vs -68.1%

फेल (11)

  • Price CAGR -30.37%
  • ROIC -24.2%
  • Gross Margin 7.5%
  • P/B Ratio 4.41
  • Operating Margin -60.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -67.6%
  • Share Dilution 17.3%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

अनुपलब्ध (8)

  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y (Finnhub)
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

-

निम्न गुणवत्ता: accounting की जांच करें

शेयर Dilution

17.3%

नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Dr. Robert Joseph Scaringe Ph.D.Founder, CEO & Chairman of the Board41
Ms. Claire Rauh McDonoughChief Financial Officer43
Mr. Michael J. CallahanChief Administrative Officer & Secretary56
Mr. Javier VarelaChief Operations Officer61
Ms. Sreela VenkataratnamChief Accounting Officer-
Ms. Marina HoffmannChief Communications Officer-
Mr. Robert Scott GriffinChief People Officer60
Mr. Jeff HammoudChief Design Officer-
Mr. Jimmy KnaufExecutive Vice President of Facilities-
Ms. Anisa Kamadoli CostaChief Sustainability Officer-

Audit जोखिम

6

बोर्ड जोखिम

9

मुआवजा जोखिम

10

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

10

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for RIVN, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 7/7/2026NEGATIVE
    Rivian’s stock sale triggers worst rout for the shares in nearly two years

    Rivian's stock plummeted 13% following news of a significant stock sale, intensifying investor concerns over the electric vehicle maker's cash reserves. This sharp decline, the worst in nearly two years, highlights the market's sensitivity to the company's financial stability. The sell-off suggests that the equity offering, intended to bolster liquidity, has instead raised fears of dilution and further financial strain, potentially impacting Rivian's ability to fund its ambitious production and development plans.

  • 7/6/2026NEGATIVE
    Electric Vehicle Maker Rivian Offers to Sell 75 Million Shares

    Rivian Automotive Inc. announced plans to offer 75 million shares, a move aimed at raising capital for equity contributions tied to a US Department of Energy loan. This secondary offering could dilute existing shareholders' value and signal potential cash flow challenges for the electric vehicle manufacturer. Investors will be closely watching the pricing of this offering and its impact on Rivian's balance sheet and future growth prospects.

  • 6/14/2026POSITIVE
    Rivian CEO Says Tesla FSD-Like Driving Is Coming This Year — And Eyes-Off Driving Next Year

    Rivian CEO RJ Scaringe has outlined an ambitious roadmap for the company's autonomous driving technology. Scaringe stated that Rivian aims to introduce a Level 3 autonomous driving system, similar to Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities, by the end of 2022. This would allow drivers to take their eyes off the road under specific conditions. Looking further ahead, the company is targeting true driverless operation, a Level 4 system, for release in 2023. This news suggests significant technological advancements that could enhance Rivian's competitive positioning and appeal to tech-savvy consumers.

  • 6/12/2026POSITIVE
    Is Rivian Stock A Buy Now? Inside The R2 SUV Delivery Milestone And 2026 Guidance

    Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN) experienced a significant surge in its stock price on Friday, driven by positive investor sentiment surrounding the upcoming R2 SUV and its potential market impact. The company's narrative around the R2 launch and its expansion into a broader addressable market appears to be resonating strongly with the investment community. This optimism, coupled with the company's 2026 guidance, suggests a potentially strong growth trajectory, making the stock an attractive prospect for investors focused on the electric vehicle sector's future.

  • 6/9/2026NEUTRAL
    What's Going On With Rivian Stock Today?

    Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) experienced a stock decline despite announcing a significant milestone: the first public customer deliveries of its all-new R2 mid-size SUV. This event marks a crucial step in the company's product rollout and market penetration strategy. While the delivery of a new model is typically viewed positively, the market's reaction suggests investors are weighing this development against other prevailing concerns or expectations for the company's financial performance and competitive landscape.

  • 6/8/2026POSITIVE
    Rivian's Momentum Score Surges As EV Maker Says AI Could Make CarPlay, Android Auto Obsolete

    Rivian Automotive's stock experienced a surge in momentum following the company's announcement of an advanced AI vision that could potentially render existing in-car infotainment systems like Apple CarPlay and Android Auto obsolete. This forward-thinking strategy positions Rivian at the forefront of automotive technology integration, suggesting a future where its proprietary AI could become a standard, thereby enhancing user experience and potentially creating new revenue streams. Investors are reacting positively to this innovative direction, viewing it as a significant differentiator in the competitive electric vehicle market.

  • 5/22/2026POSITIVE
    Rivian Stock Ticks Up On Improving EV Sentiment And R2 Customization Launch

    Rivian Automotive Inc. shares saw an uptick on Friday, buoyed by a broader improvement in investor sentiment towards high-beta electric vehicle (EV) stocks. The positive momentum is further amplified by growing excitement surrounding the launch of the R2 customization options, which is bolstering the company's rollout narrative. This combination of improved market appetite for riskier assets and specific product-related optimism suggests a potential shift in investor perception for Rivian, potentially leading to increased demand for its shares.

  • 5/6/2026POSITIVE
    RJ Scaringe Says Rivian Wants To 'Structurally Ingest' The Technology As EV Maker Moves To Make Lidar Sensors In The US

    Rivian Automotive Inc. is moving to manufacture its own lidar sensors domestically, leveraging Chinese technology and aiming for cost efficiency through strategic partnerships. This vertical integration strategy, detailed by CEO RJ Scaringe, signifies a proactive approach to controlling key components and potentially reducing reliance on external suppliers. By bringing lidar production in-house, Rivian seeks to "structurally ingest" the technology, which could lead to improved performance, faster innovation cycles, and significant cost savings in its electric vehicle production. Investors may view this move as a positive step towards enhancing operational control and long-term profitability.

via Markets Gazette

Disclaimer

यह प्लेटफ़ॉर्म केवल शैक्षिक उद्देश्यों के लिए है। यह कोई वित्तीय, निवेश, या ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं देता। सभी स्कोर, मूल्यांकन, और संकेत सार्वजनिक रूप से उपलब्ध डेटा के स्वचालित विश्लेषण पर आधारित हैं जो अधूरे या गलत हो सकते हैं। निवेश निर्णय लेने से पहले हमेशा अपना शोध करें और एक योग्य वित्तीय सलाहकार से परामर्श लें।

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