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Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

Fundamental

50

मूल्य

$77.44

मार्केट कैप

$48.30B

भाग 1 · कंपनी का मूल्य कितना है

अवलोकन

Xcel Energy is a regulated utility that generates, transmits and distributes electricity and natural gas through four operating companies — NSP-Minnesota, NSP-Wisconsin, PSCo and SPS — serving about 3.9 million electric and 2.2 million natural gas customers across the Upper Midwest, Colorado and the Texas Panhandle. Like other regulated utilities, it earns a return set by state regulators on the capital it invests in power plants, pipelines and grid infrastructure, rather than competing for customers on price.

यह पैसा कैसे कमाती है

Xcel's revenue comes overwhelmingly from selling regulated electricity, with a smaller natural gas distribution business alongside it. State commissions set the rates it can charge based on its approved operating costs plus a permitted return on invested capital, so growth depends less on selling more power to existing customers and more on winning approval to invest in new generation, grid upgrades and the capacity needed to serve new large industrial and data-center customers.

सेगमेंट के अनुसार राजस्व

Regulated Electric Utility82.9%

Generation, transmission and distribution of electricity to residential, commercial and industrial customers across eight states.

Regulated Natural Gas Utility17.1%

Distribution of natural gas for heating and other uses, alongside the electric business in most of the same service territories.

प्रतिस्पर्धी बढ़त (Moat)

स्केल · व्यापक

Xcel owns the power plants, pipelines and wires serving its territories, and state regulators do not let competitors build duplicate infrastructure. A new entrant would need to replicate an entire regional grid to compete for the same customers, which regulators have no reason to approve — the kind of legal and physical barrier that makes regulated utilities durable monopolies within their footprint.

मांग को क्या चलाता है

डिफेंसिव

Demand for electricity and heating changes little with the economic cycle, since households and businesses keep consuming both in a downturn. Weather is the biggest short-term swing factor — a mild winter reduces gas demand, a mild summer reduces electric demand — while long-term growth increasingly comes from data centers and electrification of transport and heating.

प्रमुख जोखिम

  • Wildfire litigation and liability — Xcel has recognized roughly $500 million in losses tied to the 2024 Smokehouse Creek Fire Complex in Texas and faces a state lawsuit alleging negligence, on top of a largely settled $640 million Marshall Fire liability in Colorado.
  • Regulatory cost recovery risk — Rate increases and cost recovery for grid investment require approval from multiple state commissions, which can reduce, delay or deny what Xcel requests.
  • Extreme weather and infrastructure damage — Severe storms, wildfires and extreme temperatures can damage generation, transmission and distribution assets across Xcel's territories, raising repair costs and outage-related liability.
  • Capital-intensive grid transition — Meeting demand growth and clean energy targets requires large, sustained capital spending; regulators disallowing part of that spending would hurt returns on investments already made.

खरीदने के पक्ष में तर्क

Buyers argue that data center and electrification demand growth gives Xcel one of the strongest rate-base growth outlooks among regulated utilities, and that its regulated, largely weather-insensitive-to-the-economy revenue offers predictable earnings even through a downturn.

बेचने के पक्ष में तर्क

Sellers worry that wildfire litigation costs in Texas and Colorado could keep recurring as climate risk grows, and that regulators may not fully approve the scale of capital spending Xcel needs to fund both grid reliability and growth.

वित्त वर्ष 2025 के सेगमेंट आंकड़ेस्रोत: Xcel Energy Inc. Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025Xcel Energy Reaches Agreements in Principle to Resolve All Litigation Related to 2021 Marshall Fire

Written by the editors, published on 18 अगस्त 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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बैलेंस शीट और तरलता

राजस्व

$14.50B

31/12/2025 को समाप्त वित्त वर्ष

शुद्ध आय

$2.02B

31/12/2025 को समाप्त वित्त वर्ष

Free Cash Flow

$-6.83B

कुल इक्विटी

$23.61B

कुल देनदारियाँ

$57.76B

Current Ratio

0.70

Interest Coverage

1.70

Debt/EBITDA

7.26

Earnings Per Share

राजस्व और शुद्ध आय

Free Cash Flow

आय विवरण

ऐतिहासिक विवरण

समय के साथ मार्जिन

समय के साथ ऋण

ऋण कितना भारी है

वृद्धि तालिका

वृद्धि — राजस्व

Fair Value अनुमान

उचित मूल्यांकित

Fair Value

$74.95

वर्तमान मूल्य

$77.44

Margin of Safety

-3.3%

Fair Value सीमा

$59.57 - $90.34

अनुमान विधियाँ

Analyst Target:$91.76
DCF:$79.18
PE-based:$65.56
Graham Growth:$54.22
EPV:$43.93
विश्लेषक सहमति:दृढ़ खरीदें (22B / 2H / 0S)
अंतिम Earnings सरप्राइज़:+17.84%

मूल्यांकन मेट्रिक्स

P/E Ratio

21.19

ROE

8.5%

P/B Ratio

2.01

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

2.8%

लाभप्रदता Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

2.8%

WACC

5.7%

ROIC − WACC

-2.9 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental विश्लेषण मानदंड

पास (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 5.30%
  • Price CAGR 6.49%
  • P/B Ratio 2.01
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 9.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 92% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.14
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

फेल (9)

  • ROIC 2.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.1%
  • PEG Ratio 5.25
  • Share Dilution 4.8%

अनुपलब्ध (6)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

मिश्रित संकेत: कुछ क्षेत्रों पर ध्यान देना आवश्यक

score
criteria

Earnings गुणवत्ता

2.14

उच्च गुणवत्ता: earnings नकदी द्वारा समर्थित

शेयर Dilution

4.8%

नए शेयर जारी कर रही है, स्वामित्व को कम कर रही है

प्रशासन

कार्यकारी टीम

नामपदआयु
Mr. Robert C. FrenzelPresident, CEO & Chairman54
Mr. Brian J. Van AbelExecutive VP & CFO43
Mr. Ryan LongExecutive VP, Chief Legal & Compliance Officer & General Counsel40
Ms. Amanda J. RomeExecutive VP, Group President of Utilities & Chief Customer Officer44
Mr. Michael LambExecutive VP & Chief Delivery Officer60
Ms. Melissa L. OstromSenior VP, Controller & Principal Accounting Officer-
Mr. Rob CainSenior VP & CTO-
Mr. Roopesh AggarwalVP of Finance & Head of Investor Relations-
Mr. Rob ClarkSenior VP, Chief Communications Officer & Chief of Staff-
Ms. Patricia CorreaSenior VP of Human Resources & Employee Services and Chief Human Resources Officer51

Audit जोखिम

8

बोर्ड जोखिम

6

मुआवजा जोखिम

4

शेयरधारक अधिकार जोखिम

1

भाग 2 · कीमत और खरीदने का समय

यह हिस्सा यह नहीं बताता कि कंपनी अच्छी है या नहीं: यह तय करने में मदद करता है कि उसे कब खरीदें, जब फंडामेंटल आपको आश्वस्त कर चुके हों। इसमें: तकनीकी विश्लेषण, संभावना, ऐतिहासिक गिरावट, गामा एक्सपोज़र।

Latest News

Recent headlines for XEL, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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Disclaimer

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