AXA SA (AXAHF)
NEUTRALFundamental
63
Preço
$43.68
Capitalização de Mercado
$91.71B
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
AXA insures homes, cars, businesses and people against loss, illness and death, and sells life-savings and health policies alongside its property and casualty business. It collects premiums from millions of policyholders across Europe, Asia and elsewhere, and its AXA XL unit specializes in large commercial and specialty risks. A much smaller asset management arm invests money for clients for a fee.
Como gera receita
Premiums are collected upfront and claims are paid later, sometimes decades later for life and health policies, so profit comes from underwriting discipline — pricing risk correctly — plus the investment income earned on the funds held in between. Asset management adds a smaller, fee-based income stream that depends on the value of assets managed rather than on claims experience.
Receita por segmento
Insurance for cars, homes, businesses and large commercial and specialty risks, including through the AXA XL unit.
Savings, protection and health policies, with health premiums growing faster than the rest of the group in the latest year.
Fee-based investment management, now much smaller after the 2025 sale of AXA Investment Managers to BNP Paribas.
Vantagem competitiva
Escala · EstreitaA global brand, broad distribution and a large capital base give AXA underwriting and pricing advantages over smaller insurers. The advantage is not exclusive, however: several other large composite insurers operate at similar scale in AXA's core European and Asian markets, and policyholders can and do switch insurers at renewal.
O que impulsiona a procura
DefensivoCar, home and liability insurance are largely mandatory or near-mandatory, so premium volumes hold up through economic downturns better than most consumer businesses. Growth still responds to the economy at the margin, through new business formation, asset values for savings products, and how much coverage households choose to buy.
Principais riscos
- Frequency and severity of insured losses — The company lists the frequency and severity of insured loss events, including weather-related catastrophes, as a main risk factor; it targets a normalized natural-catastrophe load of about 4.5 points of the combined ratio, and a worse year than that assumption directly hits underwriting profit.
- Interest rate and market conditions — The company identifies market performance and exchange- and interest-rate fluctuations as a key risk, since they affect both the value of the investment portfolio backing its policies and the cost of long-term savings guarantees.
- Mortality and morbidity assumptions — Life and health results depend on how actual mortality and morbidity compare with the assumptions used to price policies decades in advance; the company lists these levels among its principal risk factors.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that growth across both Property & Casualty and Life & Health in 2025, together with a still-comfortable Solvency II capital ratio, shows a diversified and well-capitalized insurer, and that the sale of the asset management arm sharpens the focus on the core, better-margin insurance business.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers fear that a normalized natural-catastrophe assumption of 4.5 points can be exceeded in a genuinely bad year for weather losses, that a large long-duration life book stays exposed to interest-rate swings for decades, and that the Solvency II capital ratio has already declined from year-end 2025 levels, leaving less buffer than before.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Europe's other large multiline insurer, competing with AXA for the same retail, health and corporate property-and-casualty customers in Germany, France, Italy and Asia.
Sells life, health and property-and-casualty policies through agent networks in the same Continental European markets where AXA earns most of its premiums, Italy and France above all.
Goes head-to-head with AXA XL for the global commercial property-and-casualty programmes of large corporations, and with AXA's retail arms in Switzerland, Germany and Italy.
Writes the same large-corporate and specialty property-and-casualty risks that AXA XL underwrites, competing broker by broker for the same commercial accounts.
France's leading motor and home insurer, disputing with AXA France the same domestic retail policyholders that make France AXA's largest single market.
Competes with AXA's UK and Irish operations for the same general insurance, group health and commercial customers.
Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$96.20B
Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação
Resultado Líquido
$10.17B
Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$-26.39B
Capital Próprio Total
$46.19B
Passivo Total
$61.11B
Rácio de Liquidez
11.53
Cobertura de Juros
-
Dívida/EBITDA
-
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$82.95
Preço Atual
$43.68
Margem de Segurança
+47.3%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$53.92 - $111.98
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
9.07
ROE
14.9%
Rácio P/B
2.00
P/FCF
-
Margem Bruta
14.9%
ROIC
8.5%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
8.5%
WACC
5.9%
ROIC − WACC
+2.6 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (12)
- Price CAGR 6.77%
- ROIC 8.5%
- P/B Ratio 2.00
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 11.6%
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 21.9%
- Analyst Consensus 89% Buy
- PEG Ratio 0.32
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.52
- Net Margin Trend 10.7% vs 9.0%
Reprovado (6)
- Gross Margin 14.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- Revenue Growth 5Y -4.2%
- Earnings Surprise avg -2.0%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponível (9)
- EPS data insufficient
- P/FCF NaN
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- CapEx intensity
- Interest Coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupações financeiras graves
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Dr. Thomas Buberl Ph.D. | CEO & Director | 52 |
| Ms. Helen Browne | Group General Counsel & Employee Shareholders Representative Director | 63 |
| Mr. Alban de Mailly Nesle | Group Chief Financial Officer | 55 |
| Gregoire de Montchalin | Chief Accounting & Reporting Officer | - |
| Mr. Matthieu Caillat | Group Chief Technology & AI Officer, Chief Executive Officer of AXA Group Operations | - |
| Ms. Anu Venkataraman | Group Chief Strategy Officer & Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Ulrike Decoene | Group Chief Communication, Brand & Sustainability Officer | - |
| Ms. Karima Silvent | Deputy General Secretary, in charge of HR, Compliance, Audit, AXA EssentiALL & GIE AXA | 51 |
| Mr. Hassan El-Shabrawishi | Chief Executive Officer of International Markets | - |
| Mr. Guillaume Borie | Global Head of Finance, Strategy, Underwriting, Risk & Technology | 39 |
Risco de Auditoria
3
Risco do Conselho
2
Risco de Remuneração
6
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
6
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Latest News
Recent headlines for AXAHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.