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Booking Holdings Inc. Common Stock (BKNG)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalTravel ServicesUnited States

Fundamental

84

Preço

$213.33

Capitalização de Mercado

$160.31B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Booking Holdings connects travellers with hotels, rental cars and flights through a family of online brands, the largest being Booking.com, alongside Priceline, Agoda, Kayak and the restaurant-reservation app OpenTable. It owns none of the rooms, cars or planes it lists: it is an intermediary that earns a fee for arranging the reservation, with most of its business coming from hotel and other accommodation bookings rather than from flights or car rentals.

Como gera receita

Most revenue is a commission taken when a traveller books a room and pays the hotel directly — 'merchant' revenue, where Booking Holdings increasingly collects the payment itself and passes it on to the property after taking its cut, has grown to be the largest slice. A smaller, shrinking share is a simpler referral fee on bookings paid straight to the hotel, plus a growing advertising business that sells placement to hotels and other travel brands within its own apps and websites.

Receita por segmento

Merchant66%

Bookings where Booking Holdings itself collects the traveller's payment and remits it to the hotel or supplier, keeping a commission.

Agency29.6%

Bookings where the traveller pays the hotel directly and Booking Holdings earns a simple referral commission after the stay.

Advertising and Other4.4%

Sponsored placement sold to hotels and travel brands, plus OpenTable's restaurant-reservation revenue.

Vantagem competitiva

Efeitos de rede · Ampla

Booking.com's scale of listed properties gives travellers more choice than a smaller competitor, which in turn makes it the default place hotels list their rooms to reach that traffic — each side of the marketplace reinforces the other. Two decades of accumulated hotel relationships and search-engine spending to acquire traffic make this difficult for a new entrant to replicate quickly.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Travel is discretionary spending that households cut first in a downturn, and the industry has shown it can drop to near zero during shocks like a pandemic or major geopolitical disruption. In normal times demand tracks disposable income and consumer confidence closely, making bookings volume one of the more visibly cyclical parts of consumer spending.

Principais riscos

  • Dependence on search-engine traffic acquisition — A significant share of bookings originates from paid search advertising, mainly on Google, so changes to search algorithms or a rise in advertising costs directly affect both traffic and profitability.
  • Cyclical, shock-prone travel demand — Travel booking volume can collapse quickly during pandemics, wars, natural disasters or economic downturns, and the business has no way to shield itself from a sudden stop in global travel.
  • Regulatory scrutiny in Europe — Booking.com has been designated a gatekeeper platform under EU digital-market rules, which restricts practices like price-parity clauses and can require costly changes to how it operates in its largest market.
  • Currency exposure from international operations — Most bookings and much of the company's cost base are outside the United States, so a stronger dollar can reduce reported revenue and profit even when underlying travel activity is unchanged.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Booking.com's scale of listed properties creates a self-reinforcing advantage over smaller travel sites, that the shift toward merchant-model bookings and advertising gives the company more control over margins, and that travel demand has historically recovered fully after every past shock.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that heavy reliance on paid search traffic leaves margins exposed to rising advertising costs largely paid to Google, that European gatekeeper regulation could force changes to practices the business has relied on for years, and that travel demand remains inherently vulnerable to shocks outside the company's control.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: Booking Holdings Inc. — Form 10-K, fiscal year 2025

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$28.24B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$7.21B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$9.09B

Capital Próprio Total

$-5.58B

Passivo Total

$34.84B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.09

Cobertura de Juros

8.42

Dívida/EBITDA

2.19

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$437.02

Preço Atual

$213.33

Margem de Segurança

+51.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$284.07 - $589.98

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$237.81
DCF:$822.71
PE-based:$150.81
Graham Growth:$462.81
EPV:$89.46
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (38B / 8H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+1.67%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

1.27

ROE

-96.9%

Rácio P/B

-

P/FCF

16.81

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

85.2%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

85.2%

WACC

10.1%

ROIC − WACC

+75.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (20)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 24.98%
  • Price CAGR 13.59%
  • ROIC 85.2%
  • P/FCF 16.81
  • Operating Margin 32.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 139.6%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 31.7%
  • Analyst Consensus 83% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.14
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.37
  • Share Dilution -4.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 25.5% vs 19.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (3)

  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 1.5%

Indisponível (5)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.37

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-4.2%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Glenn D. FogelPresident, CEO & Director63
Mr. Ewout Lucien SteenbergenExecutive VP & CFO56
Mr. Peter J. Millones Jr.Executive VP & General Counsel55
Mr. Paulo PisanoChief Human Resources Officer51
Ms. Caroline Dolores SullivanSenior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Controller56
Ms. Leslie CaffertyHead of Communications-
Ms. Debby SooChief Executive Officer of OpenTable44
Mr. Vijay S. IyerSenior VP, Associate General Counsel & Corporate Secretary-
Mr. Omri MorgenshternChief Executive Officer of Agoda-
Ms. Brigit ZimmermanChief Executive Officer of Priceline-

Risco de Auditoria

9

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

3

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

2

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BKNG, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 21d agoNEUTRAL
    Booking Holdings Keeps Full-Year Outlook on Resilient Travel

    Booking Holdings Inc. has reaffirmed its full-year financial projections for gross bookings and revenue. This decision comes despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which have exerted downward pressure on flight prices and capacity. The company's confidence stems from the sustained resilience observed in global travel demand. Investors will monitor how the company navigates these external pressures while maintaining its growth trajectory.

  • 5/12/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Booking Holdings Stock In The Last 20 Years

    An analysis of Booking Holdings stock reveals a significant long-term growth trajectory, with investors who held the stock over the past 20 years experiencing substantial returns. While specific figures for the 20-year period are not detailed in this summary, the implication is one of consistent outperformance. This historical performance suggests strong business fundamentals and effective management, making Booking Holdings a potentially attractive long-term investment for those seeking exposure to the online travel sector.

  • 4/28/2026NEGATIVE
    Booking’s 2Q Guidance Misses on Middle East, Shares Slide

    Booking Holdings Inc. has issued a disappointing second-quarter revenue growth forecast, missing analyst expectations. The company also revised its full-year outlook downwards, citing a significant impact from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East on travel demand. This geopolitical instability is directly affecting booking volumes and traveler confidence, leading to a projected slowdown in revenue expansion. Investors are reacting negatively to the reduced guidance, anticipating a period of subdued performance for the online travel giant.

  • 4/6/2026POSITIVE
    Why Booking Holdings Shares Are Moving Higher Monday?

    Booking Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: BKNG) saw its shares trade higher on Monday, a move primarily attributed to a significant 25-for-1 stock split. This corporate action, while not altering the company's fundamental valuation, often makes shares more accessible to a broader range of retail investors by lowering the per-share price. For traders, this can lead to increased liquidity and potentially higher trading volumes, which may be interpreted as a positive signal for the stock's short-term performance and accessibility.

  • 3/6/2026POSITIVE
    Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Booking Holdings Stock In The Last 15 Years

    An analysis of Booking Holdings Inc. stock reveals a significant return for long-term investors over the past 15 years. While specific figures are not detailed in the provided snippet, the title implies substantial capital appreciation and potentially dividend payouts. This historical performance suggests strong underlying business growth and effective management, making it a potentially attractive holding for investors seeking exposure to the online travel sector. The sustained positive trend indicates resilience and adaptability in a dynamic market.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Booking Holdings Stock Surges As AI-Checkout Fears Ease Thursday

    Booking Holdings Inc. shares are trading higher Thursday afternoon, buoyed by fresh analyst commentary linking the stock's move to shifting expectations around AI-driven disruption in online travel. Easing fears of potential obsolescence for traditional business models due to AI appear to have reassured investors, fostering positive sentiment for the stock. This shift in expectations suggests the market is reassessing Booking's business model resilience against technological advancements.

  • 2/27/2026POSITIVE
    Booking Shares Up Nearly 2% After Key Trading Signal

    Markets Gazette reports a significant trading signal for Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), which saw its shares climb nearly 2% to an intraday high. This upward movement occurred shortly after a key indicator flashed at a price of $4,164.19. While modest, this rise suggests a positive market reaction to underlying factors or a favorable interpretation of the technical signal. Investors should monitor whether this momentum consolidates or if it's a temporary fluctuation, considering the high volatility typical of the online travel sector. Today's performance could indicate renewed interest or growing confidence in the stock, but it's crucial to analyze the broader context and trading volumes to confirm the trend's strength.

via Markets Gazette