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BioArctic AB (publ) (BRCTF)

POSITIVE
HealthcareBiotechnologySweden

Fundamental

72

Preço

$345.00

Capitalização de Mercado

$29.39B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

BioArctic is a Swedish biopharma company that discovers antibodies against neurodegenerative diseases, mainly Alzheimer's, but does not sell any drug itself. It invented lecanemab, out-licensed since 2007 to Japan's Eisai, which runs the clinical trials, regulatory filings and worldwide sales under the brand Leqembi. BioArctic earns royalties on those sales and payments from other research partnerships, including a 2025 deal with Novartis around its BrainTransporter platform.

Como gera receita

Almost all revenue is royalties: a percentage of what Eisai sells of Leqembi worldwide, paid without BioArctic bearing any of the development, regulatory or marketing costs — but also without it controlling how fast Eisai ramps up sales in each country. A second stream comes from research collaborations such as the Novartis BrainTransporter deal, which brought an upfront payment and offers further milestones and royalties only if Novartis later licenses a resulting drug candidate.

Vantagem competitiva

Patentes e licenças · Estreita

BioArctic's value rests on patents covering lecanemab and on its proprietary BrainTransporter technology for getting therapies across the blood-brain barrier, which it has now licensed twice, most recently to Novartis. That intellectual property is defensible but narrow: it covers specific molecules and one delivery platform, not a broad or repeatable advantage across the whole neurodegeneration field.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Demand for an approved Alzheimer's treatment is driven by diagnosis rates, physician adoption and reimbursement decisions in each country rather than by the broader economy, so it does not move with economic cycles. It does move with Eisai's pace of launching Leqembi market by market, which BioArctic does not control.

Principais riscos

  • Dependence on Eisai's commercialization — Under the 2007 agreement, Eisai alone is responsible for clinical development, regulatory approval and worldwide sales of lecanemab; BioArctic's royalty income rises or falls with decisions and execution it does not control, and Eisai has already revised its own Leqembi sales projections.
  • Revenue concentrated in a single approved product — Leqembi royalties remain the large majority of BioArctic's revenue today; the Novartis and other partnerships are still at the research or milestone stage and have not yet produced a second marketed product to diversify that dependence.
  • Competition in neurodegenerative disease research — Large pharmaceutical companies with far bigger research budgets, including Pfizer, Novartis and Roche, are also developing treatments for Alzheimer's and related conditions, and could bring forward therapies that compete with Leqembi or with BioArctic's earlier-stage pipeline.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that royalties on Leqembi have grown every quarter through 2025 as Eisai expands the drug's rollout, that the model needs no manufacturing or sales investment from BioArctic, and that the new Novartis BrainTransporter deal shows the platform has value beyond a single molecule.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that BioArctic's fortunes ride almost entirely on decisions Eisai makes about a single drug, that competitors with far larger budgets could erode Leqembi's position before BioArctic's other programs reach the market, and that currency swings between the yen and the krona already dent the royalty it does collect.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$1.15B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$213M

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.26B

Capital Próprio Total

$1.84B

Passivo Total

$41M

Rácio de Liquidez

6.54

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

-

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$307.57

Preço Atual

$345.00

Margem de Segurança

-12.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$199.92 - $415.22

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$316.75
DCF:$433.66
PE-based:$166.83
Graham Growth:$38.75
EPV:$43.93
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (8B / 2H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+1780.73%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

139.16

ROE

10.3%

Rácio P/B

13.37

P/FCF

19.56

Margem Bruta

94.1%

ROIC

22.1%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

22.1%

WACC

8.0%

ROIC − WACC

+14.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (14)

  • Price CAGR 31.78%
  • ROIC 22.1%
  • Gross Margin 94.1%
  • P/FCF 19.56
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • ROE 10.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 100.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 80% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 453.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.23
  • Net Margin Trend 51.1% vs -68.8%

Reprovado (3)

  • P/B Ratio 13.37
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (10)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.23

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Dr. Gunilla Osswald Ph.D.President & CEO64
Dr. Pär GellerforsCo-Founder & Senior VP of Business Strategy78
Prof. Lars LannfeltCo-Founder, Senior VP of Medical science & Director76
Mr. Anders Martin-Lof M.B.A., M.Sc.Secretary of the Board & CFO54
Mr. Per-Ola FreskgardChief Scientific Officer-
Mr. Oskar BossonVP and Head of IR & Communication49
Ms. Emilie Ankarcrona SmithGeneral Counsel and Head of Legal & IP44
Mr. Harald BorgekeHead of Public Affairs-
Ms. Frida LekanderHead of Marketing-
Ms. Rebecca KastellVP & Head of HR47

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

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