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Boralex Inc. (BRLXF)

NEUTRAL
UtilitiesUtilities - RenewableCanada

Fundamental

31

Preço

$37.24

Capitalização de Mercado

-

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Boralex develops, builds and operates renewable power plants — mostly onshore wind, plus hydroelectric dams, solar farms and battery storage — in Canada, France, the United Kingdom and the United States. It is France's largest independent onshore wind producer and one of Canada's larger renewable operators. The company does not sell electricity to households directly; it sells the power its plants generate into wholesale markets or under long-term contracts with utilities and large corporate buyers.

Como gera receita

Boralex earns revenue from selling the electricity its wind, hydro, solar and battery assets generate, either at a market price, a government feed-in premium, or a fixed price locked in under a long-term power purchase agreement signed years before a plant is built. Because output depends on how much the wind blows or the sun shines, revenue swings with weather from quarter to quarter even when installed capacity stays flat; 2025 revenue fell 3% despite 8% more electricity produced, mainly on weaker French contract prices.

Vantagem competitiva

Nenhuma vantagem identificada · Nenhuma

Electricity is a commodity: a megawatt-hour from Boralex's wind farm is indistinguishable from one produced by a competitor next door, and long-term power contracts are available to any developer with capital, permits and grid access. Boralex's edge is operational — decades of site selection and construction experience — rather than a structural barrier that keeps rivals out.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Most of Boralex's output is sold under long-term contracts or government feed-in tariffs that are largely insulated from the broader economic cycle, so revenue depends far more on wind speeds, rainfall and sunshine than on GDP growth or consumer spending. The main swing factor in 2025 was weather-driven production and softer short-term power prices in France, not a change in underlying demand.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Boralex's 2030 strategy, backed by $8 billion in planned investment and a project pipeline of 8.2 GW, positions it to double installed capacity by 2030, and that six new plants commissioned in 2025 already show the growth engine is running.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that falling short-term power prices in France already cut 2025 net earnings by more than half, that renewable projects depend on financing conditions and government contract auctions the company does not control, and that debt taken on to fund $8 billion of growth adds financial risk if power prices stay soft.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$898M

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$-32M

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

-

Capital Próprio Total

$1.54B

Passivo Total

-

Rácio de Liquidez

1.24

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

9.23

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$33.03

Preço Atual

$37.24

Margem de Segurança

-12.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$24.59 - $41.47

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$37.25
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$16.14
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (1B / 5H / 5S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-116.76%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

-

ROE

-2.1%

Rácio P/B

2.51

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

75.6%

ROIC

-

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

3.6%

ROIC − WACC

-

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (5)

  • Price CAGR 6.88%
  • Gross Margin 75.6%
  • P/B Ratio 2.51
  • Current Ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.0%

Reprovado (6)

  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -2.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 9% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg -107.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 0/9

Indisponível (16)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • ROIC NaN%
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (need 2+ years)
  • Net Margin Trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

0/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Patrick DecostrePresident, CEO & Director52
Mr. Stéphane MilotVice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning & Analysis-
Mr. Pascal HurtubiseExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer-
Eric CantinVice President of Corporate Finance-
Ms. Marie-Josée ArsenaultExecutive VP and Chief People & Culture Officer-
Mr. Rabindra Nath MishraDeputy Managing Director of Development Europe-
Mr. Pascal Laprise-DemersSenior Vice President of Corporate Strategy & Business Performance-
Mr. Nicolas MabbouxSenior Vice President of IT and Digital Transformation-
David LettHead of Projects-
Egbert De GrootSenior Vice President of Merger, Acquisitions & Energy Commercialisation of North America-

Risco de Auditoria

9

Risco do Conselho

4

Risco de Remuneração

2

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

8

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

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