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Baytex Energy Corp. (BTE)

NEUTRAL
EnergyOil & Gas E&PCanada

Fundamental

51

Preço

$4.63

Capitalização de Mercado

$3.34B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Baytex is a Calgary-based oil and gas producer that pumps crude oil and natural gas out of the ground in Western Canada and sells it into commodity markets. After selling its U.S. Eagle Ford shale assets in December 2025, it is now a pure Canadian producer, with heavy oil fields in Peace River and Lloydminster and light oil in the growing Duvernay and Viking formations. It does not refine or retail fuel — it only extracts and sells raw hydrocarbons.

Como gera receita

Baytex earns revenue by selling barrels of oil and cubic metres of natural gas at prices it does not control — set by global crude benchmarks and, for its heavy oil, by a discount to those benchmarks that reflects transport and blending costs. It books a sale the moment production is delivered to a pipeline or buyer; there are no long-term supply contracts locking in price. Profitability depends almost entirely on the gap between the market price received and the cost of extracting each barrel.

Receita por segmento

Heavy Oil74.9%

Thick, discounted crude from Peace River and Lloydminster that requires blending with lighter diluent before it can move through pipelines.

Light Oil and Condensate21.8%

Higher-value light crude, increasingly from the growing Duvernay formation, priced closer to benchmark levels than heavy oil.

Natural Gas Liquids1.8%

Natural gas liquids such as propane and butane recovered alongside oil and gas production.

Natural Gas1.6%

Natural gas produced alongside the oil, a small and stable share of total sales.

Vantagem competitiva

Nenhuma vantagem identificada · Nenhuma

Baytex sells an undifferentiated commodity at prices set by global and regional benchmarks it cannot influence. Its heavy oil assets carry no pricing power — buyers pay a standard discount to WCS regardless of who produced the barrel — and any competitor with capital and drilling rights can access the same Alberta formations.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Revenue rises and falls with global oil prices, which are set by OPEC+ supply decisions, global demand and pipeline capacity out of Western Canada. The 2025 divestiture of Eagle Ford removed exposure to U.S. shale economics but concentrated the company further on a single, cyclical commodity: Canadian heavy and light oil.

Principais riscos

  • Commodity price volatility — Baytex states that its financial condition is highly sensitive to prevailing crude oil and natural gas prices, which are set by factors entirely outside its control, including OPEC+ decisions and geopolitical events.
  • Need to keep replacing reserves — Oil and gas reserves deplete as they are produced, so long-term results depend on finding and developing new reserves at acceptable cost, with no assurance the company will succeed at economic prices.
  • Pipeline capacity and heavy-oil discount — Insufficient pipeline capacity to move Canadian crude to market has repeatedly forced Canadian producers to accept steep discounts to benchmark prices, and the company does not control the regulatory processes governing new pipeline capacity.
  • Climate regulation and emissions costs — Baytex is subject to evolving emissions, carbon and environmental regulation, with no assurance its capital budget will be sufficient to cover future obligations tied to greenhouse gas emissions.
  • Indigenous land and rights claims — Opposition by Indigenous groups to the company's operations or development activities could delay projects, raise legal and advisory costs, and damage its ability to explore and develop new properties.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the Eagle Ford sale simplified the story into a focused, lower-decline Canadian heavy-oil and Duvernay producer with a much lighter debt load, freeing cash flow for buybacks and giving the market a cleaner read on the value of its Alberta acreage.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that concentrating entirely on Canadian heavy oil leaves the company more exposed to WCS price swings and pipeline bottlenecks than before, with less geographic diversification to cushion a downturn in any single basin.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$892M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$-717M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$-226M

Capital Próprio Total

$1.54B

Passivo Total

$149M

Rácio de Liquidez

2.82

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.21

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$5.22

Preço Atual

$4.63

Margem de Segurança

+11.3%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$4.96 - $5.48

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:-
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$5.22
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (8B / 6H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+153.03%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

30.47

ROE

-8.8%

Rácio P/B

2.17

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

59.0%

ROIC

32.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

32.0%

WACC

7.7%

ROIC − WACC

+24.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (8)

  • ROIC 32.0%
  • Gross Margin 59.0%
  • P/B Ratio 2.17
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 12.8%
  • Analyst Consensus 57% Buy

Reprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR -0.14%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE 4.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -1502.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -18.2% vs 5.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (12)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Chad E. LundbergPresident, CEO & Director43
Mr. Chad L. Kalmakoff C.A.Executive VP & CFO48
Mr. Kendall D. ArthurChief Operating Officer44
Mr. James R. MacleanSenior VP of Commercial & General Counsel45
Mr. Chris M.P. LessowayVP of Finance & Treasurer40

Risco de Auditoria

2

Risco do Conselho

6

Risco de Remuneração

4

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BTE, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026NEUTRAL
    Baytex Energy (BTE) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript

    The Q4 2025 earnings transcript for Baytex Energy (BTE) has been released. While the detailed content is unavailable, the mere release of an earnings transcript is a standard event for publicly traded companies. This event, in itself, does not provide direct insight into the company's financial performance or future outlook. Therefore, without access to the actual earnings figures, guidance discussions, or analyst Q&A, it is impossible to determine a directional impact on the stock price. Investors will need to review the full document for implications.

via Markets Gazette