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Calix, Inc. (CALX)

NEUTRAL
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

68

Preço

$39.92

Capitalização de Mercado

$2.54B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Calix sells the equipment, software and cloud platform that internet, phone and cable companies use to deliver broadband to homes and businesses. Roughly 1,600 mostly small and mid-sized providers use its systems to run their networks and its software to sell and support subscriber services such as security and Wi-Fi management. The U.S. and Canada, boosted by government broadband subsidy programs, account for the large majority of sales.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes mostly from selling network appliances — the physical boxes that carry broadband into homes — recognized when shipped, plus a smaller but faster-growing stream of software and platform subscriptions billed over time. The appliance business still funds most of the company today, but management is steering providers toward the subscription software, which carries higher margins and recurs, rather than being a one-time equipment sale.

Receita por segmento

Appliance82.6%

Physical broadband access equipment installed in the network and at the customer premises, sold upfront when shipped.

Software and Services17.4%

Cloud platform subscriptions, managed Wi-Fi and subscriber-facing apps billed over time — the smaller, faster-growing part of the business.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Purchases are tied to broadband providers' own capital spending plans, which follow both their subscriber growth ambitions and the availability of government funding programs for rural and underserved areas. A change in public subsidy timing can move orders forward or back independent of underlying demand for internet access.

Principais riscos

  • Reliance on third-party manufacturing — Calix depends on outside manufacturers and sole- or limited-source suppliers, many concentrated in Asia, to build its equipment. A disruption at one of these partners can delay shipments the company cannot quickly replace.
  • Competition on price and functionality — The company competes in a broadband equipment and software market where rivals with greater financial resources can undercut it on price, and it expects at least two fiber providers to be competing for subscribers in most markets.
  • Dependence on public broadband funding — A meaningful part of demand rides on public and private funding programs for broadband buildout in underserved areas; changes in the size, timing or rules of those programs can delay or reduce customer orders.

Concentração de clientes

The company states that no single customer accounted for more than 10% of revenue in the periods it reports, spreading demand across roughly 1,600 broadband providers rather than a handful of large accounts.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that broadband providers are steadily adopting Calix's cloud platform on top of its equipment, that no single customer concentration risk exists across roughly 1,600 accounts, and that government-funded rural buildout gives the appliance business years of visible demand.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that the appliance business still drives most revenue and remains exposed to lumpy capital spending by small providers, that larger competitors can undercut Calix on price, and that a slowdown or redesign of public broadband subsidy programs would remove a meaningful source of near-term demand.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: Calix, Inc. — Form 10-K for fiscal year 2025Calix Q4 2025 Shareholder Letter

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$1.11B

Últimos 12 meses (até 27/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$51M

Últimos 12 meses (até 27/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$116M

Capital Próprio Total

$859M

Passivo Total

$199M

Rácio de Liquidez

2.83

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

0.36

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Sobrevalorizada

Valor Justo

$31.17

Preço Atual

$39.92

Margem de Segurança

-28.1%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$20.26 - $42.08

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$62.33
DCF:$19.87
PE-based:$17.71
Graham Growth:$5.68
EPV:$6.30
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (12B / 2H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+13.94%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

53.07

ROE

2.1%

Rácio P/B

3.53

P/FCF

29.34

Margem Bruta

56.6%

ROIC

6.5%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.5%

WACC

11.7%

ROIC − WACC

-5.1 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 17.95%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/FCF 29.34
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.5%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 13.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 86% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 10.2%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.14
  • Net Margin Trend 4.6% vs -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (7)

  • P/B Ratio 3.53
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.5%
  • Share Dilution 4.1%

Indisponível (3)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

2.14

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

4.1%

A emitir novas ações, diluindo a participação

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Michael WeeningCEO, President & Director56
Mr. Cory J. Sindelar CPAChief Financial Officer56
Mr. John DurocherChief Operations Officer58
Mr. Shane Todd-Marshall EleniakChief Product Officer57
Ms. Nancy FazioliVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Douglas W. McNittExecutive VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary60
Mr. Mark DresslerChief Revenue Officer-
Ms. Martha GalleyChief Sustainability Officer-
Ms. Parul KapoorChief Talent & Culture Officer-
Mr. Jonathan LindsellChief Customer Officer-

Risco de Auditoria

2

Risco do Conselho

6

Risco de Remuneração

6

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CALX, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 4/21/2026NEUTRAL
    Calix Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

    Calix Inc. held its Q1 2026 Earnings Call on April 21, 2026. While the transcript is available, no specific financial figures, forward-looking statements, or significant market-moving announcements were detailed in the provided summary. The call likely covered operational updates, segment performance, and strategic initiatives. Investors would typically look for revenue growth, profitability metrics, and guidance for future quarters. Without these details, the immediate market impact remains neutral, pending further analysis of the full transcript for any subtle shifts in performance or outlook.

  • 3/4/2026POSITIVE
    Fund Discloses New $6 Million Bet on Calix Amid 55% Stock Surge

    An investment fund has disclosed a new $6 million long bet on Calix Inc. (CALX), a move that comes as the company's stock has already surged 55%. Calix, which delivers cloud-based platforms and analytics to broadband service providers across U.S. and international markets, appears to be benefiting from renewed investor interest. This significant fund investment suggests strong conviction in the company's future growth potential, despite the recent rally. For investors, this could signal further capital appreciation opportunities.

via Markets Gazette