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Coca-Cola Europacific Partners plc (CCEP)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveBeverages - Non-AlcoholicUnited Kingdom

Fundamental

60

Preço

$109.90

Capitalização de Mercado

$47.70B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Coca-Cola Europacific Partners does not make Coca-Cola's recipe or set its marketing; it is the independent bottler that turns concentrate supplied by The Coca-Cola Company into finished drinks and gets them onto shelves and into fridges across Europe, Australia, the Pacific and Indonesia. It owns the factories, trucks and delivery routes, negotiates with individual retailers, and also bottles some Coca-Cola-owned brands like Costa Coffee alongside sparkling and still drinks under long-term bottling agreements.

Como gera receita

Revenue is unit case volume multiplied by price, shaped by which brands, package sizes and sales channels each case comes from: a can sold through a vending machine or a bar earns a different margin than a large bottle sold in a supermarket. CCEP owns the manufacturing, packaging and delivery, letting it capture wholesale and retail margin, but it pays for concentrate and shares brand investment with The Coca-Cola Company, so its own pricing and product decisions stay bounded by the bottling agreement.

Receita por segmento

Europe74.4%

Bottling and distribution across most of Western and parts of Central Europe, CCEP's original and largest geography.

Asia-Pacific and Indonesia25.6%

Bottling and distribution in Australia, the Pacific islands, the Philippines and Indonesia, added through mergers that turned CCEP from a European into a global bottler.

Vantagem competitiva

Escala · Estreita

Owning the region's densest bottling plants and delivery routes for Coca-Cola brands is expensive to replicate, and the long-term bottling agreements give CCEP exclusivity in its territories. The advantage is narrow rather than wide because it depends entirely on The Coca-Cola Company continuing to want CCEP as its bottler and on Coca-Cola brands themselves staying popular; CCEP has no control over the product's formulation or brand strategy.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Soft drinks are a low-ticket, habitual purchase that people keep buying through recessions, which makes overall volume fairly steady. The more variable part is mix: consumers can trade down from premium packages or immediate-consumption channels like bars and vending toward cheaper large-format packs at the supermarket, which lowers average price even if volume holds up.

Principais riscos

  • Dependence on The Coca-Cola Company — Nearly all of CCEP's revenue comes from Coca-Cola-branded products, and it is the sole supplier of the concentrates and syrups needed to make them. Any strategic shift or reputational problem at The Coca-Cola Company affects CCEP directly, and CCEP does not control marketing or product formulation.
  • Bottling agreement is not owned outright — CCEP's right to bottle Coca-Cola products rests on long-term agreements rather than owning the brand; the terms of those agreements, including territory and product scope, are negotiated with and can be changed by The Coca-Cola Company.
  • Input cost and currency exposure — As a manufacturer operating across many currencies, CCEP is exposed to swings in packaging, sugar and energy costs and to foreign-exchange movements between its many European, Australian and Indonesian markets.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that owning the exclusive bottling rights for the world's leading soft-drink brand across a large, diversified set of markets provides steady, recession-resistant cash flow, and that continued mix shift toward premium packaging and immediate-consumption channels can keep growing revenue even where volume growth is modest.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that a business this dependent on a single brand owner has little room to diversify away from decisions made in Atlanta, that rising health consciousness and sugar taxes could weigh on sparkling-drink volumes over time, and that input-cost inflation can compress margins in a business with limited pricing power of its own.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$18.99B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$1.96B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.58B

Capital Próprio Total

$9.64B

Passivo Total

$12.19B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.89

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

3.45

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$105.25

Preço Atual

$109.90

Margem de Segurança

-4.4%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$88.21 - $122.30

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$113.60
DCF:$101.79
PE-based:$107.03
Graham Growth:$128.26
EPV:$53.93
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (16B / 4H / 2S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-1.01%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

24.80

ROE

23.5%

Rácio P/B

5.90

P/FCF

30.13

Margem Bruta

36.3%

ROIC

10.3%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

10.3%

WACC

6.4%

ROIC − WACC

+4.0 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • Price CAGR 13.15%
  • ROIC 10.4%
  • Gross Margin 36.3%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 12.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 24.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 73% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.55
  • Net Margin Trend 9.3% vs 6.9%

Reprovado (8)

  • P/FCF 30.13
  • P/B Ratio 5.90
  • CapEx intensity
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -0.1%
  • PEG Ratio 2.11
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.55

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Damian Paul GammellCEO & Executive Director55
Mr. Ed WalkerChief Financial Officer-
Ms. Francesca FaureChief Information Officer-
Sarah WillettVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Svetlana WalkerGeneral Counsel & Company Secretary-
Ms. Veronique VuillodChief People & Culture Officer-
Mr. Stephen Clifford MoorhouseChief Customer Service & Supply Chain Officer58
Mr. Leendert den HollanderChief Strategy Officer56
Mr. Stephen LuskChief Commercial Officer-
Joe FransesVice President of Sustainability of CCEP-

Risco de Auditoria

1

Risco do Conselho

7

Risco de Remuneração

4

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

9

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

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