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Dometic Group AB (publ) (DTCGF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalLeisureSweden

Fundamental

64

Preço

$22.80

Capitalização de Mercado

$7.39B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Dometic makes the equipment that lets people cook, cool, power and stay comfortable away from a fixed home: refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings and power systems for recreational vehicles, plus similar climate and power equipment for boats under its Marine brands. It sells both to vehicle and boat manufacturers who fit the equipment during production, and through dealers to owners upgrading or replacing gear after purchase.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes from selling hardware either to original equipment manufacturers, who install it before a vehicle or boat is sold, or through the aftermarket, where dealers and owners buy replacement or upgrade parts. Demand for both channels tracks how many new RVs, caravans and boats are being built and how much people are spending on outdoor recreation, which makes the business sensitive to consumer discretionary spending and to interest rates that affect big-ticket purchases.

Vantagem competitiva

Marca · Estreita

Dometic's names are well established with RV and marine manufacturers who specify its equipment as original fittings, which gives it a durable relationship advantage in a niche market. The advantage is narrow because the underlying products — refrigerators, air conditioners, awnings — are not difficult for competitors to replicate, and OEM customers can and do switch suppliers when price or quality shifts.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

RVs, caravans and boats are large discretionary purchases that buyers postpone when consumer confidence weakens or credit gets more expensive, which flows directly through to Dometic's OEM orders. The company itself described 2025 as a year of tough market conditions and declining demand in the outdoor recreation industry, with only tentative signs of stabilisation by year-end.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the 2025 sales decline eased through the year, order intake improved and channel inventories began normalising, suggesting the worst of the outdoor-recreation downturn is behind the company as tariff-related cost headwinds also fade.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that a business this tied to discretionary RV and marine purchases remains exposed to consumer confidence and to whatever tariff or trade policy comes next, and that a genuine recovery in OEM demand may take longer than early signs of stabilisation suggest.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$20.15B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$310M

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.66B

Capital Próprio Total

$22.96B

Passivo Total

$14.62B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.65

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

5.91

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$30.25

Preço Atual

$22.80

Margem de Segurança

+24.6%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$19.67 - $40.84

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$40.00
DCF:$50.16
PE-based:$5.91
Graham Growth:$7.18
EPV:$27.65
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (9B / 2H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-4.01%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

23.60

ROE

1.4%

Rácio P/B

0.32

P/FCF

4.45

Margem Bruta

29.5%

ROIC

4.3%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.3%

WACC

4.4%

ROIC − WACC

-0.1 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (13)

  • P/FCF 4.45
  • P/B Ratio 0.32
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.1%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 5.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 82% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 5.59
  • Net Margin Trend 2.0% vs -9.4%

Reprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR -10.05%
  • ROIC 4.3%
  • Gross Margin 29.5%
  • CapEx intensity
  • ROE 1.4%
  • Earnings Surprise avg -64.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

5.59

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Juan VarguesPresident & CEO66
Mr. Per CarlssonActing Chief Financial Officer61
Mr. Anton LundqvistChief Technology Officer55
Mr. Tobias NorrbyHead of Investor Relations-
Ms. Anna Smieszek Ph.D.Executive VP & Group General Counsel61
Mr. Peter JanneroChief Marketing Officer56
Ms. Jenny EveliusExecutive VP & Head of Group HR56
Ms. Chialing HsuehPresident of Global Ventures62
Mr. Eric B. FetchkoPresident of Segment Marine63

Risco de Auditoria

8

Risco do Conselho

5

Risco de Remuneração

9

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

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