FirstService Corporation (FSV)
NEUTRALFundamental
64
Preço
$144.22
Capitalização de Mercado
$6.37B
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
FirstService Corporation is a Canadian-headquartered provider of outsourced essential property services in North America, reporting in US dollars under US GAAP and filing its annual report with the SEC on Form 40-F. It runs two divisions. FirstService Residential is North America's largest manager of private residential communities: roughly 20,000 employees in about 100 offices across 25 US states and 3 Canadian provinces manage over 9,500 condominium, co-op, homeowner-association and master-planned communities representing more than 4.7 million residents. FirstService Brands delivers property services to homeowners and commercial property owners through company-owned businesses and five franchise networks; its principal brands are First Onsite Restoration, Paul Davis Restoration, Roofing Corp of America, Century Fire Protection, California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International and Pillar to Post Home Inspectors. Consolidated revenues were $5.50 billion in 2025, up 5% over 2024, with about 10% of revenues generated outside the United States, all of it in Canada.
Como gera receita
Three streams. In FirstService Residential, property management and recurring ancillary services are sold under contract for a fixed monthly fee; contracts typically run one to three years but are cancellable by either party on 30 to 90 days' notice, and the company reports a retention rate in the mid-90% range, which makes a large share of the revenue recurring. Higher-margin ancillary services — on-site staffing, pool and amenity management, security and concierge, insurance brokerage, banking and cash-management services, energy management and resale processing — are billed on top. In FirstService Brands, company-owned operations bill for work performed and recognise revenue over time on a percentage-of-completion basis ($2.97 billion in 2025), while the five franchise systems earn royalties calculated as a percentage of franchisee gross revenues (or a fixed monthly fee at CertaPro), plus initial franchise fees — $226.9 million of franchisor revenue and $10.1 million of franchise fees in 2025. Backlog of contracted work not yet performed stood at $1.03 billion at 31 December 2025. Growth comes from organic contract wins plus a steady programme of tuck-under acquisitions: nine businesses were bought in 2025 for $107.2 million of initial cash consideration.
Receita por segmento
Essential property services to residential and commercial customers through company-owned operations and five franchise networks: restoration (First Onsite, Paul Davis), commercial roofing (Roofing Corp of America), fire protection (Century Fire), and home improvement brands (California Closets, CertaPro Painters, Floor Coverings International, Pillar to Post). Revenues were $3,210.9 million in 2025, up 4%, but down 3% organically on lower restoration and roofing activity.
Full-service property management for private residential communities — condominiums, co-operatives, homeowner associations and master-planned communities — sold to volunteer homeowner boards, together with ancillary services such as on-site staffing, amenity and pool management, security, insurance brokerage and energy solutions. Revenues were $2,286.6 million in 2025, up 7%, including 4% organic growth from new management contract wins.
Vantagem competitiva
Escala · EstreitaThe durable advantage sits mainly in FirstService Residential. The company states that only a small number of industry participants have the expertise and capital to provide comparable full-service property management, and that its scale, brand, geographic footprint and operating expertise are difficult to replicate; contract retention runs in the mid-90% range and revenue is largely recurring. The limits are real and disclosed by the company itself: management contracts can be cancelled by either party on 30 to 90 days' notice, and in FirstService Brands the company describes low capital costs of entry, strong competition from regional and local owner-operators with lower cost structures, and brand recognition rather than any structural barrier as the critical success factor.
O que impulsiona a procura
Moderadamente cíclicoThe two divisions behave differently over the cycle. Residential community management is close to defensive: association fees fund essential services that owners must keep paying whatever the economy does, contracts are recurring with a mid-90% retention rate, and 2025 organic growth of 4% came from new contract wins rather than from a strong market. FirstService Brands is the cyclical half: the company links it directly to consumer spending, property values, resale activity and the general liquidity of real estate transactions, and its restoration and roofing lines add weather dependence on top — a mild year cuts revenue, a storm year inflates it. That combination showed in 2025, when Brands revenue fell 3% organically on lower restoration and roofing activity even as the group grew 5% through acquisitions. Seasonality runs through both: Residential peaks in the third quarter on pool management, several franchise systems earn most of their revenue in the second and third quarters.
Principais riscos
- Economic slowdown and consumer spending — The company states that during periods of economic slowdown or contraction its business is impacted directly: consumer spending feeds straight into FirstService Brands, because as consumers spend less on property services revenues decline. The same conditions can delay or prevent collection of accounts receivable.
- Residential property values and resale activity — The filing states that property values and consumer confidence are strongly correlated with demand for its services, including painting, closet installation, general maintenance, collections and resale processing — so a weak housing market with low transaction volumes hits both divisions.
- Weather-driven volatility in restoration and roofing — Natural disasters such as hurricanes are listed as a direct impact on both divisions: they generate demand for restoration and roofing work, but can also harm employees, facilities and franchisees and leave the company unable to serve clients. Management notes that organic growth at the restoration brands and in certain roofing geographies depends on weather-driven claims activity, which is unpredictable.
- Labour shortages and wage inflation — As a services company its primary asset is its workforce; it relies on property managers, franchisees and other skilled staff to generate revenues, and a shortage or an increase in wage and benefit costs could reduce revenues and profitability. Changes to US immigration policy are cited as a further constraint on attracting and retaining labour in certain businesses.
- Competition and low barriers to entry — The company describes highly competitive markets in which the relatively low capital cost of entry to certain of its businesses has produced strong competition, including regional and local owner-operated companies that may carry lower labour, benefit and overhead costs. It gives no assurance that competitive pressure will not cost it market share or damage financial performance.
- Acquisition execution and integration — Growth depends on a continuing supply of suitable acquisition targets at acceptable terms and on integrating them into existing service lines. The company warns that an acquired business's past performance may not be indicative of future results, that undiscovered liabilities may remain with the acquired entity, and that its indemnification rights and representation-and-warranty insurance may not cover the resulting losses.
- Debt, interest rates and financial covenants — At 31 December 2025 the company had $1,082.7 million of debt outstanding ($928.3 million net of cash) requiring refinancing or repayment over the next three to six years, of which $864.5 million carried variable interest rates. It states that a prolonged decline in earnings could breach financial covenants under its credit agreement and note agreements, and that leverage limits its flexibility, its ability to fund acquisitions and its ability to pay dividends.
- Liability in the fire protection business — The nature of the fire protection services provided exposes the company to being held liable for employee acts or omissions or for installation and system failures. It notes that contractual limitations of liability may be found unenforceable and that insurance coverage may prove inadequate or be denied by carriers.
Concentração de clientes
The filing does not disclose a share of revenue for any single customer or for the largest customers as a group, and no customer is named as material. In the note on concentration of credit risk the company states that concentrations with respect to receivables are limited due to the large number of entities comprising its customer base and their dispersion across many different service lines. The underlying picture is consistent with that: over 9,500 residential communities under management, more than 1,400 franchisees across five networks, and a restoration business serving large multi-location commercial customers, property owners and insurance companies.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that this is a collection of essential, largely recurring services with a genuine leadership position: the largest residential community manager in North America, contracts renewed in the mid-90% range, and a business model the company describes as low in capital expenditure and working capital and high in free cash flow — $445.9 million of operating cash flow in 2025. They point to a long consolidation runway in industries the company itself calls highly fragmented, executed through small tuck-under deals (nine in 2025 for $107.2 million of initial cash) rather than transformational bets, and to management's stated long-term target of mid-single-digit organic revenue growth plus acquisitions for total growth of 10% or higher. They note that 2025 margins held up despite a weak weather year — group Adjusted EBITDA rose to $562.8 million from $513.7 million, with FirstService Residential's Adjusted EBITDA margin improving to 9.8% from 9.3% — and that guidance for 2026 is mid-single-digit organic growth at Residential and high-single-digit total growth at Brands.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers fear that the growth is bought rather than generated. In 2025 the group grew 5% but FirstService Brands — the larger half at 58.4% of revenue — shrank 3% organically as restoration and roofing activity fell, and consolidated growth came entirely from acquisitions. That makes the model dependent on a continuing supply of targets at acceptable prices, a risk the company itself lists, while the acquisition trail shows up as $185.2 million of depreciation and amortisation in 2025 against $190.7 million of net earnings and $1,501.5 million of goodwill on the balance sheet, which the company warns may require non-cash impairment if performance deteriorates. They also point to $1,082.7 million of debt with $864.5 million at variable rates and covenant risk in a downturn; to a restoration business whose organic result depends on unpredictable weather-driven claims; to residential management contracts that customers can cancel on 30 to 90 days' notice; and to markets the company describes as highly competitive with a relatively low capital cost of entry, where local operators may run lower labour and overhead costs.
Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated on 23 de agosto de 2026 with claude-opus-5 — shared with all users
Associa is the other large-scale manager of homeowner associations and condominiums in North America, bidding for the same community boards that FirstService Residential serves.
RealManage manages over 3,500 community associations across thirteen US states and grows by acquiring regional managers in the same Sun Belt markets where FirstService Residential is strongest.
BELFOR is the largest disaster-recovery contractor in North America and competes head-on with FirstService's First Onsite and Paul Davis for insurance-funded fire, water and storm restoration work.
SERVPRO franchises more than 2,000 cleaning and restoration locations in the US and Canada, competing for the same insurance carrier referrals and homeowner damage claims as Paul Davis Restoration.
Neighborly runs a portfolio of 28 residential-services franchise brands covering painting, restoration and other home trades, competing with FirstService Brands both for the same homeowners and for the same prospective franchisees.
Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$5.60B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Resultado Líquido
$161M
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$320M
Capital Próprio Total
$1.21B
Passivo Total
$1.56B
Rácio de Liquidez
1.67
Cobertura de Juros
-
Dívida/EBITDA
2.89
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$122.93
Preço Atual
$144.22
Margem de Segurança
-17.3%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$79.91 - $165.96
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
41.06
ROE
12.0%
Rácio P/B
5.25
P/FCF
19.91
Margem Bruta
33.4%
ROIC
11.4%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
11.4%
WACC
9.0%
ROIC − WACC
+2.4 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (13)
- Price CAGR 11.77%
- ROIC 11.4%
- Gross Margin 33.4%
- P/FCF 19.91
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 12.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 14.7%
- Analyst Consensus 92% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 3.17
- Net Margin Trend 2.6% vs 2.6%
Reprovado (6)
- P/B Ratio 5.25
- CapEx intensity
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg 2.2%
- PEG Ratio 4.10
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponível (8)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupações financeiras graves
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Jay Stewart Hennick CM | Founder & Independent Chairman of the Board | 68 |
| Mr. D. Scott Patterson | President, CEO & Non-Independent Director | 64 |
| Mr. Jeremy Alan Rakusin | Chief Financial Officer | 56 |
| Mr. Steve Carpenter | Senior Vice President of Technology, Sustainability & Information Services | 49 |
| Mr. Abel Escobar | Senior VP of Compliance and Risk Management & Corporate Secretary | 48 |
| Ms. Angela Bai | Senior VP of Strategy & Corporate Development | 43 |
| Ms. Sarah Alberts | Director of Marketing & Communications of FirstService Residential Ontario | - |
| Patrick Tran | Senior Vice President of Tax | - |
| Mr. David Diestel | Chief Executive Officer of FirstService Residential | 54 |
Risco de Auditoria
6
Risco do Conselho
8
Risco de Remuneração
8
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
4
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Latest News
Recent headlines for FSV, sourced from Markets Gazette.