Hensoldt AG (HNSDF)
NEUTRALFundamental
54
Preço
$87.08
Capitalização de Mercado
$10.22B
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
HENSOLDT is a German defense electronics maker: it builds the radars, sensors, cameras and targeting optics that let military platforms see, track and aim, rather than making the aircraft, ships or vehicles themselves. Its equipment goes onto programs like the Eurofighter jet, the P-8 Poseidon patrol aircraft, and Leopard 2 tanks, sold mainly to European and NATO armed forces.
Como gera receita
Revenue comes from long-cycle defense contracts: governments order equipment years in advance, HENSOLDT books the order as backlog and recognizes revenue as it develops, produces and delivers the systems, followed by years of maintenance and upgrade work on equipment already in the field. Growth therefore shows up first as order intake, which converts into revenue only gradually as programs move from contract to delivery.
Receita por segmento
Radars, air-defence and reconnaissance sensors used on aircraft, ships and ground-based systems, the core of the business.
Electro-optical sighting, targeting and vision systems mounted on land vehicles such as the Leopard 2 and Puma platforms.
Vantagem competitiva
Custos de mudança · EstreitaOnce HENSOLDT's radar or optronics are integrated into a platform like the Eurofighter or Leopard 2, replacing them mid-program means requalifying a new supplier through years of defense procurement and security clearance processes, which governments rarely choose to do. The trade-off is that this advantage is tied to a small number of large programs, so losing or not winning the next generation of one of them matters a great deal.
O que impulsiona a procura
Moderadamente cíclicoOrders follow government defense budgets and multi-year procurement decisions rather than the broader economy, and the company itself credits Germany's elevated defense spending as the main driver of its record 2025 order intake. That makes demand more a function of political and budgetary decisions — which can also reverse or delay — than of a classic economic cycle.
Principais riscos
- Dependence on German defense spending — The company attributes its record 2025 order intake mainly to elevated German federal procurement, so a change in Germany's defense budget priorities would directly affect future orders.
- Concentration in a few large programs — Order intake growth is driven by specific platforms such as the Eurofighter, Leopard 2 and P-8 Poseidon; a shift in any partner nation's procurement plans away from these platforms would reduce expected orders.
- Export licensing dependency — International sales require export licenses from German and European authorities, whose approval decisions can delay or block contracts that are otherwise ready to proceed.
Concentração de clientes
HENSOLDT does not disclose an exact percentage, but its own 2025 results credit Germany as the key driver of order intake momentum, indicating heavy reliance on a single national defense customer.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that a record order backlog built on elevated German and European defense spending gives HENSOLDT years of visible future revenue, and that its equipment being designed into flagship platforms like the Eurofighter and Leopard 2 makes it difficult for those programs to switch suppliers.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers fear that growth leans heavily on the German government's current appetite for defense spending, which is a political decision that can change, that revenue is concentrated in a handful of flagship programs, and that export contracts remain subject to licensing decisions HENSOLDT does not control.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
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Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$2.68B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Resultado Líquido
$120M
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$304M
Capital Próprio Total
$889M
Passivo Total
$1.69B
Rácio de Liquidez
1.10
Cobertura de Juros
-
Dívida/EBITDA
4.88
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$47.60
Preço Atual
$87.08
Margem de Segurança
-82.9%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$30.94 - $64.26
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
85.08
ROE
12.9%
Rácio P/B
11.49
P/FCF
33.62
Margem Bruta
21.0%
ROIC
4.3%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.3%
WACC
14.7%
ROIC − WACC
-10.4 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (10)
- Price CAGR 35.77%
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 11.9%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 15.3%
- Analyst Consensus 60% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 35.3%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 6.37
Reprovado (8)
- ROIC 4.3%
- Gross Margin 21.0%
- P/FCF 33.62
- P/B Ratio 11.49
- CapEx intensity
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Net Margin Trend 3.6% vs 4.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponível (9)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupações financeiras graves
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Oliver Dorre | CEO & Chairman of Management Board | - |
| Mr. Christian Ladurner | CFO & Member of Management Board | 48 |
| Dr. Lars Immisch | Executive Officer | 58 |
| Nicolas Debove | Chief Operating Officer | - |
| Ms. Inka Tews | Chief Human Resources Officer, Labour Director & Member of Management Board | 54 |
| Ms. Veronika Endres | Head of Group Reporting & Investor Relations | - |
| Dr. Katja Stadelmann | General Counsel | - |
| Ms. Simona Patap | Marketing Manager | - |
| Mr. Stefan Hess | Head of Group Sales & Account Management | 57 |
| Mr. Temur Karbassioun | Head of Customer Service | - |
Risco de Auditoria
5
Risco do Conselho
6
Risco de Remuneração
6
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
9
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Latest News
Recent headlines for HNSDF, sourced from Markets Gazette.