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H World Group Limited (HTHT)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalLodgingChina

Fundamental

71

Preço

$37.82

Capitalização de Mercado

$116.86B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

H World operates and franchises hotels under brands spanning budget to upscale, mostly in China (HanTing, Ibis, Orange, Joya) and, since acquiring Deutsche Hospitality, in Europe under Steigenberger and related names. Rather than owning most of its properties, the company signs manachise and franchise agreements: hotel owners fund the building, and H World supplies the brand, reservation system, training and standards in exchange for fees. It runs one of China's largest hotel networks by room count.

Como gera receita

Most rooms — 93% as of early 2026 — operate under the manachised and franchised model, where H World earns a fee based on a percentage of the franchisee's hotel revenue plus system and reservation charges, rather than paying for the building or the staff. That asset-light structure means franchise fee income grew faster than the company's overall revenue and now supplies most of its gross operating profit. A small remaining share of hotels is leased and directly operated, carrying real estate costs the franchised hotels do not.

Receita por segmento

Legacy-Huazhu81%

The original China hotel business — HanTing, Ibis, Orange and other brands — operated mostly through manachise and franchise agreements.

Legacy-DH19%

Deutsche Hospitality's European hotels under Steigenberger and related brands, acquired to extend the group beyond China.

Vantagem competitiva

Marca · Estreita

A large membership loyalty program and a portfolio of recognized brands make H World hotels a default choice for repeat domestic travelers, and its scale gives it purchasing and system advantages a small independent hotel cannot match. Chinese hotel groups like Jinjiang and BTG offer similar loyalty programs and comparable scale, so the advantage is real but not unique.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Hotel demand tracks business and leisure travel, both of which contract sharply when the economy weakens or when travel restrictions return, as seen during the pandemic. The manachise model shifts some of that risk onto hotel owners rather than H World directly, but franchise fee income still falls when the hotels themselves see fewer bookings.

Principais riscos

  • VIE structure and Chinese regulatory risk — H World's structure relies on contractual arrangements rather than direct ownership of some China operations; a change in how Chinese authorities treat this structure could affect its validity or the company's control.
  • Cross-border data regulation — Hotel reservations involve cross-border data transfers subject to Chinese cybersecurity and data security approval requirements that could tighten or change with little notice.
  • US listing and audit access risk — Tensions over US regulators' access to audit work on China-based companies, and broader US-China friction, could affect the company's ability to remain listed on a US exchange.
  • Reliance on franchisees to protect the brand — With 93% of rooms now manachised or franchised, service quality and brand standards depend on independent hotel owners H World does not directly control.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the asset-light manachise model lets H World grow its hotel network and franchise fee income without funding real estate itself, and that a leading loyalty program and multi-brand portfolio in China's large domestic travel market support pricing power over time.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that regulatory shifts around the VIE structure, cross-border data rules or US listing access could disrupt the business with little warning, and that ceding day-to-day control to thousands of franchisees makes consistent brand quality harder to guarantee as the network grows.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$25.91B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$5.00B

Últimos 12 meses (até 31/03/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$7.37B

Capital Próprio Total

$16.02B

Passivo Total

$34.23B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.21

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

3.85

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$36.08

Preço Atual

$37.82

Margem de Segurança

-4.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$23.45 - $48.71

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$47.62
DCF:$51.90
PE-based:$16.04
Graham Growth:$17.91
EPV:$20.76
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (20B / 1H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+836.93%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

34.55

ROE

38.1%

Rácio P/B

7.29

P/FCF

15.85

Margem Bruta

41.0%

ROIC

13.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.0%

WACC

6.9%

ROIC − WACC

+6.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (14)

  • ROIC 13.0%
  • Gross Margin 41.0%
  • P/FCF 15.85
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 40.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 95% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 207.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.73
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 12.8%

Reprovado (4)

  • Price CAGR 1.16%
  • P/B Ratio 7.29
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.73

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Qi JiFounder & Executive Chairman58
Mr. Hui JinChief Executive Officer47
Ms. Xinxin LiuPresident46
Mr. Junrui YuChief Financial Officer44
Mr. Dong LiChief Accounting Officer & Deputy CFO-
Ms. Ivy LuoHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Yao ChenCompany Secretary & Director of Legal Affairs-
Ms. Fei YeDeputy CFO & VP of Strategic Investment and Capital Market-
Ms. Jihong HeChief Strategy Officer53
Yu IdaSenior Manager of Investor Relations-

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for HTHT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/15/2026NEUTRAL
    H World Group Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

    H World Group Limited has released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook, it does not contain specific financial figures or forward-looking statements that would indicate a significant immediate impact on the stock price. Investors should review the transcript for qualitative information regarding operational efficiency, market positioning, and management's commentary on industry trends.

via Markets Gazette