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IRPC Public Company Limited (IRPSY)

POSITIVE
EnergyOil & Gas Refining & MarketingThailand

Fundamental

68

Preço

$2.42

Capitalização de Mercado

$51.43B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

IRPC refines crude oil into fuels and turns some of that output into petrochemicals, at an integrated site in Thailand that is the country's second-largest refinery, with capacity of about 215,000 barrels a day. It also sells lubricants, asphalt and plastics such as polyethylene and polypropylene. The company is majority-linked to Thailand's national oil company PTT, which owns roughly 45% of it and supplies its crude oil.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes from selling refined fuels, petrochemicals and related products at market prices, so profit depends on the spread between the cost of crude oil and the price of what comes out the other end — a margin that swings with global oil and petrochemical markets rather than being set by the company. PTT supplies essentially all of its crude, but at market price rather than at a discount, so ownership does not translate into a lower input cost.

Vantagem competitiva

Nenhuma vantagem identificada · Nenhuma

IRPC buys its main input, crude oil, at market price even from its own parent company, and sells fuels and basic petrochemicals that are largely undifferentiated commodities priced on global markets. Being Thailand's second-largest refiner gives it local scale, but not a cost or pricing advantage over other refiners exposed to the same crude and product prices.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

As a refiner and petrochemical producer, results move with global crude oil prices and refining margins, which swing with the broader economy, energy demand and regional refining capacity — not with any steady, non-discretionary consumption pattern.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that being tied to PTT, Thailand's national oil company and a roughly 45% owner, gives IRPC funding support and credit-rating uplift in stressed periods, and that its position as the country's second-largest, fully integrated refining-and-petrochemical complex is not easily replicated.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that buying crude at market price even from its own parent leaves IRPC with no cost advantage, that refining and petrochemical margins are set by volatile global markets outside its control, and that a commodity business with no pricing power offers little protection when those margins compress.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$283.23B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$5.52B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$20.46B

Capital Próprio Total

$76.40B

Passivo Total

$67.55B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.36

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

2.77

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$5.93

Preço Atual

$2.42

Margem de Segurança

+59.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$3.86 - $8.01

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$2.03
DCF:$11.69
PE-based:$6.69
Graham Growth:$8.47
EPV:$2.36
Consenso dos Analistas:Vender (2B / 5H / 12S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+8.21%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

9.32

ROE

14.8%

Rácio P/B

0.70

P/FCF

2.51

Margem Bruta

5.8%

ROIC

4.9%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.9%

WACC

5.9%

ROIC − WACC

-1.0 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (12)

  • P/FCF 2.51
  • P/B Ratio 0.70
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 8.1%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 37.9%
  • Net Margin Trend -1.3% vs -1.6%

Reprovado (7)

  • Price CAGR -7.06%
  • ROIC 4.9%
  • Gross Margin 5.8%
  • Operating Margin 3.0%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Analyst Consensus 11% Buy
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (8)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Terdkiat PrommoolPresident, CEO, Secretary & Director58
Ms. Torsang ChaipravatSenior EVP of Corporate Accounting & Finance49
Mr. Lersak ThongruangSenior Executive Vice President of Operation58
Ms. Wanida UtaisomnapaSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Commercial & Marketing59
Mr. Kraisit AnukoolutaiwongExecutive VP of Corporate People & Organization Effectiveness63
Mr. Thammasak PanyowatkoolExecutive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness58
Mr. Rathapol UnakanpornExecutive VP of Infrastructure Logistics & Operation Excellence62
Mr. Pranarch KosayanontSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Strategy Planning & Business Development58
Mr. Poramet JunwichitSenior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness60
Mr. Apichit WongpanitActing Senior Executive Vice President of Corporate Organization Effectiveness and Digital-

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

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