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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsUnited States

Fundamental

73

Preço

$90.44

Capitalização de Mercado

$73.36B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

O'Reilly Automotive sells replacement auto parts, tools, supplies and accessories through a large chain of retail stores backed by its own distribution network. It serves two very different customers with the same stores: everyday drivers fixing their own cars, and professional repair shops that need a part delivered within the hour to finish a job. Owning the distribution chain rather than relying on outside wholesalers is what lets it promise that speed.

Como gera receita

Revenue is booked at the point of sale, whether over the counter to a walk-in customer or delivered to a professional repair shop's account. The DIY and professional halves of the business are roughly equal in size but behave differently: DIY sales follow store traffic and weather-driven repair needs, while professional sales depend on account relationships and, above all, on how fast O'Reilly can get the right part to a shop, which is what its hub-and-distribution-center network is built to deliver.

Receita por segmento

DIY Retail50%

Parts and accessories sold over the counter to individual customers repairing their own vehicles.

Professional Service Provider50%

Parts sold and delivered to professional repair shops and service technicians, O'Reilly's fastest-growing customer group.

Vantagem competitiva

Escala · Estreita

A dense network of stores layered on regional distribution centers lets O'Reilly promise same-day or next-day parts availability that a small independent parts store cannot match, and that scale is expensive and slow for a new entrant to replicate. The advantage is real but not exclusive: a handful of comparably sized national chains run the same playbook, so no single player owns a durable edge.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Cars break down regardless of the economy, and an aging vehicle fleet on the road tends to need more parts over time, which makes demand fairly resistant to downturns; some drivers even shift from buying a new car to repairing an older one when money is tight, which can help O'Reilly. Store growth and comparable sales still track broader consumer spending at the margin.

Principais riscos

  • Macroeconomic sensitivity of customers — The company cites inflation, consumer debt levels and general economic conditions as risks: deteriorating conditions can reduce product demand, limit customer and supplier access to credit, and cause financial hardship across the business.
  • Tariffs and trade policy — O'Reilly relies in part on imported parts, and new or increased tariffs raise costs and require further diversification of its supply chain, a process the company itself describes as ongoing rather than complete.
  • Intense competition in a fragmented market — The automotive aftermarket remains highly fragmented, and O'Reilly competes against comparably resourced national retailers as well as many independent and online sellers, limiting its pricing power.
  • Capital-intensive expansion — Growth depends on continuing to open new stores and expand the distribution network at a steady pace, which requires ongoing capital spending and execution; a slowdown in store openings would directly slow revenue growth.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that O'Reilly's distribution density gives it a durable speed advantage with professional customers, that an aging US vehicle fleet supports steady parts demand regardless of new-car sales, and that a long track record of disciplined store expansion and share buybacks has compounded returns for shareholders for decades.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that O'Reilly competes against equally well-capitalized national rivals with no clear way to widen the gap, that tariffs on imported parts squeeze margins the company cannot fully offset with price increases, and that continued growth increasingly depends on opening stores in markets it knows less well, including outside the United States.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$18.57B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$2.65B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$1.59B

Capital Próprio Total

$-763M

Passivo Total

$17.30B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.75

Cobertura de Juros

14.37

Dívida/EBITDA

2.41

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$76.76

Preço Atual

$90.44

Margem de Segurança

-17.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$50.16 - $103.35

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$107.80
DCF:$61.85
PE-based:$79.15
Graham Growth:$23.56
EPV:$43.28
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (29B / 7H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-2.25%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

28.79

ROE

-332.5%

Rácio P/B

-

P/FCF

34.02

Margem Bruta

51.6%

ROIC

36.7%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

36.7%

WACC

7.3%

ROIC − WACC

+29.4 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 16.99%
  • ROIC 36.7%
  • Gross Margin 51.6%
  • Operating Margin 19.6%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 423.4%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 8.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 81% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.24
  • Share Dilution -3.0%
  • Net Margin Trend 14.3% vs 14.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Reprovado (5)

  • EPS CAGR 4.18%
  • P/FCF 34.02
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -1.1%

Indisponível (5)

  • P/B Ratio NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Saúde financeira sólida

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.24

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-3.0%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Gregory L. HensleeExecutive Chairman64
Mr. Brad W. BeckhamChief Executive Officer46
Mr. David E. O'ReillyExecutive Vice Chairman75
Mr. Brent G. KirbyPresident56
Mr. Jeremy Adam Fletcher CPAExecutive VP & CFO47
Mr. Scott Richard RossExecutive VP & Chief Information Officer59
Mr. Jason Lee TarrantExecutive Vice President of Store Operations & Sales44
Ms. Tamara F. ConnSenior VP of Legal & General Counsel54
Ms. Shari Lynne ReavesSenior Vice President of Human Resources & Training54
Mr. Robert Allen DumasSenior Vice President of Eastern Store Operations & Sales51

Risco de Auditoria

10

Risco do Conselho

8

Risco de Remuneração

8

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORLY, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Can O'Reilly Automotive Stock Beat the Market?

    O'Reilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) has demonstrated exceptional performance over the past five years, with its shares more than tripling in value. This positive trend indicates strong growth and solid business management within the auto parts retail sector. For investors, this suggests a potential continuation of the upward trajectory, supported by consistent demand for vehicle maintenance and repair, making the stock an attractive candidate for a growth-oriented portfolio.

via Markets Gazette