SAP SE (SAPGF)
NEUTRALFundamental
63
Preço
$185.64
Capitalização de Mercado
$215.70B
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
SAP makes the software many large companies run their core operations on — accounting, supply chain, manufacturing and human resources — bundled into a system called ERP (enterprise resource planning). Once a company builds its finance and operations processes around SAP's system, that software becomes the record of how the business runs, which is why customers rarely switch providers. SAP is shifting its customers from software installed on their own servers to cloud subscriptions it hosts and updates itself.
Como gera receita
Cloud subscriptions are billed recurring, usually annual, fees tied to usage or number of users, and now make up the majority of what SAP calls cloud and software revenue; older on-premise licenses are sold once and then generate smaller annual maintenance fees, a mix that is shrinking as customers migrate. Services revenue, a smaller and less profitable slice, comes from consultants helping customers implement and migrate these systems, typically billed by the project or by time.
Receita por segmento
Cloud subscription revenue, now SAP's largest line, plus remaining on-premise software licenses and their maintenance fees.
Consulting, implementation and training services that help customers deploy and migrate SAP software, billed separately from the software itself.
Vantagem competitiva
Custos de mudança · AmplaSAP's software becomes deeply embedded in how a large company records its finances and runs its operations, with years of customization, staff training and connections to other internal systems built on top of it. Independent studies have found that switching ERP providers typically costs several times the original software price and takes over a year, which is why SAP keeps the large majority of its enterprise customers even when rivals offer comparable features.
O que impulsiona a procura
Moderadamente cíclicoRecurring cloud subscriptions make revenue more predictable than a typical software license business, since customers rarely cancel core ERP systems even when budgets tighten. Still, corporate IT spending does slow in downturns, and the pace at which customers commit to new cloud migrations can stretch out when their own businesses are under pressure.
Principais riscos
- Intense competition in enterprise software — The company faces sustained competition from large rivals such as Oracle and Salesforce, who are also embedding AI features into cloud applications, which pressures pricing and can slow customer wins.
- Cloud migration execution risk — Moving large customers from on-premise systems to the cloud involves remediating custom code, cleaning data and securing internal support within the customer's organization, and on-premise license revenue is declining meaningfully as this transition proceeds.
- Data, antitrust and regulatory exposure — The company is subject to data-access and antitrust-related claims, including allegations of lock-in effects, as well as dependence on third-party cloud infrastructure and web services it does not fully control.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers see a company that has successfully shifted the majority of its revenue to recurring cloud subscriptions, still holds the deepest customer lock-in in enterprise software, and can raise prices on a captive base of hundreds of thousands of customers as it layers AI features onto the same ERP backbone.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers worry that the on-premise license decline is eroding a historically high-margin revenue stream faster than cloud subscriptions can fully replace it, that cloud backlog growth is expected to moderate as the business scales, and that well-funded rivals embedding their own AI agents could chip away at renewal pricing over time.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$38.19B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Resultado Líquido
$7.80B
Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$9.09B
Capital Próprio Total
$44.74B
Passivo Total
$9.94B
Rácio de Liquidez
1.15
Cobertura de Juros
-
Dívida/EBITDA
0.85
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$146.32
Preço Atual
$185.64
Margem de Segurança
-26.9%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$101.17 - $191.46
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
27.98
ROE
18.3%
Rácio P/B
4.82
P/FCF
23.73
Margem Bruta
73.7%
ROIC
15.2%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
15.2%
WACC
9.9%
ROIC − WACC
+5.3 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (14)
- Price CAGR 8.32%
- ROIC 15.2%
- Gross Margin 73.7%
- P/FCF 23.73
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 17.6%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.1%
- Analyst Consensus 77% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.26
- Net Margin Trend 20.4% vs 9.1%
Reprovado (5)
- P/B Ratio 4.82
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -0.8%
- PEG Ratio 3.78
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponível (8)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Operating Margin NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupações financeiras graves
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Christian Klein | CEO & Member of Executive Board | 45 |
| Mr. Lars Lamade | Head of Global Sponsorships & Deputy Chairperson of the Supervisory Board | 54 |
| Mr. Dominik Asam | CFO & Member of Executive Board | 56 |
| Mr. Thomas Saueressig | Member of Executive Board | 40 |
| Mr. Sebastian Steinhaeuser | Chief Strategy Officer & COO and Member of Executive Board | 39 |
| Ms. Gina Vargiu-Breuer | Chief People Officer, Labor Director & Member of Executive Board | 49 |
| Mr. Muhammad Alam | Lead Product Engineering & Member of Executive Board | 47 |
| Mr. Andreas Hahn | Chairperson of Works Council Europe & Works Council Europe Rep Member of Supervisory Board | 54 |
| Jakub Cerny | Demand Manager & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board | 43 |
| Mr. Pascal Demat | Solution Advisor HCM & Works Council Europe Representative Member of Supervisory Board | 58 |
Risco de Auditoria
10
Risco do Conselho
2
Risco de Remuneração
1
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
1
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Latest News
Recent headlines for SAPGF, sourced from Markets Gazette.