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Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)

NEUTRAL
Consumer DefensiveGrocery StoresUnited States

Fundamental

66

Preço

$85.71

Capitalização de Mercado

$8.03B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Sprouts Farmers Market runs a chain of specialty grocery stores built around fresh produce, natural and organic foods, and a distinctive small-format layout — roughly a third the size of a conventional supermarket. It targets health-conscious shoppers with a curated selection rather than trying to stock everything a full-size supermarket does, and has been expanding its store count and private-label range faster than most traditional grocery chains.

Como gera receita

Sprouts earns money the way any grocer does: buying products at wholesale and selling them at retail, with margin coming from pricing, private-label products and store-level efficiency rather than from any subscription or service fee. Its Sprouts-branded private label made up just over a quarter of 2025 sales and typically carries a fatter margin than national brands, while organic products made up more than 30% of sales and over half of fresh produce.

Vantagem competitiva

Marca · Estreita

Sprouts differentiates with a curated, produce-forward format and private-label products that shoppers cannot buy at a conventional supermarket, which builds some loyalty among health-focused customers. The advantage stays narrow, though: Whole Foods, Trader Joe's and ordinary grocery chains are all expanding their own natural and organic sections, and grocery shopping habits are notoriously easy to split across multiple stores.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Grocery spending is close to the definition of non-discretionary — people keep buying food in a downturn — which makes Sprouts' revenue fairly resilient to the economic cycle. Growth is driven less by the cycle and more by how many new stores Sprouts opens and how much existing stores can grow sales per square foot as private-label and organic offerings expand.

Principais riscos

  • Heavy reliance on two distributors — KeHE supplied about 52% of Sprouts' purchases in fiscal 2025 and UNFI another 12%; losing either relationship, or a disruption at either distributor, would be difficult to replace on short notice.
  • Intense grocery competition — Whole Foods, Trader Joe's, Kroger and Walmart are all expanding natural and organic offerings, competing for the same health-conscious shoppers Sprouts targets, often with far greater buying power and lower prices.
  • Comparable sales could decelerate — Recent comparable store sales growth has been unusually strong; sustaining that pace as the store base matures and gets larger is harder than it was when Sprouts was a smaller, faster-growing chain.
  • Thin grocery margins amplify cost pressure — Grocery retail runs on thin margins, so food cost inflation, wage increases or a promotional response from larger competitors can compress profitability faster than in higher-margin businesses.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Sprouts' produce-forward, small-format concept is winning share from conventional supermarkets, that its growing private-label range lifts margins as it expands, and that double-digit comparable sales growth shows the format still has room to run.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that grocery is a low-margin, easily contested business where larger rivals can match Sprouts' organic and natural offerings, that heavy reliance on two distributors for the bulk of its supply chain is a structural vulnerability, and that today's strong comparable sales growth will be hard to repeat as the chain matures.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$9.00B

Últimos 12 meses (até 28/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$503M

Últimos 12 meses (até 28/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$468M

Capital Próprio Total

$1.40B

Passivo Total

$2.76B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.99

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

2.50

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$125.49

Preço Atual

$85.71

Margem de Segurança

+31.7%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$81.57 - $169.41

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$94.64
DCF:$209.13
PE-based:$78.60
Graham Growth:$194.50
EPV:$69.60
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (13B / 8H / 1S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+1.08%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

16.47

ROE

37.3%

Rácio P/B

5.35

P/FCF

22.51

Margem Bruta

38.7%

ROIC

14.9%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

14.9%

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

+8.6 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 15.67%
  • ROIC 14.9%
  • Gross Margin 38.7%
  • P/FCF 22.51
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.4%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • ROE 34.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 6.4%
  • Analyst Consensus 59% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.91
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.34
  • Share Dilution -2.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Reprovado (7)

  • P/B Ratio 5.35
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg 2.1%
  • Net Margin Trend 5.6% vs 5.8%

Indisponível (2)

  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.34

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-2.8%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Jack L. SinclairCEO & Director64
Mr. Nicholas KonatPresident & COO47
Mr. Curtis ValentineChief Financial Officer45
Mr. James H. BahrenburgChief Technology Officer60
Mr. Stacy W. HilgendorfVP, Controller & Principal Accounting Officer55
Ms. Susannah LivingstonVice President of Investor Relations & Treasury-
Mr. Brandon F. Lombardi Esq., J.D.Chief Legal & Sustainability Officer and Corporate Secretary48
Ms. Timmi ZalatorisChief Human Resources Officer48
Mr. David M. McGlincheyChief Development Officer52
Ms. Kim CoffinSenior Vice President & Chief Forager56

Risco de Auditoria

2

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

4

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

6

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SFM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 3/5/2026POSITIVE
    Is Sprouts Farmers Market Stock Going to $100?

    Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) is experiencing a potential rebound after halving in price since the summer. The question of whether the stock can reach $100 is now a key focus for investors. While the journey has been volatile, the recent performance suggests a renewed confidence in the grocery retailer's business model. For investors, this presents an opportunity to assess whether the upward trajectory can be sustained by solid fundamentals or if it's a speculative bounce.

via Markets Gazette