Voltar à classificação

SJM Holdings Limited (SJMHF)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalResorts & CasinosHong Kong

Fundamental

35

Preço

$1.45

Capitalização de Mercado

$10.55B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

SJM Holdings operates casinos in Macau, the only place in China where casino gambling is legal, under one of just six gaming concessions the Macau government grants. Its flagship is the Grand Lisboa complex, alongside other self-run properties and, until their phased closure through 2025, a network of independently owned "satellite" casinos that operated under SJM's license in exchange for a share of revenue. Beyond gaming, it also runs hotels, restaurants and retail space attached to its casino properties.

Como gera receita

Most revenue is gross gaming revenue — the amount players lose at the tables and slot machines, split between mass-market play and the smaller, lower-margin VIP baccarat segment — plus smaller amounts from hotel rooms, dining and retail. SJM has been shifting its mix toward mass-market and self-operated casinos and away from VIP and satellite arrangements, which historically carried a larger cut of revenue for its junket and satellite-casino partners. The company reported a net loss for 2025 as satellite-casino closures weighed on results.

Vantagem competitiva

Patentes e licenças · Estreita

Macau limits casino gaming to six concessionaires, so SJM's license is a genuine barrier to new entrants — but that barrier is shared equally with five well-capitalized rivals, several of which operate newer, better-located resorts on the Cotai strip. SJM's own market share has been declining, down to 11.9% in 2025 from 13.1% a year earlier, suggesting the concession alone does not protect its competitive position.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Casino revenue follows tourism and disposable income in mainland China and the wider region, both of which swing with the broader Chinese economy and with government travel or currency-export policy toward Macau. Because fixed costs — casino floors, hotel staff, licensing fees — stay largely constant, a downturn in visitation compresses profit faster than it compresses revenue.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that SJM's decades-old Macau concession and flagship Grand Lisboa property give it a protected position in a gaming market only six companies may operate in, and that its shift toward self-operated mass-market casinos should improve margins now that lower-margin satellite arrangements are being phased out.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that SJM's market share has been shrinking against better-located rivals even as it posted a net loss in 2025, and that closing its satellite casino network removes revenue in the near term with no guarantee that self-operated growth will fully replace it.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$28.17B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$-430M

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$-955M

Capital Próprio Total

$13.47B

Passivo Total

$30.28B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.27

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

10.39

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$2.11

Preço Atual

$1.45

Margem de Segurança

+31.3%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$2.00 - $2.21

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$2.11
DCF:-
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.56
Consenso dos Analistas:Vender (1B / 9H / 10S)

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

-

ROE

-2.6%

Rácio P/B

0.78

P/FCF

-

Margem Bruta

56.6%

ROIC

1.6%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

1.6%

WACC

2.5%

ROIC − WACC

-0.9 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (5)

  • Gross Margin 56.6%
  • P/B Ratio 0.78
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 30.3%
  • Earnings Surprise avg 48.9%

Reprovado (11)

  • Price CAGR -12.67%
  • ROIC 1.6%
  • Operating Margin 4.8%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • DCF valuation (Unknown)
  • ROE -3.1%
  • Analyst Consensus 5% Buy
  • Net Margin Trend -1.5% vs 0.0%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (11)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • P/FCF NaN
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Ms. On Kei LeongExecutive Co-Chairman64
Mr. Tsun Ting FokExecutive Co-Chairman79
Ms. Chiu Fung HoExecutive Chairman60
Mr. Hong Kuen ShumExecutive Director70
Dr. Un Chan ChanExecutive Director70
Mr. Sean Czoon TanChief Financial Officer46
Joseph TamAdministrative Manager of Finance & Accounts Department-
Mr. Jonathan Charles PyneChief Legal Counsel-
Dr. Shu Fai SoAdvisor74
Ms. Shuk Chong KwokCompany Secretary-

Risco de Auditoria

5

Risco do Conselho

2

Risco de Remuneração

8

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

7

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SJMHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

No recent news for SJMHF.