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Sylvamo Corporation (SLVM)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsPaper & Paper ProductsUnited States

Fundamental

58

Preço

$36.77

Capitalização de Mercado

$1.48B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Sylvamo, spun off from International Paper in 2021, manufactures uncoated freesheet paper — the kind used for copiers, printers and offset printing — plus market pulp, at seven mills in Brazil, France, Sweden and the U.S. It also manages roughly 250,000 acres of eucalyptus plantations in Brazil that feed its own mills. The products are largely commodities sold on price rather than brand.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes from selling tons of paper and pulp at prices set by global supply and demand, not by the company. Because the product is largely a commodity, profitability depends on running mills close to full capacity and controlling input costs — wood fiber, chemicals, energy and transport — rather than on pricing power. Demand for the category has been shrinking for years as digital alternatives replace printed paper.

Receita por segmento

North America52.3%

Imaging, commercial printing and converting papers from mills in South Carolina and New York, plus offtake volumes purchased from a former International Paper mill.

Latin America25.6%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from three integrated mills in Brazil, sold regionally and exported worldwide under brands including Chamex.

Europe22.1%

Uncoated freesheet paper and market pulp from integrated mills in France and Sweden.

Vantagem competitiva

Nenhuma vantagem identificada · Nenhuma

The company itself states that most of its products are commodities available from other producers, with competition based mainly on price rather than brand distinction. Brand recognition and service levels play a role, but do not amount to a durable pricing advantage over rival paper makers.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

The company states that paper and pulp supply and demand are cyclical, tracking macroeconomic conditions and industry capacity, on top of a separate secular decline: global demand for uncoated freesheet paper fell at a 2.1% compound annual rate from 2019 to 2025 as digital communication and e-commerce replace print.

Principais riscos

  • Secular decline in paper demand — The company states that global demand for its core uncoated freesheet paper has been shrinking for years as email, e-billing and e-commerce replace print, and expects the decline to continue.
  • Commodity pricing and industry cyclicality — Prices for paper and pulp are set by global supply and demand rather than by the company, and industry overcapacity can prolong periods of weak pricing when competitors keep unprofitable mills running rather than close them.
  • Customer concentration — The top ten customers account for about 41% of net sales, with one customer alone at about 15%; losing a major customer or seeing distributor consolidation could hurt sales materially.
  • Raw material, energy and weather exposure — The business depends on a steady supply of wood fiber and energy; the company cites drought in Brazil that has already reduced timber yields and raised fiber costs, with further weather disruption a risk.
  • Trade policy and tariffs — The company states that tariffs imposed on imported goods have introduced additional competing products in some markets, pressured pricing, raised input costs and constrained its ability to import and sell certain products in the U.S.

Concentração de clientes

Os principais clientes representam 15% da receita

The company states its top ten customers represent about 41% of net sales, including one single customer at about 15%. Losing that customer or a wave of consolidation among distributors could materially affect sales.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Sylvamo's low-cost, forest-integrated Brazilian mills give it a cost advantage in a shrinking industry, that industry-wide capacity closures should eventually balance supply and demand, and that the stock's cash generation supports a meaningful dividend even as volumes decline.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that a structurally shrinking, commodity product with no pricing power is a poor long-term business regardless of cost position, that customer concentration and tariff exposure add near-term volatility, and that Brazilian drought and currency swings make earnings hard to predict.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$3.30B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$76M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$44M

Capital Próprio Total

$966M

Passivo Total

$1.80B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.47

Cobertura de Juros

3.38

Dívida/EBITDA

2.21

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$58.37

Preço Atual

$36.77

Margem de Segurança

+37.0%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$37.94 - $78.80

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$51.25
DCF:$187.88
PE-based:$17.91
Graham Growth:$13.99
EPV:$44.62
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (6B / 3H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-89.21%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

19.84

ROE

13.7%

Rácio P/B

1.54

P/FCF

33.58

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

6.6%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

6.6%

WACC

7.1%

ROIC − WACC

-0.5 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (17)

  • Price CAGR 5.70%
  • ROIC 6.5%
  • P/B Ratio 1.54
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 5.3%
  • Current Ratio
  • Interest Coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 10.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 7.0%
  • Analyst Consensus 67% Buy
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.75
  • Share Dilution -3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Reprovado (7)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -14.93%
  • P/FCF 33.58
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Earnings Surprise avg -45.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 2.3% vs 6.1%

Indisponível (4)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • CapEx intensity
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

2.75

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-3.1%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. John Van SimsCEO, President & Director62
Mr. Donald Paul DevlinSenior VP & CFO60
Mr. Matthew L. BarronSenior VP, Chief Administrative & Legal Officer and Corporate Secretary52
Mr. Rodrigo DavoliSenior VP & GM of North America45
Ms. Tatiana KalmanSenior VP & GM of Latin America47
Kevin W. FergusonVP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer-
Mr. Hans BjorkmanVice President of Investor Relations-
Ms. Marcie VargasSenior VP & Chief People Officer61
Mr. Patrick WilczynskiSenior Vice President of Operational Excellence55
Ms. Shawn LawsonSenior VP & GM of Europe48

Risco de Auditoria

4

Risco do Conselho

1

Risco de Remuneração

4

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

4

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for SLVM, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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