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Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. (TKCBF)

NEUTRAL
Basic MaterialsSpecialty ChemicalsJapan

Fundamental

65

Preço

$1646.50

Capitalização de Mercado

$352.50B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Tokai Carbon makes carbon-based industrial materials that other manufacturers need but consumers never see: carbon black used to strengthen rubber in tires, graphite electrodes that conduct the electricity in steel-recycling furnaces, and specialty fine-carbon products used in semiconductor and industrial equipment. It also builds and lines the furnaces some of its own customers use. The company sells worldwide to tire makers, steelmakers and electronics manufacturers rather than to end consumers.

Como gera receita

Revenue comes from selling tonnes of industrial material under multi-year supply agreements with large manufacturers, so volume and price both move with how much steel, tires and electronics its customers are producing. Carbon black is the largest business by far, tied closely to global tire output. Because production requires large, capital-intensive plants, profitability depends on keeping those plants running near capacity and on passing through swings in raw material and energy costs.

Receita por segmento

Carbon black45.55%

A reinforcing filler for rubber products, mainly tires, plus black pigments and conductive materials — the group's largest business by far.

Smelting and lining19.2%

Construction and lining of industrial furnaces, mainly for steelmaking and non-ferrous metal smelting customers.

Fine carbon17.38%

Specialty carbon products, including silicon carbide materials and coatings, used in semiconductor and industrial equipment.

Graphite electrode11.7%

Graphite electrodes that conduct electricity in electric arc furnaces, used mainly to recycle scrap steel.

Industrial furnaces and related products3.64%

Equipment and related products for industrial furnace customers, a smaller line adjacent to the smelting and lining business.

Other businesses3.05%

Smaller product lines that do not belong to the five main segments.

O que impulsiona a procura

Cíclico

Carbon black volumes track global tire and automobile production, and graphite electrode volumes track how much scrap steel is recycled through electric furnaces — both of which slow sharply in industrial downturns. The company's 2025 results, in which net sales fell but operating income rose after cost cuts and structural reforms, illustrate how far profitability can swing even without a change in the top line.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that Tokai Carbon's structural reforms and cost cuts have already turned around profitability in its weaker segments, that carbon black demand is tied to a tire market that keeps replacing itself regardless of new vehicle sales, and that its diversification across six product lines cushions any single end market's downturn.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that a business this tied to global steel and tire production will keep swinging with the industrial cycle, that capital-intensive plants leave little room to cut costs further once volumes fall, and that the graphite electrode and smelting segments have already shown how quickly profitability can turn negative.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$324.33B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$18.61B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$2.94B

Capital Próprio Total

$339.22B

Passivo Total

$217.20B

Rácio de Liquidez

2.25

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

3.45

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Justamente Valorizada

Valor Justo

$1681.48

Preço Atual

$1646.50

Margem de Segurança

+2.1%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$1092.96 - $2270.00

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$2075.00
DCF:$511.14
PE-based:$1646.01
Graham Growth:$4580.18
EPV:$826.12
Consenso dos Analistas:Compra Forte (6B / 2H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-48.99%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

18.94

ROE

6.8%

Rácio P/B

1.11

P/FCF

119.87

Margem Bruta

24.7%

ROIC

4.6%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

4.6%

WACC

7.3%

ROIC − WACC

-2.7 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (14)

  • Price CAGR 15.06%
  • P/B Ratio 1.11
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 9.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 75% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 64.7%
  • PEG Ratio 0.26
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 2.74
  • Net Margin Trend 6.2% vs -39.2%

Reprovado (7)

  • ROIC 4.6%
  • Gross Margin 24.7%
  • P/FCF 119.87
  • CapEx intensity
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 6.2%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (6)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

2.74

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Hajime NagasakaPresident, CEO & Chairman75
Hirai NaokiExecutive Officer, Finance and Accounting Dept Manager and Head of Finance & Accounting Dept-
Mr. Toshiaki FukudaAdvisor-
Mr. Masafumi TsujiManaging Executive Officer, GM of Graphite Electrode Division & Director62
Kazuhiko MatsubaraAdvisor-
Mr. Katsuyuki YamaguchiExecutive Officer, GM of R&D Strategy Department & Director61
Kazuhito KataokaExecutive Officer & GM of Business Incubation Department-
Kouji MiuraExecutive Officer & GM of Chita Laboratory-
Mr. Akihiko SatoExecutive Officer & Director60
Kazuyoshi HainoExecutive Officer & Special Technical Advisor of Tokai COBEX-

Risco de Auditoria

1

Risco do Conselho

8

Risco de Remuneração

1

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for TKCBF, sourced from Markets Gazette.

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