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Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH)

NEUTRAL
Consumer CyclicalRestaurantsUnited States

Fundamental

66

Preço

$203.15

Capitalização de Mercado

$13.42B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Texas Roadhouse operates and franchises casual-dining steakhouse restaurants under the Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers brands, serving hand-cut steaks and other American comfort food at moderate prices. Most locations are company-owned rather than franchised, which is unusual for a restaurant chain this size: Texas Roadhouse prefers to run its own stores and keep the full profit rather than share it with franchisees, franchising mainly in markets it chooses not to enter directly, including internationally.

Como gera receita

Almost all revenue comes from food and drink sold at company-owned restaurants, recognized as guests pay their bill; franchise royalties and fees, based on a percentage of franchisee sales, are a small addition on top. Because Texas Roadhouse owns most of its stores, its economics look more like a traditional restaurant operator than an asset-light franchisor: it captures more revenue per location than franchise-heavy chains, but also carries the real-estate, labor and food-cost risk that a franchise model would push onto operators.

Receita por segmento

Restaurant and other sales99.5%

Food and beverage sales at company-owned Texas Roadhouse, Bubba's 33 and Jaggers restaurants, plus gift-card and other incidental revenue.

Royalties and franchise fees0.5%

Ongoing royalties and one-time opening fees paid by franchisees who operate Texas Roadhouse restaurants under license, mostly outside the US.

Vantagem competitiva

Marca · Estreita

Texas Roadhouse has built a loyal following around consistent quality, large portions and value pricing, which shows up in one of the industry's longest streaks of positive comparable sales. That loyalty supports steady traffic, but the moat is narrow: diners can switch to any of dozens of other casual-dining chains with little friction, and Texas Roadhouse must keep earning repeat visits through execution rather than any structural lock-in.

O que impulsiona a procura

Moderadamente cíclico

Restaurant spending is discretionary and tends to soften when consumers feel financially stretched, but Texas Roadhouse's value positioning — large portions at moderate prices — has historically made it a relative beneficiary when diners trade down from pricier restaurants rather than stop eating out altogether, softening the swings compared with fine dining.

Principais riscos

  • Beef and commodity cost volatility — Steaks are the core menu item, and beef prices are volatile and largely outside the company's control; a sustained spike in beef costs compresses restaurant-level margins faster than menu prices can be raised.
  • Labor cost and availability — Restaurants depend on a large hourly workforce, and rising minimum wages, tight labor markets or high turnover push up costs and can limit how many hours a location can stay open.
  • Ownership model concentrates capital and risk — Because most restaurants are company-operated rather than franchised, Texas Roadhouse carries the lease and buildout costs of every new location itself, so a slowdown in new-store performance affects results more directly than at an asset-light franchisor.
  • Discretionary consumer spending — Dining out is one of the first expenses households cut when they feel financial pressure, so a broad economic downturn or reduced consumer confidence can reduce visit frequency even at a value-priced chain.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that decades of consistent comparable-sales growth show Texas Roadhouse has built real customer loyalty around value and quality, that owning most of its restaurants lets it capture more of each location's economics than franchise-heavy peers, and that continued store growth gives a long, visible runway for the model to keep compounding.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers fear that beef-cost volatility and rising labor costs squeeze restaurant-level margins in a business with limited pricing power, that owning most locations concentrates real-estate and buildout risk on the company's own balance sheet, and that a full-priced stock leaves little room for error if comparable-sales growth slows from its current pace.

Dados por segmento do exercício fiscal 2025Fontes: Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Announces Fourth Quarter 2025 Results

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$6.23B

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Resultado Líquido

$422M

Últimos 12 meses (até 30/06/2026)

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$342M

Capital Próprio Total

$1.46B

Passivo Total

$2.07B

Rácio de Liquidez

0.46

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

1.60

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$331.87

Preço Atual

$203.15

Margem de Segurança

+38.8%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$215.72 - $448.02

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$217.74
DCF:$551.40
PE-based:$182.94
Graham Growth:$322.26
EPV:$65.00
Consenso dos Analistas:Comprar (19B / 15H / 0S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:-0.79%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

32.79

ROE

28.4%

Rácio P/B

8.65

P/FCF

33.16

Margem Bruta

-

ROIC

13.2%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.2%

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

+4.9 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (16)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 14.80%
  • Price CAGR 15.54%
  • ROIC 13.2%
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 7.7%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 28.2%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.6%
  • Analyst Consensus 56% Buy
  • PEG Ratio 0.50
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.90
  • Share Dilution -1.1%

Reprovado (9)

  • P/FCF 33.16
  • P/B Ratio 8.65
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings Surprise avg -5.2%
  • Net Margin Trend 6.8% vs 7.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Indisponível (3)

  • Gross Margin NaN%
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage

Piotroski F-Score

4/9

Sinais mistos: algumas áreas requerem atenção

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

1.90

Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa

Diluição de Ações

-1.1%

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Mr. Gerald L. MorganCEO & Executive Vice Chairman64
Ms. Regina A. TobinPresident60
Mr. Michael S. LenihanChief Financial Officer52
Mr. Keith V. HumpichChief Accounting & Financial Services Officer54
Mr. Hernan E. MujicaChief Technology Officer62
Mr. Christopher C. ColsonCorporate Secretary and Chief Business & Administrative Officer48
Mr. Travis C. DosterChief Communications Officer58
Mr. Lloyd Paul MarshallChief Growth Officer55
Michael BailenHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Sean G. RenfroeGeneral Counsel44

Risco de Auditoria

6

Risco do Conselho

1

Risco de Remuneração

4

Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas

1

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

Latest News

Recent headlines for TXRH, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/7/2026POSITIVE
    Texas Roadhouse Sales Hold as Diners Pick Cheaper Beef Cuts

    Texas Roadhouse Inc. reported in-line first-quarter results, with shares seeing a positive reaction. The casual dining chain indicated that sales momentum is expected to persist. This resilience is attributed to diners adapting to elevated prices and a slight moderation in commodity-cost inflation. The company's ability to maintain sales through strategic adjustments in menu offerings, such as diners opting for more economical beef cuts, suggests a robust operational strategy. Investors will be watching for continued margin management and sales growth in the upcoming quarters.

via Markets Gazette