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Vodafone Group Plc (VOD)

NEUTRAL
Communication ServicesTelecom ServicesUnited Kingdom

Fundamental

47

Preço

$16.09

Capitalização de Mercado

$36.93B

Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa

Visão Geral

Vodafone is a multinational telecom operator providing mobile, broadband and fixed-line services to consumers and businesses across Europe and Africa. In Africa, its Vodacom-branded operations also run M-Pesa, a widely used mobile money service that lets people without bank accounts send and receive payments by phone. The group has been simplifying its footprint in recent years, selling businesses in some markets (including Italy and Spain) while consolidating around its largest markets — Germany, the UK and Vodacom in Africa.

Como gera receita

Most revenue is recurring subscription fees for mobile and fixed connectivity, plus device sales and business services like IoT connectivity for corporate customers. Germany, its largest single market, has been shrinking on regulatory and competitive pressure, while Africa — through Vodacom — has been growing fastest, helped by rising mobile data use and M-Pesa transaction fees. Currency swings in African and Turkish operations mean reported revenue in euros can move differently from the underlying local-currency business.

Receita por segmento

Germany32.6%

Vodafone's largest single market, covering mobile and cable broadband; revenue has been declining under competitive and regulatory pressure.

Africa20.8%

Vodacom-branded mobile and M-Pesa mobile money services across several African countries, including South Africa — the group's fastest-growing region.

United Kingdom18.9%

Mobile and fixed-line services in the United Kingdom, recently merged with rival Three to form the country's largest mobile operator.

Other Europe15.2%

Mobile and fixed-line operations across several other European countries outside Germany and the UK.

Türkiye8.3%

Mobile and fixed services in Turkey, where high local inflation inflates local-currency revenue growth figures.

Vantagem competitiva

Escala · Estreita

Vodafone's mobile and fixed networks require enormous upfront capital to build, which limits how many competitors can operate in any one country. But that barrier protects an oligopoly, not a monopoly: Vodafone typically faces two or three well-funded rivals in each market, and in Germany that competition has been strong enough to shrink its revenue.

O que impulsiona a procura

Defensivo

Mobile and broadband connectivity has become close to a household essential, so subscriber demand holds up reasonably well even in a downturn — people cut other spending before giving up their phone plan. The bigger swing factors are competitive intensity and regulation in mature European markets, and currency depreciation in Africa and Turkey.

Principais riscos

  • Intense competition in core markets — Germany, Vodafone's largest market, saw revenue decline as rivals compete aggressively on price; similar pressure in other mature European markets can keep squeezing margins and market share.
  • Regulatory and licensing risk across many jurisdictions — Operating in numerous countries means Vodafone answers to many different telecom regulators on spectrum, pricing and competition rules, any of which can change unfavorably with little notice.
  • Currency exposure — A meaningful share of revenue comes from African and Turkish currencies prone to sharp depreciation against the euro, which can erode reported results even when local operations perform well.
  • Data protection and customer trust — As a carrier of sensitive customer and location data across many countries, a serious data breach could trigger regulatory penalties and damage customer trust at scale.

Os argumentos a favor

Buyers argue that the UK merger with Three creates the country's largest mobile operator with better scale economics, that Africa's growth through Vodacom and M-Pesa offsets softness in mature Europe, and that a simplified footprint after recent market exits lets management focus capital on its strongest businesses.

Os argumentos contra

Sellers worry that intense competition keeps eroding Vodafone's largest market, Germany, that currency depreciation in Africa and Turkey can mask weak underlying growth when translated into euros, and that a capital-intensive, heavily regulated industry leaves little room to raise prices even as costs rise.

Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

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Balanço & Liquidez

Receita

$3.97B

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Resultado Líquido

$-43M

Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

$5.17B

Capital Próprio Total

$29.21B

Passivo Total

$54.45B

Rácio de Liquidez

1.14

Cobertura de Juros

-

Dívida/EBITDA

6.08

Resultados Por Ação

Receita & Resultado Líquido

Fluxo de Caixa Livre

Decomposição dos Resultados

Demonstração histórica

Margens ao longo do tempo

A dívida ao longo do tempo

Quanto pesa a dívida

Grelha do crescimento

Crescimento — Receitas

Estimativa de Valor Justo

Subvalorizada

Valor Justo

$22.73

Preço Atual

$16.09

Margem de Segurança

+29.2%

Intervalo de Valor Justo

$14.77 - $30.68

Métodos de Estimativa

Analyst Target:$13.85
DCF:$57.25
PE-based:-
Graham Growth:-
EPV:$1.51
Consenso dos Analistas:Manter (14B / 8H / 6S)
Última Surpresa de Resultados:+40.78%

Métricas de Avaliação

Rácio P/E

-

ROE

0.1%

Rácio P/B

7.29

P/FCF

7.15

Margem Bruta

31.5%

ROIC

3.0%

Radar de Rentabilidade

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

3.0%

WACC

2.7%

ROIC − WACC

+0.3 pp

ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.

Critérios de Análise Fundamental

Aprovado (9)

  • Gross Margin 31.5%
  • P/FCF 7.15
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Operating Margin 8.9%
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • Current Ratio
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • Analyst Consensus 50% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 54.1%

Reprovado (9)

  • Price CAGR -4.17%
  • ROIC 3.0%
  • P/B Ratio 7.29
  • CapEx intensity
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE -0.8%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y -1.6%
  • Net Margin Trend -11.1% vs 3.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Indisponível (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/Net Income)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Preocupações financeiras graves

score
criteria

Qualidade dos Resultados

-

Baixa qualidade: investigar a contabilidade

Diluição de Ações

-

A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista

Governação

Equipa Executiva

NomeCargoIdade
Ms. Margherita Della ValleGroup Chief Executive & Executive Director60
Ms. Maria Pilar López ÁlvarezGroup CFO & Executive Director55
Mr. Scott PettyChief Digital & Information Officer and Group CTO-
Matthew JohnsonInvestor Relations Director-
Stefanie ReichelDirector of Legal & Compliance-
Ms. Maaike Helena De BieGroup General Counsel & Company Secretary-
Ms. Ruth McGillChief Human Resources Officer-
Mr. António Rui de Lacerda CarrapatosoChief Executive Officer of Vodafone Portugal Operations-
Mr. Rob MukherjeeHead of North West regional business-
Mr. Joakim H. ReiterChief External & Corporate Affairs Officer49

Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar

Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.

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