Valmet Oyj (VOYJF)
NEUTRALFundamental
64
Preço
$28.48
Capitalização de Mercado
$5.20B
Parte 1 · Quanto vale a empresa
Visão Geral
Valmet designs, builds and services the large industrial machinery that turns wood into pulp and paper and that generates energy from biomass, plus, through a second business line, the flow-control and automation systems that run those plants and others across a wider range of industries. It does not sell a mass-market product: each pulp mill, paper machine or automation system is a large, customised capital project sold to industrial customers, followed by years of spare parts and service work.
Como gera receita
Revenue comes from two different rhythms: large, lumpy capital-project sales — building or upgrading a pulp mill or automation system — and steadier services revenue from maintaining, upgrading and supplying spare parts for equipment already installed at customer sites, some of it decades old. Services carry meaningfully higher margins than new capital projects, so Valmet's profitability depends as much on how well it monetises its existing installed base as on winning new orders.
Receita por segmento
Pulp, paper and energy technology plus the services and spare parts that keep decades-old installed equipment running.
Flow-control and automation systems, from single measurements to plant-wide control, sold across a broad range of industries.
Vantagem competitiva
Custos de mudança · EstreitaOnce a pulp mill or paper machine is built around Valmet's equipment, replacing it with a competitor's system means re-engineering the plant, so customers tend to buy spare parts and service contracts from Valmet for the equipment's decades-long life. That installed base — with 35-50% market share in some biomaterial process technologies — is the main source of recurring, higher-margin revenue.
O que impulsiona a procura
CíclicoNew capital-project orders rise and fall with how much pulp, paper and energy companies are willing to invest, which tracks commodity prices and the broader economic cycle; customers can and do postpone new projects when conditions are weak. Services revenue is steadier because equipment already installed needs maintenance regardless of the cycle, but it cannot fully offset a slowdown in new orders.
Principais riscos
- Cyclicality of capital spending — Customers in pulp, paper and energy can defer large new-equipment orders when commodity prices or the economy weaken, directly hitting the project side of the business.
- Currency and commodity cost exposure — Valmet hedges some of its exposure to currencies and metal costs like nickel and steel scrap, but unhedged swings can still affect project economics and margins.
- Project execution risk — As a global group delivering large, customised capital projects, Valmet is exposed to execution risks on individual contracts that can affect profitability regardless of overall demand.
Os argumentos a favor
Buyers argue that Valmet's large, decades-lived installed base locks in recurring, higher-margin services revenue that cushions the cyclicality of new capital orders, and that a leading market position in biomaterial process technologies gives it pricing power competitors with a smaller installed base cannot easily match.
Os argumentos contra
Sellers worry that the capital-project side of the business remains exposed to pulp, paper and energy investment cycles that can turn quickly, that a strategic review of splitting the company into two suggests management itself sees limited synergy between its two segments, and that project execution risk can erode margins on any single large contract.
Written by the editors, published on 18 de agosto de 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balanço & Liquidez
Receita
$5.31B
Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação
Resultado Líquido
$297M
Últimos 12 meses até o último trimestre divulgado — estimativa a partir de métricas por ação
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
$280M
Capital Próprio Total
$2.49B
Passivo Total
$1.58B
Rácio de Liquidez
1.14
Cobertura de Juros
-
Dívida/EBITDA
2.34
Resultados Por Ação
Receita & Resultado Líquido
Fluxo de Caixa Livre
Decomposição dos Resultados
Demonstração histórica
Margens ao longo do tempo
A dívida ao longo do tempo
Quanto pesa a dívida
Grelha do crescimento
Crescimento — Receitas
Estimativa de Valor Justo
Valor Justo
$22.49
Preço Atual
$28.48
Margem de Segurança
-26.6%
Intervalo de Valor Justo
$15.39 - $29.59
Métodos de Estimativa
Métricas de Avaliação
Rácio P/E
17.53
ROE
12.3%
Rácio P/B
2.09
P/FCF
18.61
Margem Bruta
27.2%
ROIC
10.2%
Radar de Rentabilidade
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
10.2%
WACC
6.2%
ROIC − WACC
+4.0 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Critérios de Análise Fundamental
Aprovado (14)
- Price CAGR 6.62%
- ROIC 10.1%
- P/FCF 18.61
- P/B Ratio 2.09
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 8.9%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- ROE 12.0%
- Revenue Growth 5Y 6.8%
- Analyst Consensus 71% Buy
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.37
- Net Margin Trend 5.4% vs 5.2%
Reprovado (6)
- Gross Margin 27.2%
- CapEx intensity
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
- Earnings Surprise avg -25.3%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Indisponível (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Preocupações financeiras graves
Qualidade dos Resultados
Alta qualidade: resultados respaldados por caixa
Diluição de Ações
A recomprar ações. Favorável ao acionista
Governação
Equipa Executiva
| Nome | Cargo | Idade |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Thomas Hinnerskov M.Sc. | CEO & President | 54 |
| Ms. Katri Hokkanen | Chief Financial Officer | 44 |
| Mr. Pekka Rouhiainen | Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Rasmus Oksala | Executive VP of Legal And General Counsel & Secretary to the Board | 55 |
| Ms. Anu Pires M.Sc. | Executive VP of People, Communications & Culture | 55 |
| Mr. Aki Petri Niemi | Executive VP of Global Supply | 56 |
| Mr. Celso Luiz Tacla | Executive VP of Latin America | 61 |
| Mr. Xiangdong Zhu B.Sc. (Eng.), MBA | Executive VP of China Chair | 58 |
| Mr. Sami Riekkola M.Sc. | Executive VP of Pulp, Energy & Circularity | 51 |
| Mr. Simo Saaskilahti M.Sc. | Executive VP of Flow Control | 54 |
Risco de Auditoria
3
Risco do Conselho
2
Risco de Remuneração
3
Risco dos Direitos dos Acionistas
4
Parte 2 · O preço e o momento de entrar
Esta parte não serve para saber se a empresa vale: serve para escolher quando comprá-la, depois que os fundamentos te convenceram. Dentro: análise técnica, potencial, quedas históricas, exposição gama.
Latest News
Recent headlines for VOYJF, sourced from Markets Gazette.